Diuretic
Permanently confused
Just some general observations if I may.
One of the arguments you're referring to SP seems to indicate that societies are locked into a loop.
The average age of the world’s greatest civilizations has been two hundred years. These nations have progressed through this sequence. From bondage to spiritual faith; from spiritual faith to great courage; from courage to liberty; from liberty to abundance, from abundance to complacency; from complacency to apathy, from apathy to dependence, from dependence back into bondage.
I don't know where this came from but it doesn't make sense. Societies don't do that.
Jared Diamond in his book "Collapse" suggested something along these lines:
That's from a Wikipedia entry but it's accurate if I remember rightly from reading the book.
A bit more:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Collapse_(book)
Things might be changing in the United States but they're changing everywhere else as well. I don't think the US is going to collapse any time soon.
One of the arguments you're referring to SP seems to indicate that societies are locked into a loop.
The average age of the world’s greatest civilizations has been two hundred years. These nations have progressed through this sequence. From bondage to spiritual faith; from spiritual faith to great courage; from courage to liberty; from liberty to abundance, from abundance to complacency; from complacency to apathy, from apathy to dependence, from dependence back into bondage.
I don't know where this came from but it doesn't make sense. Societies don't do that.
Jared Diamond in his book "Collapse" suggested something along these lines:
Diamond lists eight factors which have historically contributed to the collapse of past societies:
Deforestation and habitat destruction
Soil problems (erosion, salinization, and soil fertility losses)
Water management problems
Overhunting
Overfishing
Effects of introduced species on native species
Overpopulation
Increased per-capita impact of people
That's from a Wikipedia entry but it's accurate if I remember rightly from reading the book.
A bit more:
Further, he says four new factors may contribute to the weakening and collapse of present and future societies:
Human-caused climate change
Buildup of toxins in the environment
Energy shortages
Full human utilization of the Earth’s photosynthetic capacity
Diamond also writes about cultural factors, such as the apparent reluctance of the Greenland Norse to eat fish.
The root problem in all but one of Diamond's factors leading to collapse is overpopulation relative to the practicable (as opposed to the ideal theoretical) carrying capacity of the environment. The one factor not related to overpopulation is the harmful effect of accidentally or intentionally introducing nonnative species to a region.
Diamond also states that "it would be absurd to claim that environmental damage must be a major factor in all collapses: the collapse of the Soviet Union is a modern counter-example, and the destruction of Carthage by Rome in 146 BC is an ancient one. It's obviously true that military or economic factors alone may suffice" (p. 15).
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Collapse_(book)
Things might be changing in the United States but they're changing everywhere else as well. I don't think the US is going to collapse any time soon.