The Next Several Election Cycles Are Painfully Predictable

[1srelluc]

It's easy to predict how these next several years are going to go. Despite the Republicans' mid-decade gerrymandering scheme, they're going to lose the House and possibly the Senate. The Democrats will waste the next two years holding hearings and grandstanding in front of the cameras being sure to get some viral quotes out there for the public and media to digest. They'll certainly make impeachments attempts on Trump and possibly Hegseth. Nothing will get accomplished in the meantime.

In 2028, Trump fatigue will have soaked in so much that a Democrat will win the White House, even if it's an incompetent grifter like Newsom. The Democrats will hold the House and probably win the Senate if they didn't already in '26. As usual, they'll misread the room and think they've been given some big mandate by the people to push whatever extreme economic and social nonsense they can imagine on the country. They'll piss off the American people and 2030 will usher in a Republican resurgence who will win back the House and likely the Senate.

By this time the national debt will probably be around $50 trillion with still no end in sight. Health care costs will be out of control because they keep Band-Aiding a gaping wound instead of finding a cure. AI will have supplanted millions of jobs and the same struggles we hear about now will still be the campaign focus, but short of any resolution. The tribalists will continue to play the game and be at each other's throats while they continue to be lambs to the slaughter. The American people will have learned nothing.

Pretty lame, so what is really different since the Civil War other than a POTUS only being able to serve two terms?

 

[Dogmaphobe]

You said it was DEM action that cause California to repeal their bi-partisian commision law base on voter ballot.

Except the actual start of GOP action in Texas.

I pointed out the lie of omission on the part you left out.

WW

I said that California Democrats were responsible for the redistricting. This is a fact. I said nothing of Texas Democrats, which you accused me of.

 

[WorldWatcher]

I said that California Democrats were responsible for the redistricting. This is a fact. I said nothing of Texas Democrats, which you accused me of.

You omitted that California was responding to Texas's redistricting and wanted to blame just California.

Why can't you be honest and admit it was a reaction to the Trump and the GOP in Texas executing a power grab to increase GOP seats in Congress?

WW

 

[Eman623]

A party is put in power, goes too far, pisses enough people off, gets voted out.

The other party does exactly the same thing, and gets voted out.

Wash, rinse, repeat. You're right, they don't learn.

We have to fix our rotted "system", or this just ends up killing us.

The fix is that one side or another wins and gets to dominate the political landscape for a generation. Instead of flip-flopping to extremes we have a sort of normalcy. =

FDR did it in 1932. Reagan did it in 1980. Will Trump do it in his two terms? Time will tell.

 

[ThisIsMe]

China is going to win.

Don't blame men like me, I tried to warn you.

View attachment 1191434

View attachment 1191437

Lol, china has ready won.

 

[BluesLegend]

Democrats are in BIG trouble! Watching House speaker Johnson in an interview this morning, articulating the Republicans accomplishments in one of the most successful House sessions in the country's history. Watching him articulate the lame position of the Democrats. Watching him articulate how we will mop the floor with Democrats in the midterms with our redistricting wins and that Dems are on defense in a vast majority of the races it struck me...

Democrats don't have a single leader who can speak well enough to articulate a message. Stuttering Joe half brain. Word salad Harris even when she's not drunk. Bunch of younger SKANK squad dipshits.

The Republicans have several top leaders who are some of the best professional speakers I have ever heard. So good it's a WEAPON we will use to demolish the Democrats.

 

[Nobody911]

A party is put in power, goes too far, pisses enough people off, gets voted out.

The other party does exactly the same thing, and gets voted out.

Wash, rinse, repeat. You're right, they don't learn.

We have to fix our rotted "system", or this just ends up killing us.

Probably too late! There's a lot of proof that shows rich folks and powerful elites have a big influence on US politics, no matter which party is in charge. Because of this, it seems like American democracy is slowly slipping away. Don't be surprised if your kids enjoy something called Plutocracy!

key points:

• Moneyed influence is structural: campaign finance rules, lobbying industries, and super‑PACs empower wealthy donors and corporations regardless of which party holds power.
• Policy alignment with elites appears bipartisan: studies (e.g., Gilens & Page) show average citizens’ preferences often lose out to economic elites’ preferences whether Democrats or Republicans control government.
• Revolving door and regulatory capture affect both parties: firms cultivate relationships with officials across administrations to secure favorable outcomes.
• Donor coalitions shift by issue, not just party: wealthy individuals and industries fund whichever candidates best protect their interests, creating cross‑party elite influence.
• Exceptions exist: party control and public pressure can produce redistributive policies (e.g., New Deal, Great Society) or progressive reforms, but these are often constrained by elite counterpressure or require strong social movements.

