Millions on East Coast could be in Danger!

[depotoo]

BULLETIN
HURRICANE SANDY ADVISORY NUMBER 27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182012
1100 PM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012

...SANDY ABOUT TO START ITS NORTHWARD TURN...EXPECTED TO BRING
LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE...COASTAL HURRICANE WINDS AND HEAVY
APPALACHIAN SNOWS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.5N 70.5W
ABOUT 290 MI...465 KM E OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 470 MI...760 KM SSE OF NEW YORK CITY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...950 MB...28.05 INCHES


AT 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE SANDY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.5 WEST. SANDY IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD
THE NORTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...WITH A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST EXPECTED ON MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...
THE CENTER OF SANDY WILL MOVE OVER THE COAST OF THE MID-ATLANTIC
STATES LATE MONDAY OR MONDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SANDY IS EXPECTED TO TRANSITION INTO A FRONTAL OR WINTERTIME
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM PRIOR TO LANDFALL. HOWEVER...THIS TRANSITION
WILL NOT BE ACCOMPANIED BY A WEAKENING OF THE SYSTEM...AND IN
FACT...A LITTLE STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THIS PROCESS.
SANDY IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AFTER MOVING INLAND.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...
280 KM...MAINLY TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 520 MILES...835 KM. A NATIONAL
OCEAN SERVICE STATION AT THE WILLOUGHBY DEGAUSSING STATION NEAR
NORFOLK NAVAL STATION VIRGINIA RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF
45 MPH...72 KM/H...WITH A GUST TO 53 MPH...85 KM/H. A WEATHERFLOW
STATION AT THIMBLE SHOALS VIRGINIA RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED
WINDS OF 44 MPH...70 KM/H...AND A WIND GUST OF 52 MPH...83 KM/H.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON AIR FORCE RESERVE AND NOAA
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT DATA IS 950 MB...28.05 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING OVER COASTAL
NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA. GALE FORCE WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO ARRIVE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST LATER
TONIGHT...AND REACH LONG ISLAND AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND BY MONDAY
MORNING. WINDS OF HURRICANE FORCE COULD REACH THE MID-ATLANTIC
STATES...INCLUDING LONG ISLAND...ON MONDAY. WINDS AFFECTING THE
UPPER FLOORS OF HIGH RISE BUILDINGS WILL BE SIGNIFICANTLY STRONGER
THAN THOSE NEAR GROUND LEVEL.

STORM SURGE...THE COMBINATION OF AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM SURGE
AND THE TIDE WILL CAUSE NORMALLY DRY AREAS NEAR THE COAST TO BE
FLOODED BY RISING WATERS. THE WATER COULD REACH THE FOLLOWING
DEPTHS ABOVE GROUND IF THE PEAK SURGE OCCURS AT THE TIME OF HIGH
TIDE...

NC NORTH OF SURF CITY INCLUDING PAMLICO/ALBEMARLE SOUNDS...4 TO 6 FT
SE VA AND DELMARVA INCLUDING LOWER CHESAPEAKE BAY...2 TO 4 FT
UPPER AND MIDDLE CHESAPEAKE BAY...1 TO 3 FT
LONG ISLAND SOUND...RARITAN BAY...AND NEW YORK HARBOR...6 TO 11 FT
ELSEWHERE FROM OCEAN CITY MD TO THE CT/RI BORDER...4 TO 8 FT
CT/RI BORDER TO THE SOUTH SHORE OF CAPE COD INCLUDING BUZZARDS
BAY AND NARRAGANSETT BAY...3 TO 6 FT
CAPE COD TO THE MA/NH BORDER INCLUDING CAPE COD BAY...2 TO 4 FT
MA/NH BORDER TO THE U. S./CANADA BORDER...1 TO 3 FT

SURGE-RELATED FLOODING DEPENDS ON THE RELATIVE TIMING OF THE SURGE
AND THE TIDAL CYCLE...AND CAN VARY GREATLY OVER SHORT DISTANCES.
GIVEN THE LARGE WIND FIELD ASSOCIATED WITH SANDY...ELEVATED WATER
LEVELS COULD SPAN MULTIPLE TIDE CYCLES RESULTING IN REPEATED AND
EXTENDED PERIODS OF COASTAL AND BAYSIDE FLOODING. IN ADDITION...
ELEVATED WATERS COULD OCCUR FAR REMOVED FROM THE CENTER OF SANDY.
FURTHERMORE...THESE CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR REGARDLESS OF WHETHER
SANDY IS A TROPICAL OR POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE. FOR INFORMATION
SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE.

RAINFALL...RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER FAR
NORTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM TOTALS OF 8
INCHES POSSIBLE. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE EXPECTED
OVER PORTIONS OF THE MID ATLANTIC STATES...INCLUDING THE DELMARVA
PENINSULA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
OF 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE FROM THE SOUTHERN TIER OF NEW YORK STATE
NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH NEW ENGLAND.

