Is the end of this market rally now on the immediate horizon? Yes, probabilities favor that being the case.

[Andrew_Jackson_FTW]

Fundamentally and chart-wise, the end of this rally is on the immediate horizon, meaning that it is likely that selling interest will begin to be seen by the end of this week.

The Fed is expected to leave rates unchanged on Wednesday (neither raise nor lower them) and given that is what is expected, it is not likely to give any ammunition to the bulls if that happens. The weekly closes are important this week, given that if no new all-time highs are made in either the DOW or the SPX after the last 2 weeks of red occurring, the bears will get new ammunition with which to push downward. And then also on Friday, the monthly closes occur and if they are in the lower half of the monthly trading ranges (DOW below 47843, SPX below 6888, NASDAQ below 25412 and the RUT below 2608), it will strongly suggest that February will be a red month (as the seasonal tendency is to be). It is also important to note that the DOW has generated 9 green months in a row and has increased in value 18% during that time, meaning that a correction to the rally is way overdue and highly likely to begin to happen in February. <p>

Adding to all of this, the US economy is showing multiple, distinct signs of cooling down and slowing from the robust, rapid growth experienced in mid-2025, according to data from late 2025 and early 2026. While a recession is not currently in effect, key indicators suggest a "low-hire, low-fire" environment is putting pressure on both consumers and businesses. Such a tangible fundamental scenario, does suggest that selling interest will rise beginning this week.

Can’t imagine losing 18% on the whole year like we did in 2022 under Joe Biden.

Again, you were making these predictions back in 2016 right? and as you already know Trump‘s stock market in his first term and his first year of his second term out performed that of Obama, Reagan, and Joe Biden.

What was it like during Trump‘s first term.. were you making these doom gloom predictions every year and then how did you react when your predictions did not come true? Do you keep doubling down on this. Well this is a result of putting politics before the data.

 

[Luckyone]

Can’t imagine losing 18% on the whole year like we did in 2022 under Joe Biden.

Again, you were making these predictions back in 2016 right? and as you already know Trump‘s stock market in his first term and his first year of his second term out performed that of Obama, Reagan, and Joe Biden.

What was it like during Trump‘s first term.. were you making these doom gloom predictions every year and then how did you react when your predictions did not come true? Do you keep doubling down on this. Well this is a result of putting politics before the data.

You are wrong. Here is the data that proves that you are wrong

In the first term of Trump, the DOW on January 31, 2017, was at 19884 and in January 31st, 2021 (when Biden took over) it was at 29984. That is a 34% rise in value.

As such, when Biden began his term, the DOW was at 29984 and when Trump took over, it was at 44546, meaning it went up 33%, Since the end of January 2025 (when Trump took over again, the DOW was at 44546 and today it closed at 48488, meaning that the DOW has gone up 8% in one year. "IF" that continues at the same rate, at the end of 4 years, the DOW will have gone up 32%. This means that Trump has not done (or is doing) better than Biden did.

Under Obama, his first term, the DOW went from 8000 to 13860 (a 43% rise) and under his 2nd term, the DOW went from 13860 to 19884 (a 31% rise).

 

[Toddsterpatriot]

You are wrong. Here is the data that proves that you are wrong

In the first term of Trump, the DOW on January 31, 2017, was at 19884 and in January 31st, 2021 (when Biden took over) it was at 29984. That is a 34% rise in value.

As such, when Biden began his term, the DOW was at 29984 and when Trump took over, it was at 44546, meaning it went up 33%, Since the end of January 2025 (when Trump took over again, the DOW was at 44546 and today it closed at 48488, meaning that the DOW has gone up 8% in one year. "IF" that continues at the same rate, at the end of 4 years, the DOW will have gone up 32%. This means that Trump has not done (or is doing) better than Biden did.

Under Obama, his first term, the DOW went from 8000 to 13860 (a 43% rise) and under his 2nd term, the DOW went from 13860 to 19884 (a 31% rise).

the DOW on January 31, 2017, was at 19884 and in January 31st, 2021 (when Biden took over) it was at 29984. That is a 34% rise in value.

OMG!

Why are you such a moron?

