President's approval rating hits 60%

[AquaAthena]

The Associated Press has released a survey, taken on May 5-9, 2011 to measure public approval of Obama after the killing of Osama bin Laden. The poll purports to show that the president’s job approval has soared to 60 percent. Don’t you believe it.

The AP sample contains twice as many Democrats as Republicans (35% Democrat vs. 18% Republican). While party identification is, itself, a variable to be determined by polling, the normal sample usually contains an approximately equal number of Democrats and Republicans. Lately, Republicans have actually been slightly in the plurality in most statistically valid samples.

This AP poll — with its 2:1 Democratic edge — is utter hogwash.

much more stats: DISREGARD THE AP POLL at DickMorris.com

 

[bodecea]

The Associated Press has released a survey, taken on May 5-9, 2011 to measure public approval of Obama after the killing of Osama bin Laden. The poll purports to show that the president’s job approval has soared to 60 percent. Don’t you believe it.

The AP sample contains twice as many Democrats as Republicans (35% Democrat vs. 18% Republican). While party identification is, itself, a variable to be determined by polling, the normal sample usually contains an approximately equal number of Democrats and Republicans. Lately, Republicans have actually been slightly in the plurality in most statistically valid samples.

This AP poll — with its 2:1 Democratic edge — is utter hogwash.

much more stats: DISREGARD THE AP POLL at DickMorris.com

They should have done a poll on "Who is mourning OBL?" and asked republicans.

 

[NYcarbineer]

The Associated Press has released a survey, taken on May 5-9, 2011 to measure public approval of Obama after the killing of Osama bin Laden. The poll purports to show that the president’s job approval has soared to 60 percent. Don’t you believe it.

The AP sample contains twice as many Democrats as Republicans (35% Democrat vs. 18% Republican). While party identification is, itself, a variable to be determined by polling, the normal sample usually contains an approximately equal number of Democrats and Republicans. Lately, Republicans have actually been slightly in the plurality in most statistically valid samples.

This AP poll — with its 2:1 Democratic edge — is utter hogwash.

much more stats: DISREGARD THE AP POLL at DickMorris.com

The above is just the kind of bullshit we can always expect from the rightwing propaganda machine:

The AP poll participants break down as follows:

23% LIBERAL
38% CONSERVATIVE
36% MODERATE

60% more conservatives than liberals.

That breakdown btw is very close to the 2008 election exit polls.

You can find this on page 57 of the Poll's .pdf which, of course, NONE of you bothered to research.

You're welcome.

 

[NYcarbineer]

With Rasmussen they ask people who will more than likely vote. not just anyone walking down the street.

Which only PROVES that Rasmussen's polls are not an accurate reflection of the opinion of the American people on the job Obama is doing.

Which proves you don't know what the hell it is you are talking about. If you don't vote your opinion on who will win an election is worthless. As I said Rasmussen ask people who will more than likely vote.

This is not an election poll, dumbass. It's a job approval poll.

Besides, likely voters is simply a way to skew the pool of poll participants to the right. THAT is why Rasmussen does it.

 

[bigrebnc1775]

The Associated Press has released a survey, taken on May 5-9, 2011 to measure public approval of Obama after the killing of Osama bin Laden. The poll purports to show that the president’s job approval has soared to 60 percent. Don’t you believe it.

The AP sample contains twice as many Democrats as Republicans (35% Democrat vs. 18% Republican). While party identification is, itself, a variable to be determined by polling, the normal sample usually contains an approximately equal number of Democrats and Republicans. Lately, Republicans have actually been slightly in the plurality in most statistically valid samples.

This AP poll — with its 2:1 Democratic edge — is utter hogwash.

much more stats: DISREGARD THE AP POLL at DickMorris.com

The above is just the kind of bullshit we can always expect from the rightwing propaganda machine:

The AP poll participants break down as follows:

23% LIBERAL
38% CONSERVATIVE
36% MODERATE

60% more conservatives than liberals.

That breakdown btw is very close to the 2008 election exit polls.

You can find this on page 57 of the Poll's .pdf which, of course, NONE of you bothered to research.

You're welcome.

Right thank God pigs don't have wings because the horseshit you're trying to sell would also be covered in pig shit.

 

[NYcarbineer]

The Associated Press has released a survey, taken on May 5-9, 2011 to measure public approval of Obama after the killing of Osama bin Laden. The poll purports to show that the president’s job approval has soared to 60 percent. Don’t you believe it.

