Pollster deletes crosstabs webpage after Nate Silver analyzes them (Trafalgar)

[pyetro]

After Nate Silver pointed out very weird crosstabs, the Republican pollster's crosstabs have magically disappeared.
What is Trafalgar up to?

 

[Oddball]

None of the polls are credible, including Silver.

 

[pyetro]

None of the polls are credible, including Silver.

View attachment 406604

I've never seen a poll called "Silver".

 

[Oddball]

None of the polls are credible, including Silver.

View attachment 406604

I've never seen a poll called "Silver".

Who sent the tweet?...Who runs FiveThirtyEight?

 

[Zander]

Nate Silver, boy genius..hmm...how'd he do in the last Presidential election in 2016?


/thread

 

[ColonelAngus]

Polls were close in 2018, but Bidens corruption hurt him badly.

Anyone voting for Biden truly hates the nation and wants to see it collapse.

 

[pyetro]

None of the polls are credible, including Silver.

View attachment 406604

I've never seen a poll called "Silver".

Who sent the tweet?...Who runs FiveThirtyEight?

View attachment 406607

You said Nate Silver is a pollster.
You embarrass yourself. Now you post drunk tweets.
You're saying that he tweeted something therefore he has a polling firm.
Go detoxify yourself before you post.

 

[Oddball]

None of the polls are credible, including Silver.

View attachment 406604

I've never seen a poll called "Silver".

Who sent the tweet?...Who runs FiveThirtyEight?

View attachment 406607

You said Nate Silver is a pollster.
You embarrass yourself. Now you post drunk tweets.
You're saying that he tweeted something therefore he has a polling firm.
Go detoxify yourself before you post.

Dumb as a fucking bag of hammers.....

 

[Sun Devil 92]

After Nate Silver pointed out very weird crosstabs, the Republican pollster's crosstabs have magically disappeared.
What is Trafalgar up to?

Maybe Twitter is censoring them too.

 

[Missourian]

Nate Silver, boy genius..hmm...how'd he do in the last Presidential election in 2016?


/thread

And how did Trafalgar do?

Pollster who predicted 2016 result says Trump on track to win again with help of 'hidden' support

With two weeks left until Election Day, 35 million Americans having already voted, and most polls showing Joe Biden leading President Trump, Trafalgar Group chief pollster Robert Cahaly told “Hannity” Tuesday the incumbent is likely to be reelected.

www.foxnews.com

 

[Zander]

Nate Silver, boy genius..hmm...how'd he do in the last Presidential election in 2016?


/thread

And how did Trafalgar do?

They nailed it. Trafalgar chief pollster predicts Trump victory: Polls 'predominantly missing the hidden vote'

Pollster Who Got It Right in 2016 Does It Again | RealClearPolitics

Robert Cahaly, senior strategist for the Trafalgar Group, made a name for himself in 2016 by being the only pollster to correctly show Donald Trump with a lead in Michigan and Pennsylvania -- two key...

www.realclearpolitics.com

!

Poll Which Correctly Called 2016 Election Sees Another "Shocking" Outcome in November

Currently, the major polls give former Vice President Biden more than a 9-point lead nationally against President Trump.

wearechange.org

 

[busybee01]

Polls were close in 2018, but Bidens corruption hurt him badly.

Anyone voting for Biden truly hates the nation and wants to see it collapse.

People who vote for Trump are the ones who want to turn this country into a fascist nation.

 

[busybee01]

Nate Silver, boy genius..hmm...how'd he do in the last Presidential election in 2016?


/thread

And how did Trafalgar do?

They nailed it. Trafalgar chief pollster predicts Trump victory: Polls 'predominantly missing the hidden vote'

Pollster Who Got It Right in 2016 Does It Again | RealClearPolitics

Robert Cahaly, senior strategist for the Trafalgar Group, made a name for himself in 2016 by being the only pollster to correctly show Donald Trump with a lead in Michigan and Pennsylvania -- two key...

www.realclearpolitics.com

!

Poll Which Correctly Called 2016 Election Sees Another "Shocking" Outcome in November

Currently, the major polls give former Vice President Biden more than a 9-point lead nationally against President Trump.

wearechange.org

There was no hidden vote. Democrats had a very weak turnout in 2016. The turnout will not be weak in 2020. Also Trafalger predicted Republicans would win the Georgia Governor's race by double digits. Republicans won by little over 1. Trafalger got lucky.

 

[Norman]

Nate should probably follow the same route, considering my turds falling to the toilet were better at predicting the 2016 election outcome than his model.

 

[Toro]

None of the polls are credible, including Silver.

View attachment 406604

He's not a pollster.

 

[Toro]

Nate Silver, boy genius..hmm...how'd he do in the last Presidential election in 2016?


/thread

And how did Trafalgar do?

They nailed it. Trafalgar chief pollster predicts Trump victory: Polls 'predominantly missing the hidden vote'

Pollster Who Got It Right in 2016 Does It Again | RealClearPolitics

Robert Cahaly, senior strategist for the Trafalgar Group, made a name for himself in 2016 by being the only pollster to correctly show Donald Trump with a lead in Michigan and Pennsylvania -- two key...

www.realclearpolitics.com

!

Poll Which Correctly Called 2016 Election Sees Another "Shocking" Outcome in November

Currently, the major polls give former Vice President Biden more than a 9-point lead nationally against President Trump.

wearechange.org

If there was a "hidden vote", you'd see it comparing the polls to the final tally.

There was no "hidden" vote in 2016, with perhaps the exception in the Rust Belt. But in all the other swing states, the final polls were within the margin of error.

The "Shy Trump Voter" Theory

First, I'm not making any predictions about the election whatsoever. I'm not saying Biden or Trump is going to win. Nor am I saying that that this theory isn't true. I just want to see if there is any empirical data to suggest that this "Shy Trump Voter" theory is statistically true. The...

www.usmessageboard.com

 

[Toro]

Nate Silver, boy genius..hmm...how'd he do in the last Presidential election in 2016?


/thread

He had Trump with a 30% chance of winning in 2016. That's about the same odds as a 4-point dog winning in the NFL.

Do 4-point dogs win in the NFL? Of course they do. About 30% of the time.

But you don't have people running around saying that Vegas oddsmakers "are all wrong and you shouldn't believe them" as political partisans do.

Most people simply don't understand math.

Oh, and Trafalgar is a Republican-biased poster. That's because Republicans eat this stuff up.

 

[Oddball]

None of the polls are credible, including Silver.

View attachment 406604

He's not a pollster.

So he's an odds maker...My mistake....Was once pretty credible....Lately, not so much.

 

[Zander]

Nate Silver, boy genius..hmm...how'd he do in the last Presidential election in 2016?


/thread

He had Trump with a 30% chance of winning in 2016. That's about the same odds as a 4-point dog winning in the NFL.

Do 4-point dogs win in the NFL? Of course they do. About 30% of the time.

But you don't have people running around saying that Vegas oddsmakers "are all wrong and you shouldn't believe them" as political partisans do.

Most people simply don't understand math.

Oh, and Trafalgar is a Republican-biased poster. That's because Republicans eat this stuff up.

The boy genius has Biden at 88% as of today. That's because democrats eat the stuff up.