29984/19884 = 1.5079.

Call it a 50.8% increase. Not a 34% increase.

Moron!

Under Obama, his first term, the DOW went from 8000 to 13860 (a 43% rise)

8000 to 13860 is a 73.25% rise.

Moron.

under his 2nd term, the DOW went from 13860 to 19884 (a 31% rise).

13860 to 19884 is a 43.5% rise.

Stop lying about being a successful financial advisor. Moron!

 

[Thinker101]

Fundamentally and chart-wise, the end of this rally is on the immediate horizon, meaning that it is likely that selling interest will begin to be seen by the end of this week.

The Fed is expected to leave rates unchanged on Wednesday (neither raise nor lower them) and given that is what is expected, it is not likely to give any ammunition to the bulls if that happens. The weekly closes are important this week, given that if no new all-time highs are made in either the DOW or the SPX after the last 2 weeks of red occurring, the bears will get new ammunition with which to push downward. And then also on Friday, the monthly closes occur and if they are in the lower half of the monthly trading ranges (DOW below 47843, SPX below 6888, NASDAQ below 25412 and the RUT below 2608), it will strongly suggest that February will be a red month (as the seasonal tendency is to be). It is also important to note that the DOW has generated 9 green months in a row and has increased in value 18% during that time, meaning that a correction to the rally is way overdue and highly likely to begin to happen in February. <p>

Adding to all of this, the US economy is showing multiple, distinct signs of cooling down and slowing from the robust, rapid growth experienced in mid-2025, according to data from late 2025 and early 2026. While a recession is not currently in effect, key indicators suggest a "low-hire, low-fire" environment is putting pressure on both consumers and businesses. Such a tangible fundamental scenario, does suggest that selling interest will rise beginning this week.

Great, you better get your $23 out of the market quick.

 

[Andrew_Jackson_FTW]

You are wrong. Here is the data that proves that you are wrong

In the first term of Trump, the DOW on January 31, 2017, was at 19884 and in January 31st, 2021 (when Biden took over) it was at 29984. That is a 34% rise in value.

As such, when Biden began his term, the DOW was at 29984 and when Trump took over, it was at 44546, meaning it went up 33%, Since the end of January 2025 (when Trump took over again, the DOW was at 44546 and today it closed at 48488, meaning that the DOW has gone up 8% in one year. "IF" that continues at the same rate, at the end of 4 years, the DOW will have gone up 32%. This means that Trump has not done (or is doing) better than Biden did.

Under Obama, his first term, the DOW went from 8000 to 13860 (a 43% rise) and under his 2nd term, the DOW went from 13860 to 19884 (a 31% rise).

You are wrong. Here is the data that proves that you are wrong

In the first term of Trump, the DOW on January 31, 2017, was at 19884 and in January 31st, 2021 (when Biden took over) it was at 29984. That is a 34% rise in value.

As such, when Biden began his term, the DOW was at 29984 and when Trump took over, it was at 44546, meaning it went up 33%, Since the end of January 2025 (when Trump took over again, the DOW was at 44546 and today it closed at 48488, meaning that the DOW has gone up 8% in one year. "IF" that continues at the same rate, at the end of 4 years, the DOW will have gone up 32%. This means that Trump has not done (or is doing) better than Biden did.

Under Obama, his first term, the DOW went from 8000 to 13860 (a 43% rise) and under his 2nd term, the DOW went from 13860 to 19884 (a 31% rise).

 

[Cellblock2429]

You are wrong. Here is the data that proves that you are wrong

In the first term of Trump, the DOW on January 31, 2017, was at 19884 and in January 31st, 2021 (when Biden took over) it was at 29984. That is a 34% rise in value.

As such, when Biden began his term, the DOW was at 29984 and when Trump took over, it was at 44546, meaning it went up 33%, Since the end of January 2025 (when Trump took over again, the DOW was at 44546 and today it closed at 48488, meaning that the DOW has gone up 8% in one year. "IF" that continues at the same rate, at the end of 4 years, the DOW will have gone up 32%. This means that Trump has not done (or is doing) better than Biden did.

