Posts like this one of yours just reveal what a totally brainwashed delusional moron you are, wired&bent.
No answer to a simple question thunder? Not surprising at all, but still....
What might falsify the hypothesis of AGW?
In science a properly constructed hypothesis can be falsified if experimental evidence does not agree with its predictions. What you're calling "
the hypothesis of AGW" (it's actually a well established scientific theory at this point) gives several predictions:
1. A significant rise in average temperature means a rise in temperature that is statistically discernible from the baseline with a confidence > .95. The hypothesis is not falsified by the temperature data.
2. Human use of fossil fuels is casually related to climate change. This part is easily tested by measuring the isotopic composition of atmospheric carbon dioxide. The hypothesis is not falsified by the isotopic data.
3. Measurements of outgoing longwave radiation at the top of the atmosphere were predicted to show that radiation in the CO2 spectral bands has diminished as atmospheric CO2 levels have increased and this has indeed been observed. The hypothesis is not falsified by the satellite data.
4. Measurements of incoming solar radiation levels would have to show an increase in the amount of energy the Earth is getting from the sun to account for the observed warming and falsify the "
AGW hypothesis". Actual measurements show, if anything, a slight decrease in solar gain over the last decade or so. The hypothesis is not falsified by the satellite data.
5. The temperature should rise between 2 and 5 degrees (K) per century. The observed rate of increase is consistent with the hypothesis. If the rate of increase were significantly lower in the next 3 decades, the hypothesis could be falsified.
6. The hypothesis can be falsified by showing that there are not significant disruptions to natural systems. If it can be shown that a majority of the earth's ecosystems have the same types of species in the same abundance as a pre-industrial reference period then there is no effect and the hypothesis is falsified. The evidence is that significant changes to ecosystems have already happened. The hypothesis is not falsified.
The "AGW hypothesis" does not make any predictions that cannot be tested and therefore is a good hypothesis.
AGW deniers have been totally unable to come up with any other scientifically valid explanations or 'hypotheses" that can account for the evidence. The science whores stooging for the fossil fuel industry did come up with some supposed alternative explanations but they were all immediately falsified by the actual physical evidence or the laws of physics. You have no viable alternative hypothesis that can explain what has been happening to temperatures and climate patterns.
.
What is presently happening in the climate that is outside the boundries(sic) of natural variability.
- Arctic sea ice minimum is decreasing 11.5% per decade.
- Sea levels are rising at a current rate of about 3.27mm per year and accelerating.
- Global average temperature has increased 1.5 degrees in the last 130 years.
- Greenland is losing about 100 billion tons of ice mass per year.
- Many places have less snowpack than they used to, and this snowpack is melting earlier, threatening water supplies for human consumption and agriculture worldwide.
- Most of the glaciers all over the world have been melting for at least the last 50 years, and the rate of melting is speeding up. Many glaciers in many parts of the world, including both Glacier National Park and Alaska here in America, have shrunk dramatically or in some cases, disappeared entirely.
- Permafrost all across the Arctic in Alaska, Canada and Siberia is melting rapidly.
- 2010 was the third consecutive year—and the third time in recorded history—that both the Northwest Passage and Northeast Passage have melted free. The Northeast Passage opened for the first time in recorded history in 2005 and the Northwest Passage in 2007.
- Overall, the world's oceans are warmer now than at any point in at least the last 50 years and probably much longer. The change is most obvious in the top layer of the ocean, which has grown much warmer since the late 1800s. This top layer is now getting warmer at a rate of 0.2°F per decade.
- The amount of carbon dioxide dissolved in the oceans has increased all over the world over the last few decades, and so has ocean acidity, posing grave threats to ocean ecology and the food chain.
- Since the 1970s, droughts have become longer and more extreme worldwide, particularly in the tropics and subtropics.
- Over the past 20 years, hurricanes and other tropical storms in the Atlantic Ocean have become stronger.
- Since the 1980s, the United States has also experienced more intense single-day storms that are dumping a lot more rain or snow than usual.
- The global warming induced rise in ocean temperatures has caused more water to evaporate, raising water vapor levels in the atmosphere by about 4% and, as a result, the world is, on average, already getting more precipitation now than it did 100 years ago: 6 percent more in the United States and nearly 2 percent more worldwide.
Surely you don't need to rush out and cut and paste to answer such easy questions thunder. People are waiting for your answer.
What you seem to disdain as "
cut and paste" is actually just an insertion of actual scientific evidence into the debate to support my contentions. You're obviously unhappy with the inclusion of actual evidence because it domolishes your delusions and you're also obviously envious because you are unable to cite any actual scientific evidence to support your braindead delusions and denier cult myths.
By the way, here is how the predictions match up to the grossly exagerated
(sic) surface temperature record. As you can see, the grossly manipulated "reality" isn't even close to the predictions.
LOLOLOL......you denier cult nutjobs and your delusions are a hoot.....you are sooooo gullible and easily deceived.....
Misrepresentations of Hansen's Projections
(excerpts)
The 'Hansen was wrong' myth originated from testimony by scientist Pat Michaels before US House of Representatives in which he claimed "Ground-based temperatures from the IPCC show a rise of 0.11°C, or more than four times less than Hansen predicted....The forecast made in 1988 was an astounding failure."
This is an astonishingly false statement to make, particularly before the US Congress. It was also reproduced in Michael Crichton's science fiction novel State of Fear, which featured a scientist claiming that Hansen's 1988 projections were "overestimated by 300 percent."
Compare the figure Michaels produced to make this claim (Figure 1) to the corresponding figure taken directly out of Hansen's 1988 study (Figure 2).
Figure 1: Pat Michaels' presentation of Hansen's projections before US Congress
Figure 2: Projected global surface air temperature changes in Scenarios A, B, and C (Hansen 1988)
Notice that Michaels erased Hansen's Scenarios B and C despite the fact that as discussed above, Scenario A assumed continued exponential greenhouse gas growth, which did not occur. In other words, to support the claim that Hansen's projections were "an astounding failure," Michaels only showed the projection which was based on the emissions scenario which was furthest from reality.
http://c3headlines.typepad.com/.a/6a010536b58035970c015390615665970b-pi
http://c3headlines.typepad.com/.a/6a010536b58035970c0154346132dc970c-400wi
The US is cooling, europe is cooling and the southern hemisphere is cooling. Exactly where is this warming you cliam?
The bullcrap from your denier cult blogs is as phony as the rest of your denier cult myths and fantasies. The actual global temperature record show unmistakable warming.