Sen. Kay Hagan now trailing all of her Republican challengers in North Carolina

[bripat9643]

She's going down, folks. One of many others to follow.

The Democrat butthurt is about to commence.

Sen. Kay Hagan now trailing all of her Republican challengers in North Carolina « Hot Air

It wasn’t so very long ago — as in, last September — that Democratic senator and enthusiastic ObamaCare cheerleader Kay Hagan was posting fairly comfortable margins leading all of the Republican challengers to her reelection bid this year. Cue the ObamaCare initiation sequence, however, and that all started to change pretty quickly. These past few months have been whittling away at her erstwhile lead, and even as the Republican primary race is starting to solidify, Public Policy Polling‘s latest update indicates that all of her potential opponents are seriously gaining on her:

For the first time in our polling of the North Carolina Senate race, presumptive frontrunner Thom Tillis has opened a little bit of space between himself and the rest of his opponents in the Republican primary. Tillis now leads the field with 19% to 11% for Greg Brannon and Heather Grant, 8% for Mark Harris, and 7% for Bill Flynn. …

39% of voters in the state say they approve of the job Hagan is doing to 49% who disapprove. She has 1 or 2 point deficits against each of her potential GOP foes. She’s down by 1 to Heather Grant (42/41) and Thom Tillis (43/42), and trails by 2 against the rest of the field (43/41 against Greg Brannon and Mark Harris, 44/42 against Bill Flynn.)​

 

[JoeB131]

A poll with 20% undecided is kind of meaningless at this point.

 

[ScienceRocks]

Because you want to gut science, infrastructure, r@d and bomb iran.

Doesn't sound too good to me.

 

[chikenwing]

Because you want to gut science, infrastructure, r@d and bomb iran.

Doesn't sound too good to me.

Where do you clowns come up with this stuff??

 

[Edgetho]

Because you want to gut science, infrastructure, r@d and bomb iran.

Doesn't sound too good to me.

Where do you clowns come up with this stuff??

Most dimocraps are lying scumbags.

I think this one is just simply stupid..

[ame=http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_detailpage&v=x7Q8UvJ1wvk]Who's More Pro-Science, Republicans or Democrats? - Neil deGrasse Tyson - YouTube[/ame]

 

[Dont Taz Me Bro]

A poll with 20% undecided is kind of meaningless at this point.

Not really. Undecideds generally break with the challenger by a 2 to 1 margin. Given the dismal outlook for Democrats this election cycle I don't see Hagan getting reelected. Same goes with Pryor and Begich.

 

[ScienceRocks]

Anyone that wants to cut noaa and nws isn't pro science. Sorry.

 

[Stephanie]

I hope she loses, she will be the sacrificial lamb over OScamCare

and then on to the rest who pushed OscamCare on us against our will

 

[AceRothstein]

Didn't you post the same exact thread a few days ago?

 

[Edgetho]

A poll with 20% undecided is kind of meaningless at this point.

Not really. Undecideds generally break with the challenger by a 2 to 1 margin. Given the dismal outlook for Democrats this election cycle I don't see Hagan getting reelected. Same goes with Pryor and Begich.

Yeah, if you ask your wife if she thinks the two of you will still be together in November and she says she's "undecided"........

You need to start packing.

 

[Edgetho]

Because you want to gut science, infrastructure, r@d and bomb iran.

Doesn't sound too good to me.

I responded to the above quote.

Anyone that wants to cut noaa and nws isn't pro science. Sorry.

I put the lie to your bullshit and you change your tune.

I was wrong, you're not just stupid, you're a typical, lying dimocrap scumbag.

And stupid.

The DNA that makes dimocraps, dimocraps

 

[JoeB131]

A poll with 20% undecided is kind of meaningless at this point.

Not really. Undecideds generally break with the challenger by a 2 to 1 margin. Given the dismal outlook for Democrats this election cycle I don't see Hagan getting reelected. Same goes with Pryor and Begich.

