OohPooPahDoo
Gold Member
Based on the same method used here:
http://www.usmessageboard.com/elect...-for-romney-to-win-obama-has-92-2-chance.html
my Monte Carlo model now indicates the race is at a dead heat. OBama has barely more than 50.7 % odds of winning the EC, Romney 48.5%. The remaining 0.8% is the chance of a 269-269 tie, in which case Romney would almost certainly win the House vote.
The electoral college vote tally stands at Obama with 271 +/- 51.
http://www.usmessageboard.com/elect...-for-romney-to-win-obama-has-92-2-chance.html
my Monte Carlo model now indicates the race is at a dead heat. OBama has barely more than 50.7 % odds of winning the EC, Romney 48.5%. The remaining 0.8% is the chance of a 269-269 tie, in which case Romney would almost certainly win the House vote.
The electoral college vote tally stands at Obama with 271 +/- 51.