Dr. Judith L. Lean – Geophysical Research Letters – 15 Aug
2009
“…
This lack of overall warming is analogous to the period from 2002 to 2008 when decreasing solar irradiance also countered much of the anthropogenic warming…”
doi:10.1029/2009GL038932
__________________
Prof. Shaowu Wang et al – Advances in Climate Change Research –
2010
Does the Global Warming Pause in the Last Decade: 1999-2008?
“…The decade of 1999-2008 is still the warmest of the last 30 years, though the
global temperature increment is near zero;….The
models did not provide answers to the physical causes for warming pause. The mechanism still remains controversial….”
doi:10.3724/SP.J.1248.2010.00049
__________________
Dr. B. G. Hunt – Climate Dynamics – February
2011
The role of natural climatic variation in perturbing the observed global mean temperature trend
“Controversy continues to prevail concerning the reality of anthropogenically-induced climatic warming. One of the principal issues is the
cause of the hiatus in the current global warming trend.”
doi:10.1007/s00382-010-0799-x
__________________
Dr. Robert K. Kaufmann – PNAS – 2nd June
2011
“…Given the widely noted increase in the warming effects of rising greenhouse gas concentrations, it has been unclear why
global surface temperatures did not rise between 1998 and 2008. We find that this
hiatus in warming coincides…”
doi: 10.1073/pnas.1102467108
__________________
Dr. Gerald A. Meehl – Nature Climate Change – 18th September
2011
“There have been decades, such as 2000–2009, when the observed globally averaged surface-temperature time series shows little increase or even a slightly negative trend1 (a
hiatus period)….”
doi:10.1038/nclimate1229
__________________
Met Office Blog – Dave Britton (10:48:21) – 15 October
2012
“We agree with Mr Rose that there has been only a
very small amount of warming in the 21st Century. As stated in our response, this is
0.05 degrees Celsius since 1997 equivalent to 0.03 degrees Celsius per decade.”
metofficenews.wordpress.com/2012/10/14/met-office-in-the-media-14-october-2012
__________________
Dr. James Hansen – NASA GISS – 15 January
2013
Global Temperature Update Through 2012
“…The 5-year mean
global temperature has been flat for a decade, which we interpret as a combination of natural variability and a slowdown in the growth rate of the net climate forcing…”
columbia.edu/~jeh1/mailings/2013/20130115_Temperature2012.pdf
__________________
Dr. Virginie Guemas – Nature Climate Change – 1 March
2013
“…Despite a sustained production of anthropogenic greenhouse gases, the
Earth’s mean near-surface temperature paused its rise during the 2000–2010 period…”
doi:10.1038/nclimate1863
__________________
Professor Masahiro Watanabe – Geophysical Research Letters – 28 June
2013
“The weakening of k commonly found in GCMs seems to be an inevitable response of the climate system to global warming, suggesting the recovery from
hiatus in coming decades.”
doi:10.1002/grl.50541
__________________
Met Office – July
2013
“
The recent pause in global warming, part 3: What are the implications for projections of future warming?
….Executive summary
The recent pause in global surface temperature rise does not materially alter the risks of substantial warming of the Earth by the end of this century.”
Source: metoffice.gov.uk/media/pdf/3/r/Paper3_Implications_for_projections.pdf
__________________
Dr. Yu Kosaka et. al. – Nature – 28 August
2013
Climate change: The case of the missing heat
Sixteen years into the mysterious ‘global-warming hiatus’, scientists are piecing together an explanation.
“
Recent global-warming hiatus tied to equatorial Pacific surface cooling
Despite the continued increase in atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations, the annual-mean global temperature has not risen in the twenty-first century…”
doi:10.1038/nature12534
__________________
Dr. Kevin E. Trenberth – Nature News Feature – 15 January
2014
Climate change: The case of the missing heat
Sixteen years into the mysterious ‘global-warming hiatus’, scientists are piecing together an explanation.
“The
1997 to ’98 El Niño event was a trigger for the changes in the Pacific, and I think that’s very probably the beginning of the hiatus,” says Kevin Trenberth, a climate scientist…
doi:10.1038/505276a
__________________
Dr. Gabriel Vecchi – Nature News Feature – 15 January
2014
“A few years ago you saw the
hiatus, but it could be dismissed because it was well within the noise,” says Gabriel Vecchi, a climate scientist……“Now it’s something to explain.”…..
doi:10.1038/505276a
__________________
Dr. Jana Sillmann et al – IopScience – 18
June 2014
Observed and simulated temperature extremes during the recent warming hiatus
“This regional inconsistency between models and observations might be a key to understanding the recent
hiatus in global mean temperature warming.”
doi:10.1088/1748-9326/9/6/064023
__________________
Dr. Kevin E. Trenberth et al – Nature Climate Change – 11 July
2014
Seasonal aspects of the recent
pause in surface warming
Factors involved in the recent
pause in the rise of global mean temperatures are examined seasonally. For 1999 to 2012, the
hiatus in surface warming is mainly evident in the central and eastern Pacific…….atmospheric circulation anomalies observed globally during the
hiatus.
doi:10.1038/nclimate2341
__________________
Dr. Young-Heon Jo et al – American Meteorological Society – 24 October
2014
Climate signals in the mid to high latitude North Atlantic from altimeter observations
“…..Furthermore, the low-frequency variability in the SPG relates to the propagation of Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) variations from the deep-water formation region to mid-latitudes in the North Atlantic, which might have the implications for
recent global surface warming hiatus.”
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__________________
Dr. Hans Gleisner – Geophysical Research Letters – 28 January
2015
Recent
global warming hiatus dominated by low latitude temperature trends in surface and troposphere data
Over the last 15 years, global mean surface temperatures exhibit only weak trends…..Omission of successively larger polar regions from the global-mean temperature calculations, in both tropospheric and surface data sets, shows that data gaps at high latitudes can not explain the observed differences between the hiatus and the pre-hiatus period….
http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2014GL062596
__________________
Dr. Hervé Douville et al – Geophysical Research Letters – 10 February
2015
The
recent global-warming hiatus: What is the role of Pacific variability?
The
observed global mean surface air temperature (GMST) has not risen over the last 15 years, spurring outbreaks of skepticism regarding the nature of global warming and challenging the upper-range transient response of the current-generation global climate models….
http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/2014GL062775
__________________
Dr. Veronica Nieves – Science – 31 July
2015
Recent hiatus caused by decadal shift in Indo-Pacific heating
Recent modeling studies have proposed different scenarios to explain the
slowdown in surface temperature warming in the most recent decade…..
Recent hiatus caused by decadal shift in Indo-Pacific heating
) solar development will be falling like a stone in water after next year for quite some time!!! And I couldn't be happier!!!
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