The View from China : Moscow Has Lost war in Ukraine . The main reasons why Moscow is now heading towards defeat are:

[Rigby5]

I dont think they ever intended to invade taiwan. MAYBE if all had gone well for Russia in Ukraine but probably not even then. Taiwan has been a thorn in their side for a LONG time. There is not much advantage to be had if they invade.

They probably agreed to act aggressively to distract the US from Putin's invasion in exchange for a trade deal with Russia.

Now that Russia has ground to a halt in Ukraine they will likely go back to their standard rhetoric and end the threat.

The truth is Rudssia and China never have been and never will be CLOSE allies. They may stike a temporary agreement but that is it. They will never trust each other. Much of Russia's military has always been in siberia protecting invasion routes which the Chinese would use if they attacked north. This will never change as the Chinese covet Siberia which is easier to invade than Taiwan. Siberia has massive room and resources which they desperately need.

Russia's biggest problem now is Xi deciding Taiwan is not worth the troiuble but siberia is much easier to move an army into.

All Russia wants to do is prevent NATO nukes from being put on Russia's border, so Russia has everything it wants.
That is the only reason they stopped.
And there is no indication they are every going to leave.
The Azov Battalion murdered too many ethnic Russian civilians, and if they ever came back to the Donetsk or Crimea, the civilians would murder them in retaliation.
The whole Ukraine will soon not exist, since they have no economy, and the US will soon be too broke to pump them up any more.

 

[Rigby5]

Nobody is trying to conquer Russia. Conquest is not needed, Russia’s sole claim to status has been its military power. That claim has now been decisively discredited. Attacking Ukraine was Russia’s last attempt at projecting itself as a world power.

It was not the Ukraine that stopped the advance on Kyiv, but US missiles.
When those missiles run out, Kyiv will be defenseless.
Won't take long now.

 

[2aguy]

HERE WE GO :


I. Moscow ’s position in the Moscow-Ukraine war has became increasingly passive and unfavorable. Its coming defeat is already clear.



The main reasons why Moscow is now heading towards defeat are:




Moscow has been declining ever since the collapse of the Soviet Union, a decline that is first of all a continuation of the pre-dissolution Soviet Union. It is also related to the failures of the internal and external policies of the Moscow ruling clique. This process has been exacerbated by Western economic sanctions which have damaged sectors of the Moscow economy. The so-called revival or revitalization of Moscow under Putin’s leadership is false; it simply does not exist. Russia’s decline is evident in its economic, military, technological, political, and social spheres, and has had a serious negative impact on the Moscow military and its war effort.
The failure of the Moscow blitzkrieg and the failure to achieve a quick victory signaled the beginning of the Moscow defeat. The Moscow military’s economic and financial strength, which are not commensurate with its status as a so-called military superpower, could not support a high-tech war costing hundreds of millions of dollars a day. The Moscow army’s poverty-driven defeat was evident everywhere on the battlefield. Every day that the war is delayed is a heavy burden for Moscow.
Moscow military and economic advantages over Ukraine have been offset by the resilience of Ukraine and the huge, sustained and effective aid provided to Ukraine. The generational differences between Moscow and the U.S. and other NATO countries in the areas of weapons and technology, military concepts, and modes of warfare make the advantages and disadvantages of both sides even more pronounced.
Modern wars are necessarily hybrid wars, covering military, economic, political, diplomatic, public opinion, propaganda, intelligence, and information. Moscow is not only in a passive position on the battlefield, but has lost in other areas. This means that it is only a matter of time before Moscow is finally. It is only a matter of time before Moscow is finally defeated.
Moscow can no longer decide when and how the war will end. Moscow is trying to end the war as soon as possible so it can hold on to what it has gained. This has failed. In this sense, Moscow has lost its strategic leadership and initiative.

2022: Fmr PRC Amb to Ukraine on Russia’s Impending Defeat and International Relations

In his now-censored May 2022 article Gao Yusheng, former PRC Ambassador to the Ukraine, explains why Russia is losing the war in Ukraine and the effect that may have on the international order. Gao…

gaodawei.wordpress.com

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One thing to keep in mind? Chinas military has no real wartime experience……they have a huge military that has never been tested in real combat…. So you can bet they are watching the Ukraine invasion very closely

 

[Mac-7]

The majority of the people of Taiwan are actually of Japanese ancestry, and hate the Republic of China invaders of 1952 with Chaing Kai Shek.

Wrong

Taiwan was a japanese colony for many decades and I dont doubt that the japanese left some DNA behind

Taiwan has an indiginois population and distinct language

They did not welcome the Nationalists in 1949 but seem to have accepted their presence in time

But communist china is not welcome in Taiwan

 

[Soupnazi630]

The US would not allow even a few short range Soviet nukes in Cuba, so why should Russia allow the Ukraine to join NATO and put long range nukes right on its border?
That not only would be suicide, but the Ukraine clearly violated its 1992 treaty promises, and was in fact in breach with an act of war.

As for the Ukraine, they have been proven to be the ones murdering civilians, stealing oil, and deliberately starting this war with US weapons.

The US never tried to put nukes in Ukraine.

You are posting lies about Ukraine they miurdered jone and stole no oil and Russia started the war.

