Super Tuesday 2020

[Bush92]

August prognostications of things to watch for:

• Black voters will play huge role (obviously) in Southern states, but how will black men vote? Will they vote for Harris or stay true to male Joe Biden?
• Who can carry majority of Texas delegates?
• How big will Harris win California?
• Can Biden hang-on to establishment Virginia?
• Will American Samoa be enough for Tulsi Gabbard to hang on another week so Hawaii can vote for her. Watch her. She is my dark horse pick. At any moment her campaign can take off like a rocket. See how she does in Iowa. She could be like John Edwards was in 2004.
• Bernie wins New Hampshire and will hang around until convention to be the annoying old Jewish guy that won’t go away.
• Lizzie Warren won’t be “persistent” enough to survive after she loses New Hampshire. She won’t make Super Tuesday. Which candidate gets her supporters? Possibly Gabbard. That will make it interesting.
• 2020 Presidential Election Calendar

 

[rightwinger]

August prognostications of things to watch for:

• Black voters will play huge role (obviously) in Southern states, but how will black men vote? Will they vote for Harris or stay true to male Joe Biden?
• Who can carry majority of Texas delegates?
• How big will Harris win California?
• Can Biden hang-on to establishment Virginia?
• Will American Samoa be enough for Tulsi Gabbard to hang on another week so Hawaii can vote for her. Watch her. She is my dark horse pick. At any moment her campaign can take off like a rocket. See how she does in Iowa. She could be like John Edwards was in 2004.
• Bernie wins New Hampshire and will hang around until convention to be the annoying old Jewish guy that won’t go away.
• Lizzie Warren won’t be “persistent” enough to survive after she loses New Hampshire. She won’t make Super Tuesday. Which candidate gets her supporters? Possibly Gabbard. That will make it interesting.
• 2020 Presidential Election Calendar

Seems reasonable

Biden will chug along scooping up the majority of the delegates
Liz Warren is Hillary Lite and will run out of steam
Bernie is Bernie, he will hang in long after he has no chance

Booker, Harris, Gabbard, Buttengeig will continue to gain notoriety but will drop before Super Tuesday

 

[william the wie]

given the current betting line in Vegas there is only a 12.5% probability of Trump losing and I am far from certain that with all the leftists that go to Vegas that the odds are even further in his favor.