The AP sample contains twice as many Democrats as Republicans (35% Democrat vs. 18% Republican). While party identification is, itself, a variable to be determined by polling, the normal sample usually contains an approximately equal number of Democrats and Republicans. Lately, Republicans have actually been slightly in the plurality in most statistically valid samples.

This AP poll — with its 2:1 Democratic edge — is utter hogwash.

much more stats: DISREGARD THE AP POLL at DickMorris.com

The above is just the kind of bullshit we can always expect from the rightwing propaganda machine:

The AP poll participants break down as follows:

23% LIBERAL
38% CONSERVATIVE
36% MODERATE

60% more conservatives than liberals.

That breakdown btw is very close to the 2008 election exit polls.

You can find this on page 57 of the Poll's .pdf which, of course, NONE of you bothered to research.

You're welcome.

Right thank God pigs don't have wings because the horseshit you're trying to sell would also be covered in pig shit.

That's your rebuttal?

lolol

 

[bigrebnc1775]

The above is just the kind of bullshit we can always expect from the rightwing propaganda machine:

The AP poll participants break down as follows:

23% LIBERAL
38% CONSERVATIVE
36% MODERATE

60% more conservatives than liberals.

That breakdown btw is very close to the 2008 election exit polls.

You can find this on page 57 of the Poll's .pdf which, of course, NONE of you bothered to research.

You're welcome.

Right thank God pigs don't have wings because the horseshit you're trying to sell would also be covered in pig shit.

That's your rebuttal?

lolol

I know it was kind of low, but I did have to come down to your level to deliver it.

 

[NYcarbineer]

Right thank God pigs don't have wings because the horseshit you're trying to sell would also be covered in pig shit.

That's your rebuttal?

lolol

I know it was kind of low, but I did have to come down to your level to deliver it.

I got my evidence directly from the pollster.

The ratio of conservatives to liberals who took the poll is fair.

 

[bigrebnc1775]

That's your rebuttal?

lolol

I know it was kind of low, but I did have to come down to your level to deliver it.

I got my evidence directly from the pollster.

The ratio of conservatives to liberals who took the poll is fair.

Right I'm calling you a liar now.

 

[Meister]

The Associated Press has released a survey, taken on May 5-9, 2011 to measure public approval of Obama after the killing of Osama bin Laden. The poll purports to show that the president’s job approval has soared to 60 percent. Don’t you believe it.

The AP sample contains twice as many Democrats as Republicans (35% Democrat vs. 18% Republican). While party identification is, itself, a variable to be determined by polling, the normal sample usually contains an approximately equal number of Democrats and Republicans. Lately, Republicans have actually been slightly in the plurality in most statistically valid samples.

This AP poll — with its 2:1 Democratic edge — is utter hogwash.

much more stats: DISREGARD THE AP POLL at DickMorris.com

The above is just the kind of bullshit we can always expect from the rightwing propaganda machine:

The AP poll participants break down as follows:

23% LIBERAL
38% CONSERVATIVE
36% MODERATE

60% more conservatives than liberals.

That breakdown btw is very close to the 2008 election exit polls.

You can find this on page 57 of the Poll's .pdf which, of course, NONE of you bothered to research.

You're welcome.

It would be very enlightening to have you source this for all of us conservatives. It shouldn't be very hard to do seeing you know where it is. It would also give you more credibility.

 

[NYcarbineer]

The Associated Press has released a survey, taken on May 5-9, 2011 to measure public approval of Obama after the killing of Osama bin Laden. The poll purports to show that the president’s job approval has soared to 60 percent. Don’t you believe it.

The AP sample contains twice as many Democrats as Republicans (35% Democrat vs. 18% Republican). While party identification is, itself, a variable to be determined by polling, the normal sample usually contains an approximately equal number of Democrats and Republicans. Lately, Republicans have actually been slightly in the plurality in most statistically valid samples.

This AP poll — with its 2:1 Democratic edge — is utter hogwash.

much more stats: DISREGARD THE AP POLL at DickMorris.com

The above is just the kind of bullshit we can always expect from the rightwing propaganda machine:

The AP poll participants break down as follows:

23% LIBERAL
38% CONSERVATIVE
36% MODERATE

60% more conservatives than liberals.

That breakdown btw is very close to the 2008 election exit polls.

You can find this on page 57 of the Poll's .pdf which, of course, NONE of you bothered to research.You're welcome.