 

[Soupnazi630]

Wrong.
The US had been arming the Ukraine since 2014.
The Ukraine not only has been taking over twice the loses, has thrown its economy away and will soon be starving.

The Ukraiinians were armed with Russian euipment when Russia started this war NOt us weapons..

The russians are taking more losses than the Ukrainians you are wrong and ignorant

 

[Soupnazi630]

All Russia wants to do is prevent NATO nukes from being put on Russia's border, so Russia has everything it wants.
That is the only reason they stopped.
And there is no indication they are every going to leave.
The Azov Battalion murdered too many ethnic Russian civilians, and if they ever came back to the Donetsk or Crimea, the civilians would murder them in retaliation.
The whole Ukraine will soon not exist, since they have no economy, and the US will soon be too broke to pump them up any more.

Wrong.


Russia never attempted to stop the US from placing nukes in Ukraine ebcause the US never attempted to do so.

You are pulling this stuff from your ass

They are already pulling back from Ukraine which IS an indication they are leaving.

The aggressor ( Russia ) is losing

 

[Litwin]

The aggressor ( Russia ) is losing

Moscow horde´s war record :- 1856 defeated by Britain and France 1905 defeated by Japan 1917 defeated by Germany 1920 defeated by Poland, Finland, Estonia and all Baltic states 1939 defeated by Finland 1969 defeated by China 1989 defeated by Afghanistan 1989 defeated in the Cold War. 1996 defeated by Chechnya 2022 defeated by Ukraine WW2 won USA/Britain , meanwhile Stalin's officers were shot or sent to the Gulags. Millions went to the Gulags, including Solzhenitsyn Moscow's only victories come from invading smaller countries :- a) Hungary 1956 b) Czechoslovakia 1968 c) Moldova 1992 d) Georgia 2008 we have been fighting the barbaric orient for the centuries , we Litwins know the drill ... "Let us begin with this evident fact: Muscovy does not belong at all to Europe, but to Asia. It follows that judging Muscovy and the Muscovites by our European standards is a mistake to be avoided."—gonzague de reynold, 19501 In methodological terms, one should de-Europeanise any analysis of Muscovy policy.— thomas gomart, 20062

 

[Litwin]

The US never tried to put nukes in Ukraine.

+1

ps

 

[Litwin]

If china is smart they will not invade Taiwan because the same thing ghat happened to putin could happen to Xi

+1

 

[Mac-7]

+1

If the western nations maintain their support for ukraine and it ends in a humiliating defeat for russia they may helped avoid war in the South China Sea

 

[Litwin]

If the western nations maintain their support for ukraine and it ends in a humiliating defeat for russia they may helped avoid war in the South China Sea

Send Ukrainians everything they need to reclaim 2014 borders. Slava Ukraine ! with Love From Sweden

 

[Soupnazi630]

The majority of the people of Taiwan are actually of Japanese ancestry, and hate the Republic of China invaders of 1952 with Chaing Kai Shek.

Bullshit.

As usual you pulled that from the depths of your ignorant imagination.

The vast majority of the population of Taiwan are CHINESE by heritage and ancestry.

Demographics of Taiwan - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

Less than 3 % are of Japanese ancestry.

 

[Richard-H]

I could be wrong, I've been wrong before.

But I just don't see it. Germany, France and Sweden all attempted and failed to conquer Russia, I just don't see the latest coalition as that much more formidable.

Nobody wants to invade Russia (except Litwin).

Russia has a history of revolutions and coups. You can bet that Putin will be removed from power soon.

Once that's done, a new Russian government will restore Democracy in Russia and make peace with Ukraine and the rest of the world.

 

[2aguy]

Nobody wants to invade Russia (except Litwin).

Russia has a history of revolutions and coups. You can bet that Putin will be removed from power soon.

Once that's done, a new Russian government will restore Democracy in Russia and make peace with Ukraine and the rest of the world.

Democracy in Russia? When did they have that?

 

[Richard-H]

Democracy in Russia? When did they have that?

They elected Yeltsin, didn't they?

 

[Litwin]

Nobody wants to invade Russia (except @Litwin).

why do you think so?
Muscovy is a dead empire, we dont need to invade this crap hole

Moscow collaped 2 times in 75 years without any invasion 1915, 1917, 1991

Moscow horde´s war record :- 1856 defeated by Britain and France 1905 defeated by Japan 1917 defeated by Germany 1920 defeated by Poland, Finland, Estonia and all Baltic states 1939 defeated by Finland 1969 defeated by China 1989 defeated by Afghanistan 1989 defeated in the Cold War. 1996 defeated by Chechnya 2022 defeated by Ukraine WW2 won USA/Britain , meanwhile Stalin's officers were shot or sent to the Gulags. Millions went to the Gulags, including Solzhenitsyn Moscow's only victories come from invading smaller countries :- a) Hungary 1956 b) Czechoslovakia 1968 c) Moldova 1992 d) Georgia 2008

 

[Litwin]

Democracy in Russia? When did they have that?

never , a mongol ulus can´t have a democracy

 

[Litwin]

They elected Yeltsin, didn't they?

during ussr (all power was in the hands of Gorbachev´s gang ) , than Yeltsin became a czar

 

[Toro]