Under Obama, his first term, the DOW went from 8000 to 13860 (a 43% rise) and under his 2nd term, the DOW went from 13860 to 19884 (a 31% rise).

/—-/ Stop using the DOW. It’s only 30 stocks and one bad quarter for just one stock will pull the average down. Use the S&P 500. Why? Because it’s 500 stocks and less susceptible to one stock fluctuating.

 

[Hafar1014]

Can’t imagine losing 18% on the whole year like we did in 2022 under Joe Biden.

Again, you were making these predictions back in 2016 right? and as you already know Trump‘s stock market in his first term and his first year of his second term out performed that of Obama, Reagan, and Joe Biden.

What was it like during Trump‘s first term.. were you making these doom gloom predictions every year and then how did you react when your predictions did not come true? Do you keep doubling down on this. Well this is a result of putting politics before the data.

The economy fundamentals are very strong thanks to Trumps policies.

 

[Toddsterpatriot]

/—-/ Stop using the DOW. It’s only 30 stocks and one bad quarter for just one stock will pull the average down. Use the S&P 500. Why? Because it’s 500 sticks and less susceptible to one stock fluctuating.

He can't even do basic percentages.
Using the Dow instead of the S&P 500 is the least of his problems.

 

[Luckyone]

Great, you better get your $23 out of the market quick.

what $23 are you talking about?

The short positions I am putting on this week, offer the following profits over the next 3-6 weeks

1st mention) Profit of $5008 per 100 shares
2nd mention) Profit of $2163 per 100 shares
3rd mention) Profit of $1965 per 100 shares
4th mention) Profit of $1281 per 100 shares

The total amount I am risking (if I get my desired entry points met and all 4 mentions get stopped out) is $1276 per 100 shares.

If all 4 of the mentions get filled and then reach the objectives, I will be making $10,149 (per 100 shares).

This means that I have an 8-1 risk/reward ratio.

You think that is a bad risk to reward ratio? Especially since the desired entry points, stop loss points and objectives are based on ESTABLISHED support and resistance levels, meaning that if the charts are painting the correct picture, I will be making 8 times the amount that I am risking, and the charts are saying the probabilities favor it happening.

so what are you trying to say (debase) with your post?

 

[Luckyone]

View attachment 1210956

?????

I can totally prove the numbers and percentages I supplied, In each case, the number I supplied were the closing prices of the indexes at the end of January, when the presidents took over (January 21st of each president).

No opinion given, just data and facts.

Your meme/pic says absolutely nothing

 

[Toddsterpatriot]

what $23 are you talking about?

The short positions I am putting on this week, offer the following profits over the next 3-6 weeks

1st mention) Profit of $5008 per 100 shares
2nd mention) Profit of $2163 per 100 shares
3rd mention) Profit of $1965 per 100 shares
4th mention) Profit of $1281 per 100 shares

The total amount I am risking (if I get my desired entry points met and all 4 mentions get stopped out) is $1276 per 100 shares.

If all 4 of the mentions get filled and then reach the objectives, I will be making $10,149 (per 100 shares).

This means that I have an 8-1 risk/reward ratio.

You think that is a bad risk to reward ratio? Especially since the desired entry points, stop loss points and objectives are based on ESTABLISHED support and resistance levels, meaning that if the charts are painting the correct picture, I will be making 8 times the amount that I am risking, and the charts are saying the probabilities favor it happening.

so what are you trying to say (debase) with your post?

Post the stocks you sell short, quantity and price in real time, or it didn't happen.

And stop using your fake "lawyer" as an excuse for your stupid "per 100 shares" fake stats.

 

[Cellblock2429]

what $23 are you talking about?

The short positions I am putting on this week, offer the following profits over the next 3-6 weeks

1st mention) Profit of $5008 per 100 shares
2nd mention) Profit of $2163 per 100 shares
3rd mention) Profit of $1965 per 100 shares
4th mention) Profit of $1281 per 100 shares

The total amount I am risking (if I get my desired entry points met and all 4 mentions get stopped out) is $1276 per 100 shares.

If all 4 of the mentions get filled and then reach the objectives, I will be making $10,149 (per 100 shares).

