US Murder Rate Headed for Record 1-Year Drop

[Billiejeens]

The U.S. appears headed for the largest one-year drop in murders in history, according to a well-known crime analyst.

That's the conclusion of crime statistics expert Jeff Asher, who says new national data show killings plunging at a pace not seen in modern recordkeeping.

According to Asher's Real-Time Crime Index (RTCI), the United States is on track for the biggest single-year decline in murders ever recorded — a striking reversal after the COVID-era crime surge.

Last month, FBI Director Kash Patel said the 2025 homicide rate will be the lowest in "modern history," crediting a bureau-wide shift toward fighting violent crime.

Independent analysts such as Asher say the data strongly point in that direction.

RTCI is a large national database that compiles reported crime data from hundreds of law enforcement agencies and is updated regularly, long before official federal numbers are released.

RTCI data currently available through October show murders down nearly 20% compared with the same period in 2024.

The index's glossary notes that its murder category excludes cases such as accidental deaths and deaths caused by negligence, meaning the index aims to track "willful (nonnegligent) killings," aligning closely with standard FBI definitions.

https://www.newsmax.com/us/u-s-murder-rate-record/2025/12/24/id/1239532/?ns_mail_uid=8b9eb87a-9dca-4572-9849-d1110f8f0987&ns_mail_job=DM896353_12242025&s=acs&dkt_nbr=010104hucex8

BJ -
Of course -
We will see how well this trend continues.

 

[WEATHER53]

Make all forms of law enforcement more visible and proactive and this happens
Lib loons cry foul and racism.

 

[Foxfyre]

The U.S. appears headed for the largest one-year drop in murders in history, according to a well-known crime analyst.

That's the conclusion of crime statistics expert Jeff Asher, who says new national data show killings plunging at a pace not seen in modern recordkeeping.

According to Asher's Real-Time Crime Index (RTCI), the United States is on track for the biggest single-year decline in murders ever recorded — a striking reversal after the COVID-era crime surge.

Last month, FBI Director Kash Patel said the 2025 homicide rate will be the lowest in "modern history," crediting a bureau-wide shift toward fighting violent crime.

Independent analysts such as Asher say the data strongly point in that direction.

RTCI is a large national database that compiles reported crime data from hundreds of law enforcement agencies and is updated regularly, long before official federal numbers are released.

RTCI data currently available through October show murders down nearly 20% compared with the same period in 2024.

The index's glossary notes that its murder category excludes cases such as accidental deaths and deaths caused by negligence, meaning the index aims to track "willful (nonnegligent) killings," aligning closely with standard FBI definitions.

https://www.newsmax.com/us/u-s-murder-rate-record/2025/12/24/id/1239532/?ns_mail_uid=8b9eb87a-9dca-4572-9849-d1110f8f0987&ns_mail_job=DM896353_12242025&s=acs&dkt_nbr=010104hucex8

BJ -
Of course -
We will see how well this trend continues.

It's the difference between a MAGA law and order priority vs a Biden/Democrat mentality of coddling criminals and giving them more rights than law abiding citizens.

 

[Lockback]

It's the difference between a MAGA law and order priority vs a Biden/Democrat mentality of coddling criminals and giving them more rights than law abiding citizens.

This is simply inarguable.
It's just plain fact.
They'll deny it because there's something wrong with them.
But it's the simple truth.

 

[WEATHER53]

This is simply inarguable.
It's just plain fact.
They'll deny it because there's something wrong with them.
But it's the simple truth.

Feelings always Trumps facts in lib loon land

 

[Lockback]

Feelings always Trumps facts in lib loon land

Always.

 

[1srelluc]

There are still reporting "challenges" but the fact remains that getting shed of illegals and tamping down crime in DC is having the desired effect.

Even Baltimore is starting to see the light with repeat offenders being held with stiff bonds instead of just being let go like they were before.

It's like the border....You really don't need an "act of congress" to get things more in hand....Just follow the laws on the books.

 

[Stann]

The U.S. appears headed for the largest one-year drop in murders in history, according to a well-known crime analyst.

That's the conclusion of crime statistics expert Jeff Asher, who says new national data show killings plunging at a pace not seen in modern recordkeeping.

According to Asher's Real-Time Crime Index (RTCI), the United States is on track for the biggest single-year decline in murders ever recorded — a striking reversal after the COVID-era crime surge.