SNOWFALL...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 3 FEET ARE EXPECTED IN THE
MOUNTAINS OF WEST VIRGINIA...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS TONIGHT
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. SNOWFALL OF 1 TO 2 FEET IS EXPECTED IN
THE MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA TO THE KENTUCKY BORDER...
WITH 12 TO 18 INCHES OF SNOW POSSIBLE IN THE MOUNTAINS NEAR THE
NORTH CAROLINA/TENNESSEE BORDER AND IN THE MOUNTAINS OF WESTERN
MARYLAND.

SURF...DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FROM FLORIDA THROUGH
THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AND SPREAD INTO
THE NORTHEASTERN STATES LATER TODAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 AM EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN/ROBERTS

Hurricane SANDY Public Advisory

 

[depotoo]

HURRICANE SANDY DISCUSSION NUMBER 27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182012
1100 PM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012

THE CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER OF SANDY HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER
ORGANIZED THIS EVENING...WITH A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
REPORTING A 25-35 MILE WIDE EYE WITH AN OPEN EYEWALL. HOWEVER...
THE STRONGEST WINDS IN THE STORM ARE NOT OCCURRING IN THE
EYEWALL...AS THE NOAA AND AIR FORCE RESERVE AIRCRAFT FOUND A LARGE
AREA OF AT LEAST 60 KT SURFACE WINDS ABOUT 100-120 N MI SOUTHWEST
OF THE CENTER. IN ADDITION...THE AIR FORCE PLANE REPORTED 700-MB
FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS OF 102 KT. BASED ON THESE DATA...AND THE
LIKELIHOOD THAT THE STRONGEST WINDS WERE NOT SAMPLED...THE INITIAL
INTENSITY REMAINS 65 KT.

SANDY HAS TURNED A LITTLE TO THE LEFT DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS...
WITH THE INITIAL MOTION NOW 035/12. THERE IS LITTLE CHANGE TO THE
TRACK GUIDANCE OR THE FORECAST TRACK SINCE THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY...
WITH SANDY EXPECTED TO TURN NORTHWARD DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS
AND NORTHWESTWARD ON MONDAY. THE FORECAST TRACK BRINGS THE CENTER
NEAR OVER THE COAST OF THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES IN ABOUT 30 HOURS...
AND IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT SOME OF THE GUIDANCE HAS AN EARLIER
LANDFALL TIME THAN THE OFFICIAL FORECAST. AFTER LANDFALL...SANDY
IS EXPECTED TO MERGE WITH THE DEEP-LAYER BAROCLINIC TROUGH OVER THE
EASTERN UNITED STATES AND GRADUALLY TURN NORTHWARD. A TURN TOWARD
THE EAST IS LIKELY BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD IF SANDY
SURVIVES THAT LONG.

VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS DECREASED OVER SANDY...AND THE CENTER IS
MOVING OVER A LOCALLY WARMER PATCH OF WATER. THESE CONDITIONS MAY
HAVE ALLOWED THE EYEWALL FORMATION...AND THEY COULD LEAD TO SOME
STRENGTHENING IN ADDITION TO THAT CAUSED BY BAROCLINIC PROCESSES.
HOWEVER...SURFACE AND UPPER-AIR DATA SHOW THAT THE PROCESS OF
EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION IS BEGINNING...WITH THE LOW-LEVEL COLD
FRONT NOW INTERACTING WITH THE WEST SIDE OF THE CIRCULATION. THIS
TRANSITION IS EXPECTED TO BE COMPLETE WITHIN 24 HOURS...BUT IT WILL
NOT DIMINISH THE OVERALL IMPACTS FROM WINDS TO HURRICANE
STRENGTH...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE...AND FLOODING RAINS
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS DANGEROUS WEATHER SYSTEM. SANDY IS EXPECTED
TO WEAKEN AFTER LANDFALL.

AS NOTED IN PREVIOUS ADVISORIES...TO AVOID A HIGHLY DISRUPTIVE
CHANGE FROM TROPICAL TO NON-TROPICAL WARNINGS WHEN SANDY BECOMES
POST-TROPICAL...THE WIND HAZARD NORTH OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
AREA WILL CONTINUE TO BE CONVEYED THROUGH HIGH WIND WATCHES AND
WARNINGS ISSUED BY LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES.
Hurricane SANDY Public Advisory

 

[depotoo]

Hurricane Sandy
( Joe Fudge, Daily Press / October 28, 2012 )
High Water due to Sandy on Lodge Road in Poquoson this morning.
Pictures: Hurricane Sandy - dailypress.com

 

[depotoo]

Update Sunday 9:45 p.m.:

After initially stating area ports would be open to truck traffic Monday, the Virginia Port Authority has changed course.

