Tariffs are a good thing? Don't fool yourself, given that tariffs are good at the beginning but over time they bring more negatives than positives.
This is being shown today with all earnings and economic reports (including GDP) being positive and yet with Trump's announcement that the tariffs are now set (with the exception of Mexico, who has been given a 90-extension), the market has tanked.
The indexes sold off yesterday afternoon after the new all-time highs were made in both the SPX and the NASDAQ. Both of them were key negative reversals, having made the new all-time highs and then closing below Wednesday's lows. The SPX did it on Tuesday but with so many reports due out, it did not get confirmed. Yesterday and with META reporting killer earnings on Wednesday evening and opening 13% higher in price (and maintaining most of those gains), the negative key reversal in the NAZ is indicative.
Last night AAPL and AMZN reported earnings and both came out better than expected but AAPL is only up 2% an AMZN is down 8% in the pre-opening prices today.
Here is the comment I gave to my subscribers this morning.
Trump announced his now set tariffs (with the exception of Mexico) and that has been the one strong negative this morning. He says these tariffs will now stick (won't be changed unless a deal is struck with the nation in play) an that has been the negative that caused the sell off yesterday and the much lower opening this morning. Since yesterday's high, the DOW has fallen 1600 points, the SPX has fallen 213 points and the NASDAQ100 has fallen 914 points.
The NASDAQ and the SPX have generated a key negative reversal, which normally signals that a high for this rally has been found and that a correction is now happening.
With all the positive earnings reports this week (META killed it and AAPL and AMZN came in much better than expected) and the GDP coming in at 3%, there was no fundamental reason for this selloff, other than the tariffs being considered a big negative.
From this moment on, the market will begin to show the real consequences (or benefits) of the tariffs. Having said that, this reaction suggests that the traders consider them a negative.