It would be very enlightening to have you source this for all of us conservatives. It shouldn't be very hard to do seeing you know where it is. It would also give you more credibility.

Is that print big enough for you?

Did anyone source the other claim? It's in the same fucking document, gomer.

 

[NYcarbineer]

I know it was kind of low, but I did have to come down to your level to deliver it.

I got my evidence directly from the pollster.

The ratio of conservatives to liberals who took the poll is fair.

Right I'm calling you a liar now.

You're wrong.

 

[NYcarbineer]

Bush Sr. Had a 95% approval rating during kuwait but Clinton still beat him

Bush lost because the economy sucked and he raised taxes after promising he wouldn't

Two things Obama has in common with daddy bush

besides, Arnold's divorce from Maria shriver has already knocked bin laden's death off the front page.

Pictures of her are more gruesome than any dead Bin Laden.

 

[CandySlice]

Don't get too excited folks. Once the Bin Laudin high deflates itself and the people realize unemployment is still sky high, housing is still in a sink hole and inflation is gathering strength everyday those numbers will sink again.

It's the same kind of superficial rock star idolizing idiots that got the loser elected in the first place that are responsible for the hike in his numbers. Never the smartest guys in the room, ya know. They are easy to fool and apparently they never learn.

 

[CandySlice]

Mark Twain said:
"There are lies, there are Damned lies and then there's statistics."

 

[NYcarbineer]

The sampling method was manipulated to create a much bigger bounce than what would have occurred with a proper sample:

But then you get to the party ID: 46 percent identify as Democrat or leaning Democrat, 29 percent identify as Republican or leaning Republican, 4 percent identify as purely independent leaning towards neither party, and 20 percent answered, “I don’t know.”

For contrast, the AP’s immediate preceding poll was 45 percent Democrat, 33 percent Republican; the likely-voter pool in October 2010 was 43 percent Democrat, 48 percent Republican. The poll’s total sample in October 2010 split 43 percent Democrat, 40 percent Republican.

With a poll sample that has a 17-percentage-point margin in favor of the Democrats, is anyone surprised that these results look like a David Axelrod dream?

(Interestingly, George W. Bush is at 50 percent approval, 49 percent disapproval, even in this sample wildly weighted in favor of the Democrats.)

UPDATE: Notice that in Gallup’s polling, party ID remains pretty stable. In roughly 40 polls since mid-2009, Democrats and Republicans have both ranged in the 40s with leaners. During that time, the split has never been larger than 7 percentage points. Their most recent split, from late April, is 31 percent Republican, 36 percent Independent, and 32 percent Democrat; with leaners, it’s a 46-46 split. Of course, the OBL kill could have prompted more Americans to self-identify as Democrats. Some pollsters are okay with dramatic shifts in their party ID from poll to poll; they see respondents’ party self-identification as flexible, even fickle, changing from week to week and month to month. I am a skeptic of this notion, and before buying into dramatic changes in the party identification of the voting public, prefer to see the phenomenon confirmed through changes in behavior – i.e., voters changing their party registration.

Latest AP Poll Sample Skews to Democrats by 17 Points - By Jim Geraghty - The Campaign Spot - National Review Online

Dead wrong.

The political breakdown of the participants

23% liberal, 38% conservative, and 36% moderate,

are almost dead on.

 

[CandySlice]

The Associated Press has released a survey, taken on May 5-9, 2011 to measure public approval of Obama after the killing of Osama bin Laden. The poll purports to show that the president’s job approval has soared to 60 percent. Don’t you believe it.

The AP sample contains twice as many Democrats as Republicans (35% Democrat vs. 18% Republican). While party identification is, itself, a variable to be determined by polling, the normal sample usually contains an approximately equal number of Democrats and Republicans. Lately, Republicans have actually been slightly in the plurality in most statistically valid samples.

This AP poll — with its 2:1 Democratic edge — is utter hogwash.

much more stats: DISREGARD THE AP POLL at DickMorris.com

The above is just the kind of bullshit we can always expect from the rightwing propaganda machine:

The AP poll participants break down as follows:

23% LIBERAL
38% CONSERVATIVE
36% MODERATE

60% more conservatives than liberals.

That breakdown btw is very close to the 2008 election exit polls.

You can find this on page 57 of the Poll's .pdf which, of course, NONE of you bothered to research.

You're welcome.

It would be very enlightening to have you source this for all of us conservatives. It shouldn't be very hard to do seeing you know where it is. It would also give you more credibility.