This means that I have an 8-1 risk/reward ratio.

You think that is a bad risk to reward ratio? Especially since the desired entry points, stop loss points and objectives are based on ESTABLISHED support and resistance levels, meaning that if the charts are painting the correct picture, I will be making 8 times the amount that I am risking, and the charts are saying the probabilities favor it happening.

so what are you trying to say (debase) with your post?

/—-/ I have great comfort level selling calls and puts, but have shied away from shorting stocks. Just not my comfort level.
Now look at the single stock MUU (micron)
Since January 2 I have made $25k trading it as a rolling stock.

 

[Luckyone]

The economy fundamentals are very strong thanks to Trumps policies.

Wrong!!

Where Is the US Economy Headed in 2026?​

Jan 1, 2026
After a tumultuous 12 months for the US economy, the coming year may well be marked by even greater upheaval. From the likelihood that President Donald Trump’s tariff chickens will come home to roost to the risk of a stock-market crash, there is good reason to fear that the global economy’s most powerful engine may stall.

and on a best-case scenario:

AI Overview

As of January 25, 2026, the global and U.S. economic outlook is characterized by a "cautiously optimistic" tone, with steady growth, persistent but controlled inflation, and a central bank focusing on balancing maximum employment with price stability. The economy is in a "cruising regime," with global growth projected around 3.3% for 2026, slightly upwardly revised from late 2025 forecasts.

None of this supports your VERY STRONG economy statement!

 

[Hafar1014]

Wrong!!

Where Is the US Economy Headed in 2026?​

Jan 1, 2026
After a tumultuous 12 months for the US economy, the coming year may well be marked by even greater upheaval. From the likelihood that President Donald Trump’s tariff chickens will come home to roost to the risk of a stock-market crash, there is good reason to fear that the global economy’s most powerful engine may stall.

and on a best-case scenario:

AI Overview

As of January 25, 2026, the global and U.S. economic outlook is characterized by a "cautiously optimistic" tone, with steady growth, persistent but controlled inflation, and a central bank focusing on balancing maximum employment with price stability. The economy is in a "cruising regime," with global growth projected around 3.3% for 2026, slightly upwardly revised from late 2025 forecasts.

None of this supports your VERY STRONG economy statement!

Its light years better than Bidens disaster and yes its very strong and getting better by the month. Just like my investments

Consumer spending pushes U.S. economy up 4.4% in third quarter, fastest in two years​

Economy Jan 22, 2026 4:22 PM EST
WASHINGTON (AP) — Powered by strong consumer spending, the U.S. economy grew at the fastest pace in two years from July through September, the government said Thursday in a slight upgrade of its first estimate.

America's gross domestic product — the nation's output of goods and services — rose at a 4.4% annual pace in the third quarter, the Commerce Department reported Thursday, up from 3.8% in the April-June quarter and from the 4.3% growth the department initially estimated. The economy hasn't grown faster since third-quarter 2023.

WATCH: How the affordability crisis has evolved since Trump's return

Consumer spending, which accounts for 70% of U.S. GDP, grew at a healthy 3.5% pace. Spending on services such as healthcare rose 3.6% versus a 3% uptick on goods spending, including an increase of just 1.6% on so-called durable goods such as cars that are meant to last at least three years. A surge in exports and a drop in imports also contributed to robust third-quarter growth.

Business investment (excluding homebuilding) rose at a 3.2% clip, partly reflecting bets on artificial intelligence.

 

[Luckyone]

Its light years better than Bidens disaster and yes its very strong and getting better by the month. Just like my investments

Consumer spending pushes U.S. economy up 4.4% in third quarter, fastest in two years​

Economy Jan 22, 2026 4:22 PM EST
WASHINGTON (AP) — Powered by strong consumer spending, the U.S. economy grew at the fastest pace in two years from July through September, the government said Thursday in a slight upgrade of its first estimate.

America's gross domestic product — the nation's output of goods and services — rose at a 4.4% annual pace in the third quarter, the Commerce Department reported Thursday, up from 3.8% in the April-June quarter and from the 4.3% growth the department initially estimated. The economy hasn't grown faster since third-quarter 2023.

