This old US politician Graham should resign and spend the rest of his life in the box down below. Amen!


When this regime goes down, we’re going to have a new Middle East, we are going to make a ton of money. Nobody will threaten the Strait of Hormuz again, Graham said, adding that the US will install a “friendly” government in Tehran.
“Venezuela and Iran have 31% of the world’s oil reserves. We’re going to have a partnership with 31% of the known reserves. This is China’s nightmare. This is a good investment.”
source:
US will ‘make a ton of money’ from Iran war – senator — RT World News –
Senator Lindsey Graham believes the US could reap major profits from oil trade following the Iran war

This reasoning is poor. Key problems:
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Oversimplified causal chain: It assumes regime change automatically leads to a “friendly” government, immediate control over oil, and stable commercial access—each step is historically uncertain and often false. Regime changes frequently produce instability, insurgency, contested legitimacy, or prolonged occupation that block economic benefits.
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Legal and geopolitical realities ignored: Seizing or controlling another country’s resources would violate international law, trigger sanctions, and likely provoke armed resistance and diplomatic isolation. That makes peaceful, profitable access unlikely.
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Economic naivety: Global oil markets are complex—prices, production capacity, investment needs, and alternative suppliers (including renewables and U.S./Saudi production) shape revenues. Owning reserves doesn’t guarantee immediate profit; extracting and exporting oil requires time, capital, security, and market access.
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Strategic blowback underestimated: Military action to secure oil would likely provoke wider regional conflict, disrupt shipping (including the Strait of Hormuz), and raise insurance and transport costs—reducing, not increasing, profitability.
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Ethical and political costs omitted: The argument treats people and sovereignty as assets, ignoring humanitarian, governance, and long-term stability considerations that affect feasibility and legitimacy.
A more realistic assessment would account for uncertainty at every step, significant legal/geopolitical obstacles, market dynamics, and likely long-term costs that could easily outweigh any projected profits. 