Actually, undecideds break for the incumbant.

fact is, in the last 10 years, the GOP has only been successful in unseating 4 incumbant Democrats.

And this is before we even find out how crazy some of these folks are.

Which one will be the first to stick an adjective in front of the word "Rape" when running against a woman?

 

[g5000]

She has 1 or 2 point deficits against each of her potential GOP foes.

This is all you need to know. This indicates the voters would prefer any Republican to the incumbent by a single point, and really know nothing about any of them.

If the GOP follows its recent pattern and self destructs and chooses the craziest of the bunch in the primaries, and the voters begin to actually learn some facts about the ultimate GOP candidate, she will start to gain the lead again.

So your gloating is premature.

A lot will also hinge on how many of the uninsured will get insurance this year. Her support for ObamaCare could whipsaw back into her favor very quickly.

 

[Dont Taz Me Bro]

Actually, undecideds break for the incumbant.

Actually, no, they don't and this is common knowledge in politics.

Incumbent Rule

Which one will be the first to stick an adjective in front of the word "Rape" when running against a woman?

Yes, a screwball candidate is always capable of snatching defeat from the jaws of victory (Sharron Angle, Christine O'Donnell, Todd Aiken, Robert Murdock), but right now I'm predicting a Republican controlled Senate this time next year. The health care law is a flop, Obama's approval rating has dipped back into the 30s, 42% of Americans think they're worse off financially now than last year. This will factor into the GOP picking up the six seats they need.

All of these Democratic held seats are in play:

South Dakota - Strong GOP Pick Up
West Virginia - Strong GOP Pick Up
Montana - Strong GOP Pick Up
North Carolina - Lean GOP Pick Up
Arkansas - Lean GOP Pick Up
Alaska - Toss Up
Louisiana - Toss Up
Michigan - Toss Up
Iowa - Lean Dem
New Hampshire - Lean Dem
Minnesota - Likely Dem
Virginia - Likely Dem (will be interesting to see how Gillespie's entrance into the race today affects this one)

 

[Steve_McGarrett]

Governor Sarah Palins endorsements who she campaigned for in 2010 unseated 13 incumbent Democrats in her "Take Back The 20' blitz causing the GOP to take back the House of Reps. It should be far worse this time around in 2014.


Yahoo!

Sarah Palin's 'Take Back the 20' PAC scores a bull's-eye

During the 2010 midterm elections, Sarah Palin went hunting for Democrats and nearly bagged her limit.

"Take Back the 20," Palin targeted 20 congressional districts across the country that John McCain carried in 2008 but had Democratic representatives in Congress.

The results, listed below, are eye-opening. Palin succeeded in 18 of 20 districts, losing in West Virginia's 3rd House District. At this time, the race in Arizona's 8th House District is too close to call.

The 18 Republican winners unseated freshman politicians, congressional veterans and even House Budget Committee Chairman John Spratt.

Here is the list of the 20 candidates Palin endorsed and the 2010 midterm results:

Tim Griffin (AR-2): Griffin defeated Joyce Elliott, a Democrat, for the seat being vacated by the outgoing Rep. Vic Snyder (D-AR2) 58 percent to 38 percent.

Paul Gosar (AZ-1): Gosar defeated Rep. Joyce Kirkpatrick, the Democratic incumbent, 50 percent to 44 percent.

David Schweikert (AZ-5): Schweikert defeated Rep. Harry Mitchell, the Democratic incumbent, 53 percent to 42 percent. Mitchell had represented Arizona's 5th District for two terms.

Jesse Kelly (AZ-8): As of Thursday afternoon, Rep. Gabrielle Giffords, the Democratic incumbent, holds a one-point lead over Republican challenger Jesse Kelly. In Arizona's 8th District, Kelly and Giffords are separated by just 2,300 votes.


Scott Tipton (CO-3): In the rematch between Rep. John Salazar (D-CO3) and Scott Tipton, the Republican challenger, Tipton defeated the incumbent 50 percent to 46 percent. In 2004, Salazar originally won the seat and defeated Tipton in the 2006 midterm election.

