The curves for these quantities are bending down. It looks like we are reaching the peak long before we were predicted to/
United States Coronavirus: 369,179 Cases and 11,013 Deaths - Worldometer
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I will explain my post # 2 by illustrating with full graphs what flattening the curve looks like. We have we think flattened the curve. You should pay attention to me because this is coming from someone who has been through the whole thing and we are now coming out the other side of this.
As of April 6 yesterday we think we have flattened the curve this is because we have now had 7 days of lower figures across all levels, it is our intention now to begin lifting the total lockdown. We are aiming to begin this slowly on April 14 and then more lifting measures on May 1 and we aim to have the total lockdown lifted by mid-May. This ALL though will occur IF the peoples continue to social distance and wear the masks until at least September and IF the curve begins to rise again we will have to reintroduce the total lockdown. But we are aiming to be open by mid-May.
The idea is that on April 14 we reopen the majority of stores and hotels and restaurants and bars and so peoples will be able to go out and enjoy these things again, BUT this will have to be closely monitored, we NEED to stress that this is NOT 100% over, we are still getting COVID-19 cases but on a greatly reduced level with the majority testing 97% mild conditions. We still have to be careful, we cannot immediately going back to as it was before, we have to do it in stages and monitor how it's going, if it's going okay we can reintroduce other measures etc
We want to be able to get as many peoples back to work by May 2, with this they can travel but NOT outside our borders, our borders will be remaining closed as will flights outside of the nation and flights into the nation, we do not want peoples travelling in and out to possible nations who are still in a complete crisis. We want to get as many children back into schools also by May 2.
We need to get out of this total lockdown, as we are seeing encouraging numbers, lower serious cases and greater recovery levels we see no need to keep everyone in a total lockdown. The ONLY peoples who will have to stay in the total lockdown will be those over 70 years in age and those with existing health conditions like cancer, heart problems and Type 2 Diabetes.
You are still going up in the thousands a day because you have not gone on total lockdown, you are not monitoring those with COVID-19 correctly and everyone is doing their own thing from State to State, there is no consistency in how you are dealing with this and that is why it's all getting out of control.
Okay so I will use the below graphs to illustrate what the flattened of the curve across the CRUCIAL levels looks like.
Graph I we peaked on March 26 and from March 31-April 6 we have had now had 7 full days of lower figures, there is now a consistency, the below is flattening the curve America is many many weeks away from producing such figures:
Graph II we now have a consistency of our Newly Recovered being higher than our Newly Infected again it shows a consistency that shows we have flattened the curve.
Graph III illustrates the massive distance between our Recovery Rate and our Death Rate again it shows a consistency which again shows we have flattened the curve:
If we just go on the example of New York this because our population total is nearly the same as New York's.
Our Total Figures as of now are:
Total Cases 12.547 New Cases 250 Total Deaths 243 New Deaths 23 Total Recovered 4.046 Active Cases 8.256 Serious/Critical 243
From our Active Cases we have:
8.060 in a Mild Condition this is 97% of ALL cases. 243 in Serious/Critical Condition this is 3% of ALL cases.
From our Closed Cases we have:
4.046 total recovered this is 95% of ALL cases. 243 deaths this is 5% of ALL cases.
Now let us look at New York's totals they have a population number nearly they same as we have, New York's totals are heading toward the Italy totals in approx 3 weeks and it will get worse in America because New York has NOT been totally isolated from the States that surround and you still have State to State travel you are NOT in a total lockdown which you need to be in this.
New York totals as of now:
Total Cases 138.836 New Cases 6.920 Total Deaths 5.489 New Deaths 731 Active Cases 119.981 they do not show how many Serious/Critical, and I think why they do not is that they have out of those Active Cases a MASSIVE amount in the many thousands who are Serious/Critical
The majority of the COVID-19 cases in New York are in New York City a population of 8.175.133 and so our total population is 8.920.600 so let us compare how successful we have been at dealing with COVID-19 to what a DISASTER New York is - I add that the MAJORITY of the COVID-19 figures for ALL of America are going on in New York City.
New Yorks Total Cases are 138.836 our Total Cases are 12.547
New Yorks New Cases are 6.920 our New Cases are 250
New Yorks Total Deaths are 5.489 our Total Deaths are 243
New Yorks New Deaths are 731 our New Deaths are 23
New Yorks Active Cases are 119.981 our Active Cases are 8.256 (97% = 8.060 in Mild Condition 3% = 243 in Serious/Critical Condition)
We have been a success, New York is a failure and from the Total American COVID-19 figures the big number is from New York.
Here are the Top 5 States with COVID-19:
Not also just Blue States like New York, above look at Louisiana a State they have the population of 4.66 millions, this is half what our population is and so let us compare our figures with Louisiana, again Louisiana not doing a good job of dealing with COVID-19.
Louisiana Total Cases 14.867 our Total Cases are 12.547
Louisiana New Cases not showing yet for today our New Cases are 250
Louisiana Total Deaths 512 our Total Deaths are 243
Louisiana Active Cases 14.121 our Active Cases are 8.256 (97% = 8.060 in Mild Condition 3% = 243 in Serious/Critical Condition)
So Louisiana's COVID-19 situation is already worse than our ENTIRE totals for 4 weeks, this suggests that Louisiana's COVID-19 situation is going to get worse because they also are nowhere near flattening the curve.