U.S. Economy Was Vulnerable Before War With Iran.

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Economic growth at the end of 2025 was revised downward and consumer prices rose at the start of 2026.


Economic growth was slower at the end of 2025 than data first showed and inflationary pressures persisted at the start of this year, a troubling snapshot of an economy on unsteady footing before war with Iran upended oil and financial markets.

U.S. Economy Was Vulnerable Before War With Iran
Economic growth at the end of 2025 was revised downward and consumer prices rose at the start of 2026.




The latest price data offers a worrisome setup for inflation going forward.Credit...Hiroko Masuike/The New York Times
Talmon Joseph Smith
By Talmon Joseph Smith
March 13, 2026Updated 10:18 a.m. ET

Economic growth was slower at the end of 2025 than data first showed and inflationary pressures persisted at the start of this year, a troubling snapshot of an economy on unsteady footing before war with Iran upended oil and financial markets.

Consumer prices increased moderately in January, the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge showed on Friday. Economists worry prices will march even higher in the coming weeks. And gross domestic product, the benchmark measure of economic growth, which is adjusted for inflation, was revised down to a 0.7 percent annual pace for the last three months of the year.

The Personal Consumption Expenditures price index, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, notched a 0.3 percent monthly increase in the first month of 2026. Compared with the same time last year, prices were up 2.8 percent. The “core” inflation reading, which strips out more volatile food and energy prices, came in at 0.4 percent on a monthly basis, and 3.1 percent on an annual basis. That is a full percentage point above the Fed’s 2 percent target.


Consumer Confidence is down, The price of gas is going upl The price of barrel of oil is over $100.00.

Trump Administration Didn't Anticipate Iran's Willingness To Close Strait Of Hormuz: CNN.
.

Who, in Trump's Administration failed to remember The Iran/Iraq War? Did NOT anticipate Iran closing the Straits Hormuz. Iran now has all but shut down the flow of oil world wide. Thanks Trump
 
Economic growth at the end of 2025 was revised downward and consumer prices rose at the start of 2026.


Economic growth was slower at the end of 2025 than data first showed and inflationary pressures persisted at the start of this year, a troubling snapshot of an economy on unsteady footing before war with Iran upended oil and financial markets.

U.S. Economy Was Vulnerable Before War With Iran
Economic growth at the end of 2025 was revised downward and consumer prices rose at the start of 2026.




The latest price data offers a worrisome setup for inflation going forward.Credit...Hiroko Masuike/The New York Times
Talmon Joseph Smith
By Talmon Joseph Smith
March 13, 2026Updated 10:18 a.m. ET

Economic growth was slower at the end of 2025 than data first showed and inflationary pressures persisted at the start of this year, a troubling snapshot of an economy on unsteady footing before war with Iran upended oil and financial markets.

Consumer prices increased moderately in January, the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge showed on Friday. Economists worry prices will march even higher in the coming weeks. And gross domestic product, the benchmark measure of economic growth, which is adjusted for inflation, was revised down to a 0.7 percent annual pace for the last three months of the year.

The Personal Consumption Expenditures price index, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, notched a 0.3 percent monthly increase in the first month of 2026. Compared with the same time last year, prices were up 2.8 percent. The “core” inflation reading, which strips out more volatile food and energy prices, came in at 0.4 percent on a monthly basis, and 3.1 percent on an annual basis. That is a full percentage point above the Fed’s 2 percent target.


Consumer Confidence is down, The price of gas is going upl The price of barrel of oil is over $100.00.

Trump Administration Didn't Anticipate Iran's Willingness To Close Strait Of Hormuz: CNN.
.

Who, in Trump's Administration failed to remember The Iran/Iraq War? Did NOT anticipate Iran closing the Straits Hormuz. Iran now has all but shut down the flow of oil world wide. Thanks Trump
why is gas still much cheaper than the price hikes seen in much of the Biden admin ?
 
why is gas still much cheaper than the price hikes seen in much of the Biden admin ?
Gas did not reach $8 in LA under Biden, nearly, but not quite.

In some places it is now $8.20 under Trump.

1773421851175.webp



Just wait till the end of May, we're going to be really really screwed.
 
Gas did not reach $8 in LA under Biden, nearly, but not quite.

In some places it is now $8.20 under Trump.

View attachment 1230450


Just wait till the end of May, we're going to be really really screwed.

You're right. Not $8 under Biden but nearly $10 under Biden.


Judy Schlafer owns Schlafer’s Auto Body & Repair in Mendocino and said her last load of 8,880 gallons of gas, which has to be paid off in 10 days, cost about $50,000. Three months ago, she said she paid about $20,000 less for the same size load. Schlafer said that if she didn't charge $9.60, she'd be out of business.
 
Gas did not reach $8 in LA under Biden, nearly, but not quite.