Cory Gardner (CO-4): Freshman Rep. Betsy Markey (D-CO4) was defeated by Republican challenger Cory Gardner 53 percent to 41 percent.

Steve Southerland (FL-2): Rep. Allen Boyd, a Democrat, has represented Florida's 2nd District since 1996. On Tuesday, funeral home director Steve Southerland, the Republican challenger, defeated Boyd 54 percent to 41 percent.

Sandy Adams (FL-24): Rep. Suzanne Kosmas, the Democratic incumbent, lost her bid for a second term to Republican challenger Sandy Adams 60 percent to 40 percent.

Larry Bucshon (IN-8): To paraphrase the famous song, Indiana's 8th District wants Republican Larry Bucshon in Congress. Dr. Bucshon defeated Trent Van Haaften 58 percent to 37 percent, replacing outgoing Rep. Brad Ellsworth, a Democrat.

Todd Young (IN9): Republican challenger Todd Young defeated Rep. Baron Hill, the Democratic incumbent, 52 percent to 42 percent.

Rick Berg (ND-AL): In North Dakota's lone, at-large congressional district, Republican challenger Rick Berg defeated Rep. Earl Pomeroy, the nine-term Democratic incumbent.

Jim Renacci (OH-16): Going for his second term, Rep. John Boccieri, the Democratic incumbent, lost his seat in Ohio's 16th District to Republican challenger Jim Renacci 52 percent to 41 percent.

Bill Johnson (OH-6): Republican challenger Bill Johnson defeated Rep. Charlie Wilson, the Democratic incumbent, 50 percent to 45 percent.

Tom Marino (PA-16): Republican challenger Tom Marino defeated Rep. Chris Carney, the incumbent Democrat, in Pennsylvania's 16th District 55 percent to 45 percent.

Mike Kelly (PA-3): Freshman Rep. Kathy Dahlkemper, a Democrat, lost her bid for a second term in Pennsylvania's 3rd District to Republican challenger Mike Kelly 56 percent to 44 percent.

Mick Mulvaney (SC-5): House Budget Committee Chairman John Spratt, a Democrat, lost his re-election bid to Republican challenger to South Carolina state Sen. Mick Mulvaney 55 percent to 45 percent.

Diane Black (TN-6): Replacing the 13-term Rep. Bart Gordon (D-TN6), Diane Black, a Republican, defeated Democratic candidate Brett Carter in Tennessee's 6th District 67 percent to 29 percent.

Robert Hurt (VA-5):Rep. Tom Perriello, the Democratic incumbent, lost his bid for a second term to Republican challenger Robert Hunt 51 percent to 47 percent. Hunt will represent Virginia's 5th District in the House of Representatives.

David McKinley (WV-1): With only 1,357 votes separating him from his challenger, Rep. Michael Oliverio, the Democratic incumbent, conceded the race for West Virginia's 1st Congressional District to David McKinley, a Republican.

Spike Maynard (WV-3): Rep. Nick Rahall, the Democratic incumbent, will continue to represent West Virginia's 3rd Congressional District. Rahall defeated Republican challenger Spike Maynard 55 percent to 45 percent.

 

[JoeB131]

Actually, undecideds break for the incumbant.

Actually, no, they don't and this is common knowledge in politics.

Incumbent Rule

Which one will be the first to stick an adjective in front of the word "Rape" when running against a woman?

Yes, a screwball candidate is always capable of snatching defeat from the jaws of victory (Sharron Angle, Christine O'Donnell, Todd Aiken, Robert Murdock), but right now I'm predicting a Republican controlled Senate this time next year. The health care law is a flop, Obama's approval rating has dipped back into the 30s, 42% of Americans think they're worse off financially now than last year. This will factor into the GOP picking up the six seats they need.

