1)
There is no clear and compelling national interest. Humanitarian military interventions are ineffective. Lobbing missiles does not reduce violence. Bottom line, it's not our war.
2)
Chemical weapons should not be a 'red line'. Even if Assad used these weapons and not his enemies (far from clear), the case for treating chemical weapons as somehow different than far more deadly conventional weapons is weak. Over 100,000 have been killed in this war with conventional weapons - a tiny fraction by chemical weapons. Dead is dead and as Rwanda proved, you don't need anything more than machetes to kill hundreds of thousands.
3)
Victory has not been defined! No one has articulated what victory in Syria looks like. Why should we fight, who are we helping, and how do we know if we've succeeded? If we can't answer these questions, we shouldn't get involved.
4)
Missiles and a 'no fly zone' will not be effective. "Limited" action by the US will do no good, according to the experts:
- Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Martin Dempsey told NPR last month, the possible results of enforcing a no-fly zone could "include the loss of U.S. aircraft, which would require us to insert personnel recovery forces. It may also fail to reduce the violence or shift the momentum..."
- Anthony Cordesman of the Center for Strategic and International Studies explained it to the L.A. Times: “Can you do damage with cruise missiles? Yes,” he said. “Can you stop them from having chemical weapons capability? I would think the answer would be no."
5)
ItÂ’s hard to keep limited actions limited. As Chairman Dempsey further cautioned, "Once we take action, we should be prepared for what comes next. Deeper involvement is hard to avoid." John Kerry implied the same yesterday when he said boots on the ground were possible. Great, then what?
6)
Deposing one regime means living with an imperfect successor. Why are we ignoring history? We wind up entangling the US in civil wars with outcomes clearly not worth the price.
7)
The people do not want this war. Every poll clearly indicates the people are not interested in military intervention, chemical weapons or not.
8)
If either side wins, it does not help the US. Our enemies are killing our enemies. So what's the problem?