WATCH: How the affordability crisis has evolved since Trump's return

Consumer spending, which accounts for 70% of U.S. GDP, grew at a healthy 3.5% pace. Spending on services such as healthcare rose 3.6% versus a 3% uptick on goods spending, including an increase of just 1.6% on so-called durable goods such as cars that are meant to last at least three years. A surge in exports and a drop in imports also contributed to robust third-quarter growth.

Business investment (excluding homebuilding) rose at a 3.2% clip, partly reflecting bets on artificial intelligence.

You truly have to do some good research, because you truly have not idea of what is happening.

Comparing the U.S. economy under Trump and Biden​

• GDP growth was modest but satisfactory under both presidents despite economic shocks
• Inflation surged under Biden, mainly due to inherited factors
• Public finances have worsened, with deficits rising under both administrations

Neither Biden nor Trump have been good for the economy but the chart below shows that Biden was a bit (not much) better than Trump. You also need to understand that Biden had to deal with something (the pandemic) that was not of his making or his control, which did affect his presidency. Nonetheless, if you check out this chart, his last 3 years (after the pandemic subsided) were slightly better than the first 3 years of Trump's administration where the pandemic had not yet happened. By the same token, in this chart you can compare the other presidents and you will see that they were all better than both Biden or Trump.

 

[Thinker101]

what $23 are you talking about?

The short positions I am putting on this week, offer the following profits over the next 3-6 weeks

1st mention) Profit of $5008 per 100 shares
2nd mention) Profit of $2163 per 100 shares
3rd mention) Profit of $1965 per 100 shares
4th mention) Profit of $1281 per 100 shares

The total amount I am risking (if I get my desired entry points met and all 4 mentions get stopped out) is $1276 per 100 shares.

If all 4 of the mentions get filled and then reach the objectives, I will be making $10,149 (per 100 shares).

This means that I have an 8-1 risk/reward ratio.

You think that is a bad risk to reward ratio? Especially since the desired entry points, stop loss points and objectives are based on ESTABLISHED support and resistance levels, meaning that if the charts are painting the correct picture, I will be making 8 times the amount that I am risking, and the charts are saying the probabilities favor it happening.

so what are you trying to say (debase) with your post?

8/1 ratio? Either you don't know what the hell you're talking about or you don't mind making damn lousy investments.

 

[Luckyone]

8/1 ratio? Either you don't know what the hell you're talking about or you don't mind making damn lousy investments.

You are not faithful to your nick.8-1 risk to reward ratio means I am looking to make 8 tines more than what I am risking (based on established support and resistance levels. This means that I can be wrong 80% of the time and still make a profit

 

[Thinker101]

You are not faithful to your nick.8-1 risk to reward ratio means I am looking to make 8 tines more than what I am risking (based on established support and resistance levels. This means that I can be wrong 80% of the time and still make a profit

You idiot, words have meaning...risk-to-reward, you are risking $8 to make $1. You'd have better luck in Vegas.

 

[Luckyone]

You idiot, words have meaning...risk-to-reward, you are risking $8 to make $1. You'd have better luck in Vegas.

Just the opposite. I am risking $1 to make $8, you cannot read? Heck, I even gave exact and clear numbers/dollars as to what I was risking totally versus what I was looking to make. In total and per 100 shares traded on each of the mentions, risk is $1200 and objectives are reached, I make $10,000. I don’t need luck. All I need is for the big companies and traders that use computers and algorithms to trade (70%of all trades in the market) to do what they always do and for no surprises to occur. The odds are not against me, but in my favor!!!!

 

[Thinker101]

Just the opposite. I am risking $1 to make $8, you cannot read? Heck, I even gave exact and clear numbers/dollars as to what I was risking totally versus what I was looking to make. In total and per 100 shares traded on each of the mentions, risk is $1200 and objectives are reached, I make $10,000. I don’t need luck. All I need is for the big companies and traders that use computers and algorithms to trade (70%of all trades in the market) to do what they always do and for no surprises to occur. The odds are not against me, but in my favor!!!!

Once again, numbers specified were 8/1....RISK/REWARD....idiot.