All of these Democratic held seats are in play:

South Dakota - Strong GOP Pick Up
West Virginia - Strong GOP Pick Up
Montana - Strong GOP Pick Up
North Carolina - Lean GOP Pick Up
Arkansas - Lean GOP Pick Up
Alaska - Toss Up
Louisiana - Toss Up
Michigan - Toss Up
Iowa - Lean Dem
New Hampshire - Lean Dem
Minnesota - Likely Dem
Virginia - Likely Dem (will be interesting to see how Gillespie's entrance into the race today affects this one)

Weren't you guys predicting a GOP controlled Senate in 2012? When you supposedly had 8 seats in play.

And then you ended up losing two seats?

The three "Strong Pickups" are vacancies. The only one that "leans" is Arkansas, and frankly, I'm sure you are going to find ways to blow the rest of them.

 

[Dont Taz Me Bro]

Actually, undecideds break for the incumbant.

Actually, no, they don't and this is common knowledge in politics.

Incumbent Rule

Which one will be the first to stick an adjective in front of the word "Rape" when running against a woman?

Yes, a screwball candidate is always capable of snatching defeat from the jaws of victory (Sharron Angle, Christine O'Donnell, Todd Aiken, Robert Murdock), but right now I'm predicting a Republican controlled Senate this time next year. The health care law is a flop, Obama's approval rating has dipped back into the 30s, 42% of Americans think they're worse off financially now than last year. This will factor into the GOP picking up the six seats they need.

All of these Democratic held seats are in play:

South Dakota - Strong GOP Pick Up
West Virginia - Strong GOP Pick Up
Montana - Strong GOP Pick Up
North Carolina - Lean GOP Pick Up
Arkansas - Lean GOP Pick Up
Alaska - Toss Up
Louisiana - Toss Up
Michigan - Toss Up
Iowa - Lean Dem
New Hampshire - Lean Dem
Minnesota - Likely Dem
Virginia - Likely Dem (will be interesting to see how Gillespie's entrance into the race today affects this one)

Weren't you guys predicting a GOP controlled Senate in 2012? When you supposedly had 8 seats in play.

No, I never predicted that.

And then you ended up losing two seats?

This isn't 2012

The three "Strong Pickups" are vacancies.

And that's already half of what they need.

The only one that "leans" is Arkansas, and frankly, I'm sure you are going to find ways to blow the rest of them.

North Carolina is also a "lean" at this point and it won't be the only one as we get closer to November. All the dynamics are now favoring the GOP. It would take a colossal fuck up for them to blow this, not that they can't figure out a way how, of course.

They will control the Senate next year. Barring a major quake in the political realm, I'm certain of it.

 

[JoeB131]

[

The only one that "leans" is Arkansas, and frankly, I'm sure you are going to find ways to blow the rest of them.

North Carolina is also a "lean" at this point and it won't be the only one as we get closer to November. All the dynamics are now favoring the GOP. It would take a colossal fuck up for them to blow this, not that they can't figure out a way how, of course.

They will control the Senate next year. Barring a major quake in the political realm, I'm certain of it.

Guy, the thing is... your party is crazy and didn't learn jack diddly shit from 2012.

The Generic RCP Average actually shows a slight Democratic advantage.

RealClearPolitics - Election Other - 2014 Generic Congressional Vote

All it will take is a few of those nominations to be won by teabaggers and you'll blow this one.

Which might actually be a good thing, as it will finally get your party to examine what it's been doing wrong.

But more likely, you'll pick up a couple seats, think you are on the right track, and Hillary will slam you guys in 2016, when all the Teabaggers who got in before people realized how crazy they are come up again.

 

[RandomVariable]

One, North Carolina is not the demographic it used to be so don't count on a bunch of ignorant white people's votes. Two, outside attack ads on one of North Carolina's own is going to backfire hard.

 

[RetiredGySgt]

One, North Carolina is not the demographic it used to be so don't count on a bunch of ignorant white people's votes. Two, outside attack ads on one of North Carolina's own is going to backfire hard.

It isn't an outside group and it is a very well run ad. But then one would have to actually live in NC to know the facts.