No way 38% of ANY Republican gathering on this planet gave Obama that many thumbs up.

 

[CandySlice]

Quote of the day from Rozman


Let's see if I have this correct....

9% unemployment.
The housing market in the toilet.
Gas prices through the roof.
We have a tremendous debt hanging over our heads.
We have a budget that spends an incredible amount of money we don't have.
The interest on the debt is staggering....
All this and 60% of the American people approve of the job this President is doing?

YOU HAVE GOT TO BE FUCKING KIDDING ME!

This has to be BS....for this to be true it must mean that Republicans and a good amount of them actually approve and you know that's not true.
The people polled here had to have been 95% Liberal.

 

[Trajan]

The Associated Press has released a survey, taken on May 5-9, 2011 to measure public approval of Obama after the killing of Osama bin Laden. The poll purports to show that the president’s job approval has soared to 60 percent. Don’t you believe it.

The AP sample contains twice as many Democrats as Republicans (35% Democrat vs. 18% Republican). While party identification is, itself, a variable to be determined by polling, the normal sample usually contains an approximately equal number of Democrats and Republicans. Lately, Republicans have actually been slightly in the plurality in most statistically valid samples.

This AP poll — with its 2:1 Democratic edge — is utter hogwash.

much more stats: DISREGARD THE AP POLL at DickMorris.com

The above is just the kind of bullshit we can always expect from the rightwing propaganda machine:

The AP poll participants break down as follows:

23% LIBERAL
38% CONSERVATIVE
36% MODERATE

60% more conservatives than liberals.

That breakdown btw is very close to the 2008 election exit polls.

You can find this on page 57 of the Poll's .pdf which, of course, NONE of you bothered to research.

You're welcome.

Uhm no, its 46/29/4, page 37, you are in the wrong place. In addition note the numbers for strong and moderate.

When you pull the 'leaners' the numbers drop further as Indies are assigned properly,
35/18/27.

In addition I posted the real clear data, here, one more time, they are an outlier, to put it politely, and that skewed sampling is why.


Poll Date Sample Approve Disapprove Spread
RCP Average 5/2 - 5/11 -- 51.7 42.4 +9.3
Gallup 5/9 - 5/11 1500 A 51 42 +9
Rasmussen Reports 5/9 - 5/11 1500 LV 47 52 -5
Reuters/Ipsos 5/5 - 5/9 1029 A 49 47 +2
Associated Press/GfK 5/5 - 5/9 1001 A 60 39 +21
Pew Research 5/5 - 5/8 1003 A 50 39 +11
NBC News 5/5 - 5/7 800 A 52 41 +11
Quinnipiac 5/2 - 5/3 834 RV 52 40 +12
Newsweek/Daily Beast 5/2 - 5/3 600 A 48 49 -1
CBS News/NY Times* 5/2 - 5/3 532 A 57 37 +20
CNN/Opinion Research 5/2 - 5/2 700 A 52 43 +9
SurveyUSA 5/2 - 5/2 1000 A 46 42 +4
Wash Post/Pew/SRBI 5/2 - 5/2 654 A 56 38 +18


RealClearPolitics - Election Other - President Obama Job Approval

 

[NYcarbineer]

The Associated Press has released a survey, taken on May 5-9, 2011 to measure public approval of Obama after the killing of Osama bin Laden. The poll purports to show that the president’s job approval has soared to 60 percent. Don’t you believe it.

The AP sample contains twice as many Democrats as Republicans (35% Democrat vs. 18% Republican). While party identification is, itself, a variable to be determined by polling, the normal sample usually contains an approximately equal number of Democrats and Republicans. Lately, Republicans have actually been slightly in the plurality in most statistically valid samples.

This AP poll — with its 2:1 Democratic edge — is utter hogwash.

much more stats: DISREGARD THE AP POLL at DickMorris.com

The above is just the kind of bullshit we can always expect from the rightwing propaganda machine:

The AP poll participants break down as follows:

23% LIBERAL
38% CONSERVATIVE
36% MODERATE

60% more conservatives than liberals.

That breakdown btw is very close to the 2008 election exit polls.

You can find this on page 57 of the Poll's .pdf which, of course, NONE of you bothered to research.

You're welcome.

http://www.ap-gfkpoll.com/pdf/AP-GfK_Poll_May_Topline_051011_POLITICS.pdf

page 57

G 11 a.

Now stop fucking lying about what I said.