Last month, FBI Director Kash Patel said the 2025 homicide rate will be the lowest in "modern history," crediting a bureau-wide shift toward fighting violent crime.

Independent analysts such as Asher say the data strongly point in that direction.

RTCI is a large national database that compiles reported crime data from hundreds of law enforcement agencies and is updated regularly, long before official federal numbers are released.

RTCI data currently available through October show murders down nearly 20% compared with the same period in 2024.

The index's glossary notes that its murder category excludes cases such as accidental deaths and deaths caused by negligence, meaning the index aims to track "willful (nonnegligent) killings," aligning closely with standard FBI definitions.

https://www.newsmax.com/us/u-s-murder-rate-record/2025/12/24/id/1239532/?ns_mail_uid=8b9eb87a-9dca-4572-9849-d1110f8f0987&ns_mail_job=DM896353_12242025&s=acs&dkt_nbr=010104hucex8

BJ -
Of course -
We will see how well this trend continues.

The murder rate has been dropping for many years now. Long before trump came on the scene.

 

[rightwinger]

Looks like Trump can call off the National Guard after all

 

[Foxfyre]

The murder rate has been dropping for many years now. Long before trump came on the scene.

Perhaps you would now like to address the OP which is not whether the murder rate has dropped or not?

And perhaps you would like to check the data before you post?

Violent crime went up, not down under Biden, revised FBI numbers show

Violent crime increased under Joe Biden rather than decreasing as previously thought, revised figures from the FBI show.

www.yahoo.com

 

[WEATHER53]

The murder rate has been dropping for many years now. Long before trump came on the scene.

Incorrect
First year of such a downturn
Does not match your wishes nor feelings so lie and deny

 

[rightwinger]

Incorrect
First year of such a downturn
Does not match your wishes nor feelings so lie and deny

According to the OP, there has been a steady decline since the COVID spike

 

[Independent thinker]

The U.S. appears headed for the largest one-year drop in murders in history, according to a well-known crime analyst.

That's the conclusion of crime statistics expert Jeff Asher, who says new national data show killings plunging at a pace not seen in modern recordkeeping.

According to Asher's Real-Time Crime Index (RTCI), the United States is on track for the biggest single-year decline in murders ever recorded — a striking reversal after the COVID-era crime surge.

Last month, FBI Director Kash Patel said the 2025 homicide rate will be the lowest in "modern history," crediting a bureau-wide shift toward fighting violent crime.

Independent analysts such as Asher say the data strongly point in that direction.

RTCI is a large national database that compiles reported crime data from hundreds of law enforcement agencies and is updated regularly, long before official federal numbers are released.

RTCI data currently available through October show murders down nearly 20% compared with the same period in 2024.

The index's glossary notes that its murder category excludes cases such as accidental deaths and deaths caused by negligence, meaning the index aims to track "willful (nonnegligent) killings," aligning closely with standard FBI definitions.

https://www.newsmax.com/us/u-s-murder-rate-record/2025/12/24/id/1239532/?ns_mail_uid=8b9eb87a-9dca-4572-9849-d1110f8f0987&ns_mail_job=DM896353_12242025&s=acs&dkt_nbr=010104hucex8

BJ -
Of course -
We will see how well this trend continues.

I'm sure democrats will try to claim that it is all because of them.

 

[rightwinger]

I'm sure democrats will try to claim that it is all because of them.

Cities are run by Democrats

 

[Stann]

Perhaps you would now like to address the OP which is not whether the murder rate has dropped or not?

And perhaps you would like to check the data before you post?

Violent crime went up, not down under Biden, revised FBI numbers show

Violent crime increased under Joe Biden rather than decreasing as previously thought, revised figures from the FBI show.

www.yahoo.com

Yahoo !

 

[Stann]

Cities are run by Democrats

For the most part. And they're doing a great job overall.

 

[sparky]

Cities are run by Democrats

have you been to our cities RW'er...? ~S~

 

[rightwinger]

have you been to our cities RW'er...? ~S~

8 of the 10 largest

 

[d0gbreath]

Looks like Trump can call off the National Guard after all

The supremes are going to make him. The Honorable Justice Clarence Thomas recently told President Trump: "Your end is here."

 

[Stann]

8 of the 10 largest

And aren't they great. So much to offer. No wonder so many prefer city life to rural.