There is a 39% chance of a Recession occurring this year

[MarathonMike]

Yourrecession better hurry up, Simp.

Another Banker prediction goes belly up.

 

[westwall]

Another Banker prediction goes belly up.

The wanker sure is terrible at predicting the stock market, ain't he. So many "years of experience" and he's never correct.

 

[otto105]

The wanker sure is terrible at predicting the stock market, ain't he. So many "years of experience" and he's never correct.

He’s like Larry kudlow.

 

[Hafar1014]

He’s like Larry kudlow.

There is zero chance of a recession

 

[Luckyone]

There is zero chance of a recession

You truly are clear on your statements ("ZERO chance of a recession") and 100% convinced that you are right and that you know what is going to happen. It would be interesting to see/know what you base your opinion on, especially given that very well-known and reputable firms do not necessarily agree with you.

AI Overview

For 2026, most economists see a moderate risk of a U.S. recession, with probabilities cited around 30% to 40%, though some forecasts are lower or slightly higher, balancing optimistic growth drivers (Fed cuts, AI investment) with concerns like lingering inflation, potential labor market cracks, and policy risks, indicating a cautious but not dire outlook for the economy.
Key Perspectives on 2026 Recession Odds:

• Moody's Analytics: Around 42% risk, noting the economy is "on the edge".
• Bloomberg Survey: Analysts forecast a 30% chance.
• J.P. Morgan: Assigns a 35% probability for U.S. and global recession.
• RSM US: Reduced their 12-month forecast to 30%, citing policy tailwinds.
• Bankrate Survey: Shows a wide range, with some economists seeing risks up to 50% or higher.

 

[Hafar1014]

You truly are clear on your statements ("ZERO chance of a recession") and 100% convinced that you are right and that you know what is going to happen. It would be interesting to see/know what you base your opinion on, especially given that very well-known and reputable firms do not necessarily agree with you.

AI Overview

For 2026, most economists see a moderate risk of a U.S. recession, with probabilities cited around 30% to 40%, though some forecasts are lower or slightly higher, balancing optimistic growth drivers (Fed cuts, AI investment) with concerns like lingering inflation, potential labor market cracks, and policy risks, indicating a cautious but not dire outlook for the economy.
Key Perspectives on 2026 Recession Odds:

• Moody's Analytics: Around 42% risk, noting the economy is "on the edge".
• Bloomberg Survey: Analysts forecast a 30% chance.
• J.P. Morgan: Assigns a 35% probability for U.S. and global recession.
• RSM US: Reduced their 12-month forecast to 30%, citing policy tailwinds.
• Bankrate Survey: Shows a wide range, with some economists seeing risks up to 50% or higher.

2026 will be the strongest economy in history

 

[Luckyone]

2026 will be the strongest economy in history

Your prediction is duly noted......................and you will be held 100% accountable for it.

Will you be "man enough" to acknowledge your error in judgement if proven wrong?

 

[otto105]

There is zero chance of a recession

Hilarious

We’re close to one now.

 

[Concerned American]

You truly are clear on your statements ("ZERO chance of a recession") and 100% convinced that you are right and that you know what is going to happen. It would be interesting to see/know what you base your opinion on, especially given that very well-known and reputable firms do not necessarily agree with you.

AI Overview

For 2026, most economists see a moderate risk of a U.S. recession, with probabilities cited around 30% to 40%, though some forecasts are lower or slightly higher, balancing optimistic growth drivers (Fed cuts, AI investment) with concerns like lingering inflation, potential labor market cracks, and policy risks, indicating a cautious but not dire outlook for the economy.
Key Perspectives on 2026 Recession Odds:

• Moody's Analytics: Around 42% risk, noting the economy is "on the edge".
• Bloomberg Survey: Analysts forecast a 30% chance.
• J.P. Morgan: Assigns a 35% probability for U.S. and global recession.
• RSM US: Reduced their 12-month forecast to 30%, citing policy tailwinds.
• Bankrate Survey: Shows a wide range, with some economists seeing risks up to 50% or higher.

You made your false prediction on Mar. 1, 2025 that there would be a recession in 2025. I don't think we're going to slip into a recession in 13 days. You can double down and keep predicting more recessions and odds are eventually you'll be right. Even a blind squirrel gets a nut sometimes.

 

[MarathonMike]

You truly are clear on your statements ("ZERO chance of a recession") and 100% convinced that you are right and that you know what is going to happen. It would be interesting to see/know what you base your opinion on, especially given that very well-known and reputable firms do not necessarily agree with you.