In some places it is now $8.20 under Trump.

View attachment 1230450


Just wait till the end of May, we're going to be really really screwed.
HDPszytbQAAROHq.webp
HDQBupyXAAAzP5l.webp
 
Economic growth at the end of 2025 was revised downward and consumer prices rose at the start of 2026.


Economic growth was slower at the end of 2025 than data first showed and inflationary pressures persisted at the start of this year, a troubling snapshot of an economy on unsteady footing before war with Iran upended oil and financial markets.

U.S. Economy Was Vulnerable Before War With Iran
Economic growth at the end of 2025 was revised downward and consumer prices rose at the start of 2026.




The latest price data offers a worrisome setup for inflation going forward.Credit...Hiroko Masuike/The New York Times
Talmon Joseph Smith
By Talmon Joseph Smith
March 13, 2026Updated 10:18 a.m. ET

Economic growth was slower at the end of 2025 than data first showed and inflationary pressures persisted at the start of this year, a troubling snapshot of an economy on unsteady footing before war with Iran upended oil and financial markets.

Consumer prices increased moderately in January, the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge showed on Friday. Economists worry prices will march even higher in the coming weeks. And gross domestic product, the benchmark measure of economic growth, which is adjusted for inflation, was revised down to a 0.7 percent annual pace for the last three months of the year.

The Personal Consumption Expenditures price index, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, notched a 0.3 percent monthly increase in the first month of 2026. Compared with the same time last year, prices were up 2.8 percent. The “core” inflation reading, which strips out more volatile food and energy prices, came in at 0.4 percent on a monthly basis, and 3.1 percent on an annual basis. That is a full percentage point above the Fed’s 2 percent target.


Consumer Confidence is down, The price of gas is going upl The price of barrel of oil is over $100.00.

Trump Administration Didn't Anticipate Iran's Willingness To Close Strait Of Hormuz: CNN.
.

Who, in Trump's Administration failed to remember The Iran/Iraq War? Did NOT anticipate Iran closing the Straits Hormuz. Iran now has all but shut down the flow of oil world wide. Thanks Trump
1770917301272.webp
 
You're right. Not $8 under Biden but nearly $10 under Biden.


Judy Schlafer owns Schlafer’s Auto Body & Repair in Mendocino and said her last load of 8,880 gallons of gas, which has to be paid off in 10 days, cost about $50,000. Three months ago, she said she paid about $20,000 less for the same size load. Schlafer said that if she didn't charge $9.60, she'd be out of business.
HDG1WRJaMAIfohb.webp
 
Economic growth at the end of 2025 was revised downward and consumer prices rose at the start of 2026.


Economic growth was slower at the end of 2025 than data first showed and inflationary pressures persisted at the start of this year, a troubling snapshot of an economy on unsteady footing before war with Iran upended oil and financial markets.

U.S. Economy Was Vulnerable Before War With Iran
Economic growth at the end of 2025 was revised downward and consumer prices rose at the start of 2026.




The latest price data offers a worrisome setup for inflation going forward.Credit...Hiroko Masuike/The New York Times
Talmon Joseph Smith
By Talmon Joseph Smith
March 13, 2026Updated 10:18 a.m. ET

Economic growth was slower at the end of 2025 than data first showed and inflationary pressures persisted at the start of this year, a troubling snapshot of an economy on unsteady footing before war with Iran upended oil and financial markets.

Consumer prices increased moderately in January, the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge showed on Friday. Economists worry prices will march even higher in the coming weeks. And gross domestic product, the benchmark measure of economic growth, which is adjusted for inflation, was revised down to a 0.7 percent annual pace for the last three months of the year.

The Personal Consumption Expenditures price index, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, notched a 0.3 percent monthly increase in the first month of 2026. Compared with the same time last year, prices were up 2.8 percent. The “core” inflation reading, which strips out more volatile food and energy prices, came in at 0.4 percent on a monthly basis, and 3.1 percent on an annual basis. That is a full percentage point above the Fed’s 2 percent target.


Consumer Confidence is down, The price of gas is going upl The price of barrel of oil is over $100.00.

Trump Administration Didn't Anticipate Iran's Willingness To Close Strait Of Hormuz: CNN.
.

Who, in Trump's Administration failed to remember The Iran/Iraq War? Did NOT anticipate Iran closing the Straits Hormuz. Iran now has all but shut down the flow of oil world wide. Thanks Trump
I see what you're saying. You're saying that Trump does what is best for the country, even if it makes him look bad.
 
Updates from international goods transportation
  • Maersk is not using Suez route and is going around Africa adding weeks and cost to shipments
  • Ships bound for Middle East are backing up ports - particularly in India adding weeks and cost to shipments
  • Carriers are preparing fuel surcharges for shipments around the world and in US
    • Each dollar of diesel increase adds 10% to inbound costs

Inflation is coming.
 
