Here is further evidence that our isolation efforts should involve only senior citizens and the medically ill. This information comes from the latest CDC report on COVID-19 U.S. hospitalization rates by age group and from the latest Statista report on the number of COVID-19 deaths by age group in Italy. I'm using Italy's death numbers because Italy was hit very early in the pandemic, has a large population (60.4 million), and thus provides a huge sample size for percentages of total COVID-19 deaths by age group in a large population.
For perspective on these numbers, it would help to remember that 0.2% is 2 out of 1,000, or 200 out of 100,000, or a 998 out of 1,000 chance of not being hospitalized; that 2.5% is 25 out of 1,000 or 2,500 out of 100,000; and that 7.4% is 74 out of 1,000 or 7,400 out of 100,000, etc., etc.
AGE GROUP----COVID-19 HOSPITALIZATION RATE IN THE U.S.
00-17 ---- 0.2%
18-49 ---- 2.5%
50-64 ---- 7.4%
65-99 ---- 13.8%
AGE GROUP----NUMBER OF COVID-19 DEATHS IN ITALY
00-19 ---- 1
20-29 ---- 7
30-39 ---- 34
40-49 ---- 128
50-59 ---- 549
60-69 ---- 1,682
70-79 ---- 4,756
80-89 ---- 5,754
90+ -------1,469
Here is how these numbers break down in terms of each age group's percentage of COVID-19 deaths in Italy:
AGE GROUP--PERCENTAGE OF COVID-19 DEATHS
70-99 ---- 83.3%
60-69 ---- 11.7%
00-59 ---- 5.0%
I would guess that if we knew the death numbers by each age for ages 60-69, we would discover that the majority of the deaths in that group have been among ages 65-69, but those specific numbers are not in the Statista report. However, in many other countries, death rates begin to rise considerably at age 65, and they begin to rise even more sharply at age 70 (as we likewise see in Italy's data).
Here are the sources for the above numbers:
Hospitalization Rates
Deaths by Age Groups
For perspective on these numbers, it would help to remember that 0.2% is 2 out of 1,000, or 200 out of 100,000, or a 998 out of 1,000 chance of not being hospitalized; that 2.5% is 25 out of 1,000 or 2,500 out of 100,000; and that 7.4% is 74 out of 1,000 or 7,400 out of 100,000, etc., etc.
AGE GROUP----COVID-19 HOSPITALIZATION RATE IN THE U.S.
00-17 ---- 0.2%
18-49 ---- 2.5%
50-64 ---- 7.4%
65-99 ---- 13.8%
AGE GROUP----NUMBER OF COVID-19 DEATHS IN ITALY
00-19 ---- 1
20-29 ---- 7
30-39 ---- 34
40-49 ---- 128
50-59 ---- 549
60-69 ---- 1,682
70-79 ---- 4,756
80-89 ---- 5,754
90+ -------1,469
Here is how these numbers break down in terms of each age group's percentage of COVID-19 deaths in Italy:
AGE GROUP--PERCENTAGE OF COVID-19 DEATHS
70-99 ---- 83.3%
60-69 ---- 11.7%
00-59 ---- 5.0%
I would guess that if we knew the death numbers by each age for ages 60-69, we would discover that the majority of the deaths in that group have been among ages 65-69, but those specific numbers are not in the Statista report. However, in many other countries, death rates begin to rise considerably at age 65, and they begin to rise even more sharply at age 70 (as we likewise see in Italy's data).
Here are the sources for the above numbers:
Hospitalization Rates
COVID-19 Hospitalizations
gis.cdc.gov
Deaths by Age Groups
Italy: COVID deaths by age group 2023 | Statista
The distribution of COVID deaths varies by age. People aged 80-89 are the most affected in Italy. Figures are updated weekly.
www.statista.com