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PA does not even report early returns by gender.You base that on past elections
Reports are a TEN point gap this time
Thanks for your predictions NostradoofusPA does not even report early returns by gender.
The conclusion you are reaching is erroneous. The gap will close to match the electorate by the time the election is concluded. Men will not sit out the election in huge percentages- it's never happened and there is no reason to think it will happen this year.
We just tend to procrastinate more, and have other things going on.
Lol. Pretty easy to predict something that has never happened before isn't happening now.Thanks for your predictions Nostradoofus
Men are also voting in massive numbers. Next.In some of the battleground states such as MI, PA, NC, and GA, there is at least a 10 point gap when comparing women voters vs men voters. This is not normal by any means. Women usually vote more than men, but not by such a large margin.
However, there is not a huge disparity so far between Democratic registered voters vs Republican registered voters nationwide....so what gives?
What I think this could indicate is that a lot of registered Republican female voters are actually voting for Harris, not Trump. Women could be punishing Trump and the GOP Taliban for the overturning of Roe vs Wade.
From Politico --
Across battlegrounds, there is a 10-point gender gap in early voting so far: Women account for roughly 55 percent of the early vote, while men are around 45 percent, according to a POLITICO analysis of early vote data in several key states. The implications for next week’s election results are unclear; among registered Republicans, women are voting early more than men, too. But the high female turnout is encouraging to Democratic strategists, who expected that a surge in Republican turnout would result in more gender parity among early voters.
It’s impossible to know who these women are voting for, including whether Democrats are winning over unaffiliated or moderate Republican women disillusioned with former President Donald Trump. But the gender gap has been one of the defining features of the 2024 campaign, and Harris allies see the lack of a surge of male voters as an encouraging sign.
“In some states women are actually exceeding their vote share from 2020, which is at this point shocking to me,” said Tom Bonier, a Democratic strategist and CEO of the data firm TargetSmart. “I never would have bet on that.”
In Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Georgia, there is at least a 10-point gap between men and women in the early vote, according to POLITICO’s analysis and data from the University of Florida’s United States Election Project. Similar gender data is not available for other battlegrounds, including Arizona, Wisconsin and Nevada.
https://www.politico.com/news/2024/10/29/gender-gap-early-voting-00186155
Given this… don’t be surprised when Trump losesLol. Pretty easy to predict something that has never happened before isn't happening now.
I know you guys are grasping for anything to give you some hope, but a miraculous lack of turnout by men ain't gonna happen.
Risk of putting too much emphasis on early returns. These data are heavily skewed towards older voters at this point...
I won't be surprised either way. It's a very close call in those States that will ultimately decide the winner.Given this… don’t be surprised when Trump loses
She’s as fruity as you.
She just voted for Trump
Don is way past fetalhood.Nothing excites Democrats like Fetal Murder.
Don is way past fetalhood.
Was that supposed to make sense? If so, try again.Don is way past fetalhood.
Now that he's proclaimed that he's going to protect women against their wishes, he's done.
Why would registered Republican voters vote for harris?In some of the battleground states such as MI, PA, NC, and GA, there is at least a 10 point gap when comparing women voters vs men voters. This is not normal by any means. Women usually vote more than men, but not by such a large margin.
However, there is not a huge disparity so far between Democratic registered voters vs Republican registered voters nationwide....so what gives?
What I think this could indicate is that a lot of registered Republican female voters are actually voting for Harris, not Trump. Women could be punishing Trump and the GOP Taliban for the overturning of Roe vs Wade.
From Politico --
Across battlegrounds, there is a 10-point gender gap in early voting so far: Women account for roughly 55 percent of the early vote, while men are around 45 percent, according to a POLITICO analysis of early vote data in several key states. The implications for next week’s election results are unclear; among registered Republicans, women are voting early more than men, too. But the high female turnout is encouraging to Democratic strategists, who expected that a surge in Republican turnout would result in more gender parity among early voters.
It’s impossible to know who these women are voting for, including whether Democrats are winning over unaffiliated or moderate Republican women disillusioned with former President Donald Trump. But the gender gap has been one of the defining features of the 2024 campaign, and Harris allies see the lack of a surge of male voters as an encouraging sign.
“In some states women are actually exceeding their vote share from 2020, which is at this point shocking to me,” said Tom Bonier, a Democratic strategist and CEO of the data firm TargetSmart. “I never would have bet on that.”
In Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Georgia, there is at least a 10-point gap between men and women in the early vote, according to POLITICO’s analysis and data from the University of Florida’s United States Election Project. Similar gender data is not available for other battlegrounds, including Arizona, Wisconsin and Nevada.
https://www.politico.com/news/2024/10/29/gender-gap-early-voting-00186155
No, they don't cancel each other......because women vote in higher numbers than men.There is never a 10 point gender gap in election turnout, it's more like 2 points.
What matters is the net gender gap- that is do women prefer Harris more than men prefer Trump? The last numbers I saw had Harris leading women by about 15 points, and Trump leading men by about 17 points.
That is to say, they basically cancel out...
Take a wild fucking guess.Why would registered Republican voters vote for harris?
We know who the vast majority of them are voting for -- Harris.It’s impossible to know who these women are voting for...
Yawn.
Republican women?Why would registered Republican voters vote for harris?
See the link in post #8.lol, so, 4 graphs? And ALL of them are almost identical? What are the odds where the voting by gender stats would be identical across 4 states?
where did you get those graphs from, because that’s just odd how that happens to work out.
Maybe, just maybe those graphs are not right ?
Not according to this guy.Men are also voting in massive numbers. Next.
www.washingtonexaminer.com
That's not true. I already posted the data.PA does not even report early returns by gender.
The conclusion you are reaching is erroneous. The gap will close to match the electorate by the time the election is concluded. Men will not sit out the election in huge percentages- it's never happened and there is no reason to think it will happen this year.
We just tend to procrastinate more, and have other things going on.
Wrong....as the data I posted shows.There is never a 10 point gender gap in election turnout, it's more like 2 points.
What matters is the net gender gap- that is do women prefer Harris more than men prefer Trump? The last numbers I saw had Harris leading women by about 15 points, and Trump leading men by about 17 points.
That is to say, they basically cancel out...