I would think higher energy prices would affect inflation than restricted container shipping.

The issue is that 'how much' is unknown.
 
I would think higher energy prices would affect inflation than restricted container shipping.

The issue is that 'how much' is unknown.
Slowdown reduces supply = Cost increase

More fuel for longer routes = Cost increase

Higher priced fuel = Cost increase

It's like covid deja vu.
 
Slowdown reduces supply = Cost increase

More fuel for longer routes = Cost increase

Higher priced fuel = Cost increase

It's like covid deja vu.

Once again: how much is unknown.

Are you saying the sky is falling.
 
15th post
Once again: how much is unknown.

Are you saying the sky is falling.
Unknowing is the enemy of efficiency.

I am saying higher cost are coming which leads to less supply which leads to higher prices.
 
Economic growth at the end of 2025 was revised downward and consumer prices rose at the start of 2026.


Economic growth was slower at the end of 2025 than data first showed and inflationary pressures persisted at the start of this year, a troubling snapshot of an economy on unsteady footing before war with Iran upended oil and financial markets.

U.S. Economy Was Vulnerable Before War With Iran
Economic growth at the end of 2025 was revised downward and consumer prices rose at the start of 2026.




The latest price data offers a worrisome setup for inflation going forward.Credit...Hiroko Masuike/The New York Times
Talmon Joseph Smith
By Talmon Joseph Smith
March 13, 2026Updated 10:18 a.m. ET

Economic growth was slower at the end of 2025 than data first showed and inflationary pressures persisted at the start of this year, a troubling snapshot of an economy on unsteady footing before war with Iran upended oil and financial markets.

Consumer prices increased moderately in January, the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge showed on Friday. Economists worry prices will march even higher in the coming weeks. And gross domestic product, the benchmark measure of economic growth, which is adjusted for inflation, was revised down to a 0.7 percent annual pace for the last three months of the year.

The Personal Consumption Expenditures price index, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, notched a 0.3 percent monthly increase in the first month of 2026. Compared with the same time last year, prices were up 2.8 percent. The “core” inflation reading, which strips out more volatile food and energy prices, came in at 0.4 percent on a monthly basis, and 3.1 percent on an annual basis. That is a full percentage point above the Fed’s 2 percent target.


Consumer Confidence is down, The price of gas is going upl The price of barrel of oil is over $100.00.

Trump Administration Didn't Anticipate Iran's Willingness To Close Strait Of Hormuz: CNN.
.

Who, in Trump's Administration failed to remember The Iran/Iraq War? Did NOT anticipate Iran closing the Straits Hormuz. Iran now has all but shut down the flow of oil world wide. Thanks Trump
The economy was so bad, the DJIA was setting new records every week.
 
Economic growth at the end of 2025 was revised downward and consumer prices rose at the start of 2026.


Economic growth was slower at the end of 2025 than data first showed and inflationary pressures persisted at the start of this year, a troubling snapshot of an economy on unsteady footing before war with Iran upended oil and financial markets.

U.S. Economy Was Vulnerable Before War With Iran
Economic growth at the end of 2025 was revised downward and consumer prices rose at the start of 2026.




The latest price data offers a worrisome setup for inflation going forward.Credit...Hiroko Masuike/The New York Times
Talmon Joseph Smith
By Talmon Joseph Smith
March 13, 2026Updated 10:18 a.m. ET

Economic growth was slower at the end of 2025 than data first showed and inflationary pressures persisted at the start of this year, a troubling snapshot of an economy on unsteady footing before war with Iran upended oil and financial markets.

Consumer prices increased moderately in January, the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge showed on Friday. Economists worry prices will march even higher in the coming weeks. And gross domestic product, the benchmark measure of economic growth, which is adjusted for inflation, was revised down to a 0.7 percent annual pace for the last three months of the year.

The Personal Consumption Expenditures price index, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, notched a 0.3 percent monthly increase in the first month of 2026. Compared with the same time last year, prices were up 2.8 percent. The “core” inflation reading, which strips out more volatile food and energy prices, came in at 0.4 percent on a monthly basis, and 3.1 percent on an annual basis. That is a full percentage point above the Fed’s 2 percent target.


Consumer Confidence is down, The price of gas is going upl The price of barrel of oil is over $100.00.

Trump Administration Didn't Anticipate Iran's Willingness To Close Strait Of Hormuz: CNN.
.

Who, in Trump's Administration failed to remember The Iran/Iraq War? Did NOT anticipate Iran closing the Straits Hormuz. Iran now has all but shut down the flow of oil world wide. Thanks Trump
Add in the climate change increases , -this heat wave is estimated to add 1% to food this yesr
 

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