Terminals in Newport News, Norfolk and Portsmouth will be closed.
The harbor was closed Sunday morning to commercial cargo vessels, and it will remain closed until the U.S. Coast Guard declares the sea lane and Thimble Shoals Channel safe and free of obstructions.

Storm update: Newport News, Portsmouth and Norfolk marine terminals closed Monday - dailypress.com

 

[depotoo]

according to the aircraft the highest winds as still south of the center.

 

[Unkotare]

I am in Florida and everyone is freaking out over a storm up north and i just gotta laugh at them. No one makes this big of a deal when hurricanes are heading towards us or when ones are heading to Texas or NO's SMH.

Yeah? Let's see you dig your tanned ass out of a blizzard, big mouth.

 

[depotoo]

surge maps have been updated and surge raised in some areas
Hurricane SANDY

 

[depotoo]

done for the night. Will continue tomorrow if there is interest.

Tom Kowal, left, and Joe Rulli, owners of Joeys Pizza and Pasta, board up their restaurant on Long Beach Blvd as Hurricane Sandy makes its way toward Long Beach Island. They were prepared with their orange sign from previous storms. Beach Haven, NJ 10/28/12 (John Munson/The Star-Ledger)
Hurricane Sandy live chat: Real-time questions and answers for Monday | NJ.com

 

[depotoo]

everyone stay safe!

 

[depotoo]

of I forgot it is snowing in North Carolina.

 

[Zoom-boing]

Thanks for all the updates, depotoo. It is appreciated!!

 

[Synthaholic]

Thank you.

One thing we know for certain, we won't call Obama for help

Because you won't have to - he has already been doing the job of disaster relief ahead of the disaster.

Picking fleas off himself is not disaster relief.

Dumbass.

http://www.usmessageboard.com/curre...-hurricane-sandy-preparation.html#post6241130

 

[editec]

running from a hurricane is old hat for the east coast from va down....new to the north...

Not new, but not frequent.


I've been in two disaster zones thanks to hurricanes: In pennsylvania in 1955 due to two Hurricanes (Hazel and Diane) that hit within days of each other, Those two hurricane killed hundred of people all over the NE:; and in a NorthEaster winter hurricane that hit Boston in 78 and closed that city for over a week.

 

[Ravi]

I am in Florida and everyone is freaking out over a storm up north and i just gotta laugh at them. No one makes this big of a deal when hurricanes are heading towards us or when ones are heading to Texas or NO's SMH.

We are used to hurricanes and know how to deal with them. You're a fool.

I hope that it is not as bad as it sounds like it is going to be. Be safe, everyone.

 

[Unkotare]

a NorthEaster winter hurricane that hit Boston in 78 and closed that city for over a week.

That was the Blizzard of '78.

 

[Rozman]

I remember when Republicans wanted to cut "disaster relief". They said the US shouldn't be a "nanny state". Eric Cantor was leading the charge, until his district was hit by an earthquake and then a hurricane. God, these Republicans. So awful.

You could have wished everyone in the path of the storm "Good Luck"
You could have offered advise on how to deal with a storm of this magnitude.

But you took the opportunity to attack republicans....

But then you are what you are.

 

[jillian]

Thank you.

One thing we know for certain, we won't call Obama for help

Because you won't have to - he has already been doing the job of disaster relief ahead of the disaster.

Picking fleas off himself is not disaster relief.

screw you, imbecile.

negged for being a lowlife.

 

[jillian]

I remember when Republicans wanted to cut "disaster relief". They said the US shouldn't be a "nanny state". Eric Cantor was leading the charge, until his district was hit by an earthquake and then a hurricane. God, these Republicans. So awful.

you are just a hateful SOB..EVERYTHING is politics and hate of others for you

why aren't you saying anything to scum like 2d?

As always... you're a bit selective in your fauxrage.

reality.. mittens said disaster relief was immoral. that seems pretty relevant right now.

and while i probably wouldn't have used this thread for politicking... that is true.

 

[JimH52]

Maybe, maybe not.....

How does it feel to be Brain Dead?

 

[JimH52]

absolutely ridiculous to make this political before the storm hits.

Let this thread be used to warn people of what is possible and how to prepare to be self sufficient for days as they need to as it could be difficult for help to get in immediately.

Too late. Eric Cantor already said we need to cut disaster relief or tie it to some bill. Get it? He already said it. Past tense. It's been said. Pointing out what that ass hat said doesn't make me the bad guy. It makes those that defend him bad.

He's gonna put that money into ambassador security.....

Good idea since he and his GOP buddies cut the budget for that security...

Jason Chaffetz Admits House GOP Cut Funding For Embassy Security: 'You Have To Prioritize Things'

The money for Millionaire tax deductions has got to come from somewhere!