And if the farmer buys more land because of the tractor and uses the same amount of work, he is not creating more jobs if he bought that land and hired workers to use a plow. Maybe that land was used by another farmer, but the tractor made the other farmer less efficient so he went out of business and lost his job. Technological advances in production always function to reduce the amount of people it takes to do a job. But my argument is that because of the resources it frees up, there will be more jobs everywhere else, so on net balance employment will not decrease and people may simply get jobs somewhere else. Do you agree with that?
No, the emboldened sentence is where you're missing the point.
That is NOT what is happening.
Back when the USA was migrating from an agricultural nation to an industrialized nation, the folks coming off the farms could find work in the expanding industrial base.
Additionally, they were qualified to assume those positions because factory work was something most people could do.
But the advances in technology now are NOT creating opportunities for as many workers as those advances are displacing.
And WORSE, the advances in technology are moving UP THE EMPLOYMENTS SKILLS FOODCHAIN, TOO.
We are systenmatically making an increasingly larger percentage of our population (and this IS happening worldwide, too) ECONOMICALLY unviable.
IN the 19th century it was farm laboring jobs that machines and technology eliminated.
In the later half of the 20th century it was industrial and clerical jobs that advances in technology started replacing.
In the beginning of THIS CENTURY we're seeing advancing technology replacing formerly highly skilled workers.
And the number of jobs that are created to service this techological society
is a pittance compared to the numbers of jobs that the technology is replacing.
In the last 15 year techology has replaced 6 workers in my tiny tiny operation. While I am able to increase my output my laboring force went down 75%
Multiply my experience by thousands and thousands of small and medium and large businesses, and you discover that we are created an ENTRENCHED SYSTEMIC class of people who are virtually
UNEMPLOYABLE.
Now how does that effect every one of us, regardless of how secure we might be in our current billets?
The under and unemployable do NOT pay taxes, they do NOT purchases goods and they do become a drag on society precisely because, while willing to work, there is no job that will pay them enough to BE good citizens and consumers in this CONSUMER DRIVEN economy.
We are creating a SYSTEMIC problem in this society and aren't even talking about it
realistically
Every time this issue comes up, people dismiss it by proposing that people
just need more education.
But as I have already point out, even EDUCATED people are being effected by this problem, because techological advances in THINKING AND MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS are making even well educated people REDUNDANT.
It's time to START thinking about how we deal with a problem that is now manifesting and threatening not
just the stupid and skilless, but the well educated and highly skilled workers, too.
This problem will not go away because techological advances are taking jobs from people such that
there is no educational path that any worker can take that will INSURE that they won't be reducatant TOMORROW.
Many software programmers are just now beginning to feel that pinch.
I can assure you that sooner or later
most people who depend on working (be it with their hands or with their heads)
for their rice bowls are going to become redundant.
The ONLY socultion to this is a radical RETHINK of the social contract.
Market forces do NOT have a solution for this problem, folks.
Why not?
Because our economic system is based on a theory of SCARCITY AND WANT.
But techology is creating a system of PLENTY
produced by less and less workers.
Unhappily, one needs to be linked into that economy system with economically viable employment to garner the income to take advantage of it.
But as the PROFITS go only to the CAPITALISTS, the working classes grow poorer and poorer until the economy we have in place no longer SERVES the people in it.
Right now I'd say about 20% of the population of all workers are basically REPLACEABLE by machines.
In ten years? Add some more percent of the workforces to that problem
In twenty years, most of you who are feeling so sanguine because you currently have marketable skills?
You're hosed, too.
And believe me when I tell you that very few of your will have the resources or even the mental acuity to retrain for a job that you can do better or more cheaply than
a thinking machine.