1. “… where did that famous “consensus” claim that “98% of all scientists believe in global warming” come from? It originated from an endlessly reported 2009 American Geophysical Union (AGU) survey consisting of an intentionally brief two-minute, two question online survey sent to 10,257 earth scientists by two researchers at the University of Illinois. Of the about 3.000 who responded, 82% answered “yes” to the second question, which like the first, most people I know would also have agreed with.
Lucky for you we also have other studies showing the same thing. Oreskes stuy in 2004, Dorans in 2009, Anderegg in 2010, Cook in 2013, Stenhouse in 2014, Carlton in 2015. All were based on the question of humans being the primary cause of global warming currently.
And all are between 93 and 99%. In fact some like Cook broke out the responders. Cook for example showed that when we go from Scientific consensus vs. expert consensus, the most experience, closely related field to climatology and higher the education the higher the consensus. Also that in countries where human cause Climate Change is not a politically debated topic, that scientific consensus is 99% plus.
Now when we go to peer reviewed studies and papers on global warming we have 97% of them written between 1991 and 2016 reaching the position that humans are causing global warming. This was a peer reviewed study (12000 scientists reviewed this), and each paper's authors were contacted to ensure their belief was humans are the cause of global warming was their end belief.
Then we had the Benny Peiser scandal. Naomi Oreskes had done a 10 year study on peer reviewed papers, and found NOT ONE paper rejected the position that global warming was caused by humans. Benny Peiser contradicted that with his own paper purportedly proving that initial study was wrong. His report brought this "debate" back to the mainstream when he said "only 13 (1%) explicitly endorse the 'consensus view'." Well he was forced with facts and had to issue his retraction, saying "I do not think anyone is questioning that we are in a period of global warming. Neither do I doubt that the overwhelming majority of climatologists is agreed that the current warming period is mostly due to human impact."
In fact he went on to say he retracted 97% of his statement (so 97% + 1% is.... the 98% consensus).
With this great work of lying and using false information to try and sway the public away from science, he was given the position as the head of the top anti-human global warming lobby group in the UK. Because if you can't get a real scientist, get one who makes up the lies really loudly.
Speaking of that consensus, 12 federal agencies under the Trump administration released their report based on input from thousands of the best scientists in America. And Climate change is affected by humans and " threatens the health and well-being of the American people"
This report was reviewed and accepted as well by the National Academy of Sciences,
And the year before we had the release of the "Climate Science Special Report" a purely scientific document from the top scientists of 13 federal agencies also reviewed by the NAS.
That Trump administration report said "human activities, especially emissions of greenhouse gases, are the dominant cause of the observed warming since the mid-20th century. "
and
"The magnitude of climate change beyond the next few decades will depend primarily on the amount of greenhouse gases (especially carbon dioxide) emitted globally."
The fact is, Trump can't just stop science in the government. He can't just fire all the scientists and replace them with idiots who will say "global warming is fake".
So he is forced to keep reporting to the US that Global warming is real, and is caused by humans releasing greenhouse gasses.
But he can round up that a small group with 14 different other theories which mostly don't work together, and put out a little report really loudly... as long as he just rejects the rest of the United States and his federal governments while doing so.
We will see if this new report has the thousands of experts in those fields, or if that 98% or so is true and he isn't able to find that many to take part. We will see if it can pass any peer review of scientists, or if that 98% are opposing it.
we will see if the requirements stay for this new one of meeting in public, subject to public records requests and them being forced to include a representative membership.