by Jack Wakeland
Oct 28, 2005
http://www.tiadaily.com/php-bin/news/showArticle.php?id=1058
Oct 28, 2005
The good news about the war in Iraq is that it is Islamist militiamen, not American troops, who are taking losses approaching a debilitating rate.
How many of the enemy have we killed? American-led coalition forces have killed more than 15,000 enemy combatants, over 7,000 after the "End of Major Combat." (U.S. forces have accidentally killed about 8,000 Iraqi civilians.)
We have probably killed about 15% to 20% of all those who have taken up arms against us since the guerrilla war started. Another 15% or 20% have been captured, including many top leaders. Coalition forces have killed or captured at least 44 Baathists from the deck of 52, including Saddam Hussein and his two sons. About three quarters of the 10,000 Iraqis incarcerated in coalition-run prisons are insurgents. This includes more than 340 foreign terrorists who vowed to die in jihad, fighting.
The real question about the dead is: has the killing accomplished anything?
Over the past year, the coalition has created and trained Iraqi infantry forces that number more than 150,000. (They're organized and equipped no further than up to the battalion level.) The number is classified, but military observers estimate that slightly more than 100,000 of these soldiers are competent to operate in parallel with American combat forces. The U.S. has also trained and equipped nearly 100,000 security guards and police.
The new Iraqi infantry forces have been used to protect civil government and Iraqi police put in place in dozens of cities and towns throughout the Sunni triangle over the past 13 months. Re-opening cities and re-establishing civil government has brought forth thousands of citizens' reports on the whereabouts of foreign terrorists and local insurgents. A popular Iraqi T.V. show, "Terrorists in the Hands of Justice," profiles suspected terrorists and asks viewers to telephone their hot line with tips. They have received hundreds of calls.
In this process, the insurgency has lost all of its major safe havens. A loose knit coalition of Islamist militias used to control major cities like Fallujah, topple city governments from Ramadi to Mosul at will, and lay ambushes for American convoys throughout the country. We have force them to shrink their operations down to the level of urban terrorism. It has been an unprecedented wave of suicide bombings--at least twice the total number of all past Muslim suicide attacks. But it is a murderous, fighting retreat.
Over the past 13 months, the insurgency has been damaged from Baghdad to Mosul, up and down the Euphrates from Fallujah to the Syrian border, and across the deserts of Anbar Province. It has been damaged to the point that American and Iraqi forces are now beginning to pick up or pick off top terrorist leaders. In the past month the enemy has lost the head of Baghdad's al Qaeda operations, their top financier in Syria, and the head of the Mujahedeen of the Victorious Sect Brigades (one of the largest of the dozen and a half major Iraqi insurgent groups, a group that has been active since June 2003).
The successful invasion of Iraq in 2003 changed the balance of power in the region, emboldening Rafik Hariri and the Lebanese to resist and then (after Hariri's assassination) to push out the Syrian occupation. The failure of the Iraqi insurgency to dislodge the United States has removed the only hope for the survival of Assad's regime. By doing the hard, bloody work American soldiers and Marines are accomplishing our nation's long-term anti-terrorism policy of moving the Arab world towards being a string of peaceful republics.
Before the Army and the Marine Corps arrived in Baghdad, only one Arab country, Morocco, was on the path to representative government. Now Lebanon and Iraq are. And Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and the other oil emirates are taking preliminary steps towards living a more America-centric world.
Although the republic is becoming the accepted norm of Arab politics, the Arab culture is a long way away from accepting liberty. But the anti-American Arab monolith that we faced before September 11 has been broken. Our soldiers have shattered the pseudo-self-esteem of Arab Muslims who used to see themselves as courageous warriors for a grand old civilization that will rise again.
Like a criminal who has run out of easy victims to dominate, Arabs now see themselves as the failures at life that they really are. They're just another group of miserably poor people, limited by tribal tradition and religious superstition, oppressed by tyrants who have flattered them with false claims to greatness. The mirage of the conquering Arab horseman, saber raised gloriously over his head, has been swept away. The Arabs now see it is the people of India, Mexico, Brazil, and Korea who are rising, moving towards greatness, assuming the full stature of modern civilized man, enjoying the bounties of a productive life, becoming happy.
We know that there are policies that would damage Islamism that the Bush administration has not employed. We know that his policy of virtual neutrality towards Iran and the Palestinians contradicts the whole, undermining the powerful force of intimidation we are capable of--an intimidation Syria's dictatorship is feeling at the moment. But criticisms of half measures from the White House ultimately fail to answer the question: is there a cheaper way to fight the war against Islamism? Is there a way to do it that costs fewer lives?
Confronting Islamism and fighting it where it lives is inevitably going to cost more American lives. The only answer to date is that we're learning how to do it with less loss of life. With more successes, we will learn faster. With better policies, we would have a more rapid sequence of successes from which to learn. But quickly or slowly, America is learning how to fight this what is an international criminal conspiracy, a global religious pogrom, a totalitarian plan, a guerilla war, and a stand up conventional war against evil nations.
http://www.tiadaily.com/php-bin/news/showArticle.php?id=1058