Bottom line: the mechanisms that give wealthy actors outsized influence operate irrespective of party; their effects vary by context but are a persistent feature of US politics.

sources:

• The influence of elites, interest groups and average voters on American politics - The Journalist's Resource
• U.S. more oligarchy than democracy, study suggests

 

[Chuz Life]

It's easy to predict how these next several years are going to go. Despite the Republicans' mid-decade gerrymandering scheme, they're going to lose the House and possibly the Senate. The Democrats will waste the next two years holding hearings and grandstanding in front of the cameras being sure to get some viral quotes out there for the public and media to digest. They'll certainly make impeachments attempts on Trump and possibly Hegseth. Nothing will get accomplished in the meantime.

In 2028, Trump fatigue will have soaked in so much that a Democrat will win the White House, even if it's an incompetent grifter like Newsom. The Democrats will hold the House and probably win the Senate if they didn't already in '26. As usual, they'll misread the room and think they've been given some big mandate by the people to push whatever extreme economic and social nonsense they can imagine on the country. They'll piss off the American people and 2030 will usher in a Republican resurgence who will win back the House and likely the Senate.

By this time the national debt will probably be around $50 trillion with still no end in sight. Health care costs will be out of control because they keep Band-Aiding a gaping wound instead of finding a cure. AI will have supplanted millions of jobs and the same struggles we hear about now will still be the campaign focus, but short of any resolution. The tribalists will continue to play the game and be at each other's throats while they continue to be lambs to the slaughter. The American people will have learned nothing.

Thread Moved To Satire,

You're Welcome!

 

[braalian]

Thread Moved To Satire,

You're Welcome!

Except it wasn’t

 

[Meathead]

It's easy to predict how these next several years are going to go. Despite the Republicans' mid-decade gerrymandering scheme, they're going to lose the House and possibly the Senate. The Democrats will waste the next two years holding hearings and grandstanding in front of the cameras being sure to get some viral quotes out there for the public and media to digest. They'll certainly make impeachments attempts on Trump and possibly Hegseth. Nothing will get accomplished in the meantime.

In 2028, Trump fatigue will have soaked in so much that a Democrat will win the White House, even if it's an incompetent grifter like Newsom. The Democrats will hold the House and probably win the Senate if they didn't already in '26. As usual, they'll misread the room and think they've been given some big mandate by the people to push whatever extreme economic and social nonsense they can imagine on the country. They'll piss off the American people and 2030 will usher in a Republican resurgence who will win back the House and likely the Senate.

By this time the national debt will probably be around $50 trillion with still no end in sight. Health care costs will be out of control because they keep Band-Aiding a gaping wound instead of finding a cure. AI will have supplanted millions of jobs and the same struggles we hear about now will still be the campaign focus, but short of any resolution. The tribalists will continue to play the game and be at each other's throats while they continue to be lambs to the slaughter. The American people will have learned nothing.

Dems have nothing to beat JD Vance in 2028 - FAIL!!!

 

[Tommy Tainant]

The only chance is if the CCP lose power and/or their system collapses.

Unless all of the West returns to a "trade based on values" system, all of humanity is in deep trouble. It will only get easier to destroy citizens when you are nothing but an electronic digit, subject to the whims of the state. Trump can lead this and who is going to openly disagree?

The Dems and GOP are both supposed to promote "standing by those who share values", so, make it contingent for trade.

THey are already pushing digital I.D in the U.K and posing it as "protecting against illegal workers". This is the future. The youth in China are already banned from work, they have apps that point out if someone is 500m from someone who has bad credit or something, it's insane.

Our species greatest threat is our own species.

Trump is most of the problem. America First doesnt build any alliances.

 

[Zincwarrior]

It's easy to predict how these next several years are going to go. Despite the Republicans' mid-decade gerrymandering scheme, they're going to lose the House and possibly the Senate. The Democrats will waste the next two years holding hearings and grandstanding in front of the cameras being sure to get some viral quotes out there for the public and media to digest. They'll certainly make impeachments attempts on Trump and possibly Hegseth. Nothing will get accomplished in the meantime.

In 2028, Trump fatigue will have soaked in so much that a Democrat will win the White House, even if it's an incompetent grifter like Newsom. The Democrats will hold the House and probably win the Senate if they didn't already in '26. As usual, they'll misread the room and think they've been given some big mandate by the people to push whatever extreme economic and social nonsense they can imagine on the country. They'll piss off the American people and 2030 will usher in a Republican resurgence who will win back the House and likely the Senate.

By this time the national debt will probably be around $50 trillion with still no end in sight. Health care costs will be out of control because they keep Band-Aiding a gaping wound instead of finding a cure. AI will have supplanted millions of jobs and the same struggles we hear about now will still be the campaign focus, but short of any resolution. The tribalists will continue to play the game and be at each other's throats while they continue to be lambs to the slaughter. The American people will have learned nothing.