There is a 39% chance of a Recession occurring this year

[BlackSand]

.

.​

 

[Rambunctious]

How did they ruin the country? The economy is good, inflation is down, people have health care, they have help from the government when they need it, they have freedom, etc.

Then why did Biden have the worse poll numbers in presidential history and had to be replaced by Kamala who lost in a landslide???

 

[krichton]

.

Sorry ... I kind of knew you weren't going to like it ...
And I wasn't really surprised you would have to say something stupid like that ...

.​

That's quite ironic coming from someone who won the best word salad of the day award.

 

[krichton]

Then why did Biden have the worse poll numbers in presidential history and had to be replaced by Kamala who lost in a landslide???

People also wanted cheaper eggs above everything else. Look at Trump's poll numbers right now. No one has realized it but egg prices wins and loses elections.

 

[Concerned American]

Will Trump cause a recession in 2025? Here’s what betting markets are predicting​

Polymarket, one the leading predictors, says there is a 37% chance America will slip into a recession in 2025. Kalshi, another leading predictor, says there’s a 42% chance. Both numbers have rise sharply in the past week.

Who or what is Polymarket?

Understanding Polymarket And Prediction Markets​

Traders use Polymarket to predict outcomes, but the platform itself doesn't predict future events. It measures how the crowd currently estimates probability based on available information, similar to how a thermometer measures current temperature rather than predicting it.

View attachment 1086267

Simply stated, Polymarket is not predicting anything, meaning that they cannot be accused of being biased. What they report is what the thinking is overall at this time, among the populace.

By the way, the Title says 39% chance and the link above says 37%. The reason for that is that the article is from November 24th and the 39% is from the current number given on their website: Polymarket | The World's Largest Prediction Market

After four years of Biden/democrat mismanagement, why am I not surprised.

 

[Concerned American]

Bottom line and reality is that the stock market went up under Biden and the economy was fine. Now, you are seeing the stock market highly volatile and the numbers for the economy shifting to the downside.

That is all FACT

Market was up and the Biden economy sucked. Guess you contradicted yourself right out of this conversation. LMAO

 

[Rambunctious]

People also wanted cheaper eggs above everything else. Look at Trump's poll numbers right now. No one has realized it but egg prices wins and loses elections.

Eggs are important because they are in so many products... the cost of eggs would be going down along with milk and bread prices but Biden and his agriculture secretary freaked out over the bird flu and ordered the slaughter of thousands and thousands of healthy chickens... needlessly... now it will take two years to resupply the birds to where they where....

 

[Concerned American]

Eggs are important because they are in so many products... the cost of eggs would be going down along with milk and bread prices but Biden and his agriculture secretary freaked out over the bird flu and ordered the slaughter of thousands and thousands of healthy chickens... needlessly... now it will take two years to resupply the birds to where they where....

Chicks are plentiful and it takes 18 weeks between birth and producing. We should see reductions soon.

 

[BlackSand]

That's quite ironic coming from someone who won the best word salad of the day award.

.

I know huh ... I'll try not to spend your imaginary prize money in one place either ...

.​

 

[Rambunctious]

Chicks are plentiful and it takes 18 weeks between birth and producing. We should see reductions soon.

They killed a lot of them... that's what I read... two years... but that was at least three months ago... so I don't really know the current situation....

 

[skye]

Will Trump cause a recession in 2025? Here’s what betting markets are predicting​

Polymarket, one the leading predictors, says there is a 37% chance America will slip into a recession in 2025. Kalshi, another leading predictor, says there’s a 42% chance. Both numbers have rise sharply in the past week.

Who or what is Polymarket?

Understanding Polymarket And Prediction Markets​

Traders use Polymarket to predict outcomes, but the platform itself doesn't predict future events. It measures how the crowd currently estimates probability based on available information, similar to how a thermometer measures current temperature rather than predicting it.

View attachment 1086267

Simply stated, Polymarket is not predicting anything, meaning that they cannot be accused of being biased. What they report is what the thinking is overall at this time, among the populace.

By the way, the Title says 39% chance and the link above says 37%. The reason for that is that the article is from November 24th and the 39% is from the current number given on their website: Polymarket | The World's Largest Prediction Market

The sky is falling

 

[Luckyone]

Then why did Biden have the worse poll numbers in presidential history and had to be replaced by Kamala who lost in a landslide???

Answer the question if YOU can. Do not tell me about poll numbers. That is bias generated by Trump.

If you make a statement, back it UP

 

[Rambunctious]

Answer the question if YOU can. Do not tell me about poll numbers. That is bias generated by Trump.

If you make a statement, back it UP

That is the answer... its shows you are wrong about inflation and the economy and healthcare..... you are wrong about Biden being successful in anything... if everything was as good as you say.... Kamala or Biden would be president today.....

 

[Luckyone]

That is the answer... its shows you are wrong about inflation and the economy and healthcare..... you are wrong about Biden being successful in anything... if everything was as good as you say.... Kamala or Biden would be president today.....

But you can't prove your statement by showing exactly how Biden wrecked the nation, can you?

Your response is that he got voted out right and that proves he was bad, right?

You must then believe that con artists don't exist, and no one is ever conned, right?

You do know that 1 in 3 Americans suffered losses last year due to cons?

AI Overview

In 2024, a Bankrate survey indicated that more than one in three Americans (34%) experienced financial fraud or a scam in the past year, with nearly two in five (37%) of that group losing money.

So, and with Trump being one of the best con artists ever, you do not believe he could have conned his cult members into believing that Biden was bad and vote against him?

 

[Toddsterpatriot]

So, and with Trump being one of the best con artists ever, you do not believe he could have conned his cult members into believing that Biden was bad and vote against him?

The con artists on the left tried to fool their voters into thinking Biden was competent and Kamala was likable and qualified. They failed.

 

[Concerned American]

But you can't prove your statement by showing exactly how Biden wrecked the nation, can you?

Your response is that he got voted out right and that proves he was bad, right?

You must then believe that con artists don't exist, and no one is ever conned, right?

You do know that 1 in 3 Americans suffered losses last year due to cons?

AI Overview

In 2024, a Bankrate survey indicated that more than one in three Americans (34%) experienced financial fraud or a scam in the past year, with nearly two in five (37%) of that group losing money.

So, and with Trump being one of the best con artists ever, you do not believe he could have conned his cult members into believing that Biden was bad and vote against him?

Biden's incompetence and criminality turned the voters against he and the democrats. The 2024 election results confirm it. That you can't accept it illustrates that TDS sufferers cannot be reasoned with.

 

[Scoutster]

The sky is falling

 

[Mac1958]

It's definitely no guarantee, but this guy is very well respected in the industry, as is GS:

 

[Luckyone]

NVDA has lost $1 Trillion in value since Trump took office. When the #1 company in the world goes down so much, something tangibly wrong is happening.

 

[Luckyone]

Funny how libs are all of a sudden worried about the economy...

Enjoy the graph