They have been predicting it for 3 straight years. You could have posted this in 2021, 2022,2023 and you'd have been wrong. Why would we believe the doom predictions now.?
OK
Well the money printing done when the vaccine came out was the catalyst.
It wasn't that they did it to pump currency into the economies....it was the volume.
So....everyone said that a recession was coming. Because that's what happens when you pump that much money through bond issues into the market. The laws of supply and demand have not changed. We have had inflation. We have NOT had wage inflation. Meaning that wages overall have not kept pace with inflation. Pure and simple.
So....these key economic indicators have been very much in everyone's face. That's why everyone has been saying these things. These things cause recession....
Personal debt has increased, credit delinquencies also increased. Profits and sales are non-existent or down drastically. IOW the chickens are coming home to roost.
The Commercial Paper and Real Estate market is in the toilet...going to cause some "mid sized" bank failures...like SVB.
We are not going to see relief until 2025.
This has been one of the most telegraphed recessions I've ever seen. (This one will be my 4th)
The Fed cutting rates is a double edged sword at the moment...because inflation is still not over. It's not over till its over. But this time the market will respond to it by contraction. But it is necessary to revive our economy. Double edged sword....