More On The Election Results

Orange_Juice

Senior Member
Jul 24, 2008
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David Broder has an interesting analysis:


Lombardo, looking at the election from a Republican perspective, opens his memo with words of semi-comfort for his fellow partisans: "The Obama win was neither as big as some Democrats and members of the media have made it out to be nor as small as some of the GOP faithful would like to think." Obama got 52.7 percent of the popular vote, the best showing for a Democrat since LBJ in 1964 and the first majority since Jimmy Carter in 1976. But it doesn't compare to the Reagan landslide of 1984.

The details of the returns are more ominous for Republicans. Exit polls and actual returns, Lombardo notes, show Obama scoring in the suburbs and the metropolitan areas, especially among young and first-time voters, and among minorities.

He won most of the votes from the college-educated, and he won a slight plurality among men -- reversing the pattern of Bush's two victories.

In the end, Obama flipped nine states that had gone for Bush -- Nevada, Colorado and New Mexico in the West; Ohio, Indiana and Iowa in the Midwest; and Virginia, North Carolina and Florida in the Southeast.

That left Republicans with a shrunken base in the South and the border states, where rural and Appalachian counties delivered for the GOP, and on the Plains, where population is falling compared with the rest of the nation.

That is not a formula for future success. As Lombardo concluded, "Given the demographic trends in the country, the GOP is unlikely to win any future presidential elections if it is losing 95 percent of the black vote and 67 percent of the Hispanic vote."[/QUOTE]

Good luck trying to get Blacks and Hispanics to vote for the Good Old Boy's party.

David S. Broder - David S. Broder -- The GOP Loses Ground
 

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