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Using your TargetSmart dashboard and making comparisons to 2020.
5 days before the election in PA:
2020 Women 56.2% Men 42.4%
2024 Women 55.6% Men 43.2%
Final numbers for PA in 2020: Women 52.2% Men 46.4%
Nationally 5 days before the election:
2020 Women 53.3% Men 43.8%
2024 Women 53.1% Men 44.4%
Final numbers Nationally for 2020: Women 51.8% Men 44.9%
I just told you why -- Trump is telling his male supporters to vote early, unlike 2020.That early 10 point spread shrinks to 5-6 points on election day. There is absolutely no reason to think this year is any different.
You're pretending that it's the same playing field as 2020. It's not.Charlie is doing what surrogates do.
The UF Lab says PA does not provide gender breakdowns, but your source does. So I will use your source.
Do you see a big change in the percentage of women voters between 2020 and now? National first, then PA only:
View attachment 1034713View attachment 1034712
www.newsweek.com
The data disagrees and I just showed you.I just told you why -- Trump is telling his male supporters to vote early, unlike 2020.
And they are not doing it.
You keep pretending that doesn't matter....but it does.
Now you are relying on polls and pundits, lol.You're pretending that it's the same playing field as 2020. It's not.
Trump has lost substantial support among women in the past 4 years, especially white women.
Therefore, the men voting for Trump have to overcome a bigger deficit on election day....and I don't think they will.
See the article below. Harris might be the first Democrat to win the white women vote since Truman in 1948. If the white women vote is close to evenly split, Harris wins this election decisively....PERIOD.
Donald Trump is struggling to win over white women—here's why
Trump's record on abortion may be turning white women away from the former president, according to experts.
You want to keep pretending that overturning Roe vs Wade is not going to hurt Trump and the GQP Taliban.Now you are relying on polls and pundits, lol.
We will know soon enough. If I was you I would be more concerned about the low turnout among young people, they appear to be mostly sitting this one out...
Fun fact: In PA in 2020, registered democrats outnumbered republicans by about 700K. That spread is down to 325K today.
Repubs have been outpacing dems in registering new voters all across the swing States this year.
And there are millions fewer mail-in ballots floating around this time around, and mail-in returns are down dramatically from 2020, so...
Your point??Trump is on video taking credit for killing Roe you jackass
ThanksSee the link in post #8.
Except what I posted are not polls.Thanks
I’m wary of any kind of polling. Many would try to discourage people by using polls to make them think that there is no chance etc and to influence them to not get out and vote.
News Media is all about manipulation, especially around elections.
So do the fetus. But they can’t fight back. And that’s exactly why barbarians attack them.
The NYT agrees:Democrats assume that women vote as a bloc and universally support abortion as their single issue.
Which is odd because most women work and make up the majority of those attending abortion protests.
Democrats assume that women vote as a bloc and universally support abortion as their single issue.
Which is odd because most women work and make up the majority of those attending abortion protests.
The information you posted in post #8 --are- polls.Except what I posted are not polls.
I’d take the time to post a meme of me flipping you off, but you seriously are not worth the effort.
They also assume all women are stupid.Democrats assume that women vote as a bloc and universally support abortion as their single issue.
Which is odd because most women work and make up the majority of those attending abortion protests.
So you took the time to type instead of the quicker process of posting a pic?I’d take the time to post a meme of me flipping you off, but you seriously are not worth the effort.
Still, I’m wary of any election news, too much reason for deceit.Except what I posted are not polls.
Wrong. It's early voter registration data, based on party registration, age, and gender.The information you posted in post #8 --are- polls.
Exit polls.
