For more than a month, NATO fighter jets have been enforcing a United Nations mandated no-fly zone over Libya, preventing Colonel Moammar Gadhafi from using air power against Libyans who have rebelled against him. NATO warplanes have also attacked the Libyan leaderÂ’s military installations, communication sites and command and control centers. GadhafiÂ’s compound in Tripoli has been hit. Some military analysts say the international coalition has in essence become the rebelsÂ’ air force.
Officially, the NATO action is to protect innocent civilians. But several western leaders, including President Barack Obama, have said Gadhafi must go - prompting experts to say the real objective is regime change, something the U.S. president has denied. John Bolton, former U.S. ambassador to the United Nations, says Colonel Gadhafi can be defeated by air power alone. "By attacking where we think Gadhafi is. By attacking the top command of his military. By attacking the regimeÂ’s military. By attacking government offices and making it clear we are going to shatter that regime and weÂ’re not going to stop until we succeed," he said.
Issues behind air power
But despite NATO's air strikes, the rebel forces have made little progress in their fight against the Libyan leader. Paul Rogers, Professor of Peace Studies at Bradford University in Britain, says there are two reasons why air power alone will not change the situation. "One is that the forces loyal to Colonel Gadhafi have proved very versatile," he said. "TheyÂ’ve adapted very quickly having to operate under aggressive air cover, dispersing their equipment, avoiding the use of large items and the rest." "The other issue is that in fact the NATO countries that are primarily involved - that is Britain and France, now that the United States has withdrawn most of its strike aircraft - these countries are actually running really quite badly short of precision-guided munitions they are using. So there is actually a shortage at that level, which may in the next week or two limit the degree of air cover that NATO can actually provide," he added.
Italy, which is providing military bases for logistical support, says it will also participate in air strikes in Libya. But Rogers says the main problem is that the rebel force is disorganized and ill-equipped. "It looks as though quite a number of the military who basically have left the Gadhafi regime have really gone to ground, theyÂ’ve not formed part of the rebellion," he said. "And essentially what you do have is a lot of enthusiastic, very committed and often very courageous people, but with no real military training and very little in the way of modern armaments. There have been many cases where they may have had machine guns or side arms but without the munitions to use them."
'Game-changing weapons'