AI Overview

For 2026, most economists see a moderate risk of a U.S. recession, with probabilities cited around 30% to 40%, though some forecasts are lower or slightly higher, balancing optimistic growth drivers (Fed cuts, AI investment) with concerns like lingering inflation, potential labor market cracks, and policy risks, indicating a cautious but not dire outlook for the economy.
Key Perspectives on 2026 Recession Odds:

• Moody's Analytics: Around 42% risk, noting the economy is "on the edge".
• Bloomberg Survey: Analysts forecast a 30% chance.
• J.P. Morgan: Assigns a 35% probability for U.S. and global recession.
• RSM US: Reduced their 12-month forecast to 30%, citing policy tailwinds.
• Bankrate Survey: Shows a wide range, with some economists seeing risks up to 50% or higher.

Same ol same ol you were pumping about 2025. But like a good Democrat Trump Hater, always wrong never in doubt.

 

[westwall]

You truly are clear on your statements ("ZERO chance of a recession") and 100% convinced that you are right and that you know what is going to happen. It would be interesting to see/know what you base your opinion on, especially given that very well-known and reputable firms do not necessarily agree with you.

AI Overview

For 2026, most economists see a moderate risk of a U.S. recession, with probabilities cited around 30% to 40%, though some forecasts are lower or slightly higher, balancing optimistic growth drivers (Fed cuts, AI investment) with concerns like lingering inflation, potential labor market cracks, and policy risks, indicating a cautious but not dire outlook for the economy.
Key Perspectives on 2026 Recession Odds:

• Moody's Analytics: Around 42% risk, noting the economy is "on the edge".
• Bloomberg Survey: Analysts forecast a 30% chance.
• J.P. Morgan: Assigns a 35% probability for U.S. and global recession.
• RSM US: Reduced their 12-month forecast to 30%, citing policy tailwinds.
• Bankrate Survey: Shows a wide range, with some economists seeing risks up to 50% or higher.

Sooooo, you are incapable of having an original thought of your own.

But, we already knew that about you.....didn't we.

 

[otto105]

Sooooo, you are incapable of having an original thought of your own.

But, we already knew that about you.....didn't we.

So the cult says….

 

[SweetTea]

Hilarious

We’re close to one now.

Both headline and core CPI were both down in November. Yes, inflation is cooling. 3rd quarter GDP is estimated to be around 3.5-3.6% compared to 2.3-2.4% for the 4th quarter of last year when Biden was in office. The stock market is doing well.

I’m not sure where you get your information, but you should take everything left-wing economic “think” tanks say with a large grain of salt. They have long since let their hatred of Trump skew their predictions.

 

[SweetTea]

You truly are clear on your statements ("ZERO chance of a recession") and 100% convinced that you are right and that you know what is going to happen. It would be interesting to see/know what you base your opinion on, especially given that very well-known and reputable firms do not necessarily agree with you.

AI Overview

For 2026, most economists see a moderate risk of a U.S. recession, with probabilities cited around 30% to 40%, though some forecasts are lower or slightly higher, balancing optimistic growth drivers (Fed cuts, AI investment) with concerns like lingering inflation, potential labor market cracks, and policy risks, indicating a cautious but not dire outlook for the economy.
Key Perspectives on 2026 Recession Odds:

• Moody's Analytics: Around 42% risk, noting the economy is "on the edge".
• Bloomberg Survey: Analysts forecast a 30% chance.
• J.P. Morgan: Assigns a 35% probability for U.S. and global recession.
• RSM US: Reduced their 12-month forecast to 30%, citing policy tailwinds.
• Bankrate Survey: Shows a wide range, with some economists seeing risks up to 50% or higher.

I agree there’s always some chance of a recession, but the chances are better that we avoid one than that we fall into one.

 

[Hafar1014]

Your prediction is duly noted......................and you will be held 100% accountable for it.

Will you be "man enough" to acknowledge your error in judgement if proven wrong?

There is zero chance of a recession in fact Trump has laid the foundation for a strong economy. Tax cuts regulation cuts, spending cuts tariffs, energy policies that work have already had a positive effect. Its just going to get better

 

[sparky]

recession is a shell game of an inflation reboot , where an inversely proportional relationship exists.....~S~

 

[Hafar1014]

recession is a shell game of an inflation reboot , where an inversely proportional relationship exists.....~S~

So how come all the recessions are caused by democrats. The recession under Bush was caused by Carter when the Community Reinvestment Act was passed

 

[sparky]

So how come all the recessions are caused by democrats. The recession under Bush was caused by Carter when the Community Reinvestment Act was passed

good point Hafar

i would only suggest anytime the government manipulates the market, after effects follow suit....

~S~

 

[Luckyone]

There is zero chance of a recession in fact Trump has laid the foundation for a strong economy. Tax cuts regulation cuts, spending cuts tariffs, energy policies that work have already had a positive effect. Its just going to get better

I hope you are right and that your knowledge and information about the economy is better than JP Morgan's or Moody's. If so, I will be looking for your information about trading the stock market in the future (smirk).

 

[westwall]

I hope you are right and that your knowledge and information about the economy is better than JP Morgan's or Moody's. If so, I will be looking for your information about trading the stock market in the future (smirk).

It's certainly better than anything you suggest. Your track record is one of catastrophe after catastrophe.