Is the end of this market rally now on the immediate horizon? Yes, probabilities favor that being the case.

[Luckyone]

Fundamentally and chart-wise, the end of this rally is on the immediate horizon, meaning that it is likely that selling interest will begin to be seen by the end of this week.

The Fed is expected to leave rates unchanged on Wednesday (neither raise nor lower them) and given that is what is expected, it is not likely to give any ammunition to the bulls if that happens. The weekly closes are important this week, given that if no new all-time highs are made in either the DOW or the SPX after the last 2 weeks of red occurring, the bears will get new ammunition with which to push downward. And then also on Friday, the monthly closes occur and if they are in the lower half of the monthly trading ranges (DOW below 47843, SPX below 6888, NASDAQ below 25412 and the RUT below 2608), it will strongly suggest that February will be a red month (as the seasonal tendency is to be). It is also important to note that the DOW has generated 9 green months in a row and has increased in value 18% during that time, meaning that a correction to the rally is way overdue and highly likely to begin to happen in February. <p>

Adding to all of this, the US economy is showing multiple, distinct signs of cooling down and slowing from the robust, rapid growth experienced in mid-2025, according to data from late 2025 and early 2026. While a recession is not currently in effect, key indicators suggest a "low-hire, low-fire" environment is putting pressure on both consumers and businesses. Such a tangible fundamental scenario, does suggest that selling interest will rise beginning this week.

 

[Hafar1014]

Fundamentally and chart-wise, the end of this rally is on the immediate horizon, meaning that it is likely that selling interest will begin to be seen by the end of this week.

The Fed is expected to leave rates unchanged on Wednesday (neither raise nor lower them) and given that is what is expected, it is not likely to give any ammunition to the bulls if that happens. The weekly closes are important this week, given that if no new all-time highs are made in either the DOW or the SPX after the last 2 weeks of red occurring, the bears will get new ammunition with which to push downward. And then also on Friday, the monthly closes occur and if they are in the lower half of the monthly trading ranges (DOW below 47843, SPX below 6888, NASDAQ below 25412 and the RUT below 2608), it will strongly suggest that February will be a red month (as the seasonal tendency is to be). It is also important to note that the DOW has generated 9 green months in a row and has increased in value 18% during that time, meaning that a correction to the rally is way overdue and highly likely to begin to happen in February. <p>

Adding to all of this, the US economy is showing multiple, distinct signs of cooling down and slowing from the robust, rapid growth experienced in mid-2025, according to data from late 2025 and early 2026. While a recession is not currently in effect, key indicators suggest a "low-hire, low-fire" environment is putting pressure on both consumers and businesses. Such a tangible fundamental scenario, does suggest that selling interest will rise beginning this week.

Most expect a strong market this year as the fundamental are very good. Tax cuts reliable low cost energy, regulation cuts, increasing demand for AI and data centers, increases in manufacturing investment, America is poised for the best ecomny in history

 

[Cellblock2429]

Fundamentally and chart-wise, the end of this rally is on the immediate horizon, meaning that it is likely that selling interest will begin to be seen by the end of this week.

The Fed is expected to leave rates unchanged on Wednesday (neither raise nor lower them) and given that is what is expected, it is not likely to give any ammunition to the bulls if that happens. The weekly closes are important this week, given that if no new all-time highs are made in either the DOW or the SPX after the last 2 weeks of red occurring, the bears will get new ammunition with which to push downward. And then also on Friday, the monthly closes occur and if they are in the lower half of the monthly trading ranges (DOW below 47843, SPX below 6888, NASDAQ below 25412 and the RUT below 2608), it will strongly suggest that February will be a red month (as the seasonal tendency is to be). It is also important to note that the DOW has generated 9 green months in a row and has increased in value 18% during that time, meaning that a correction to the rally is way overdue and highly likely to begin to happen in February. <p>

Adding to all of this, the US economy is showing multiple, distinct signs of cooling down and slowing from the robust, rapid growth experienced in mid-2025, according to data from late 2025 and early 2026. While a recession is not currently in effect, key indicators suggest a "low-hire, low-fire" environment is putting pressure on both consumers and businesses. Such a tangible fundamental scenario, does suggest that selling interest will rise beginning this week.

/----/ And you pray to Satan every day that the market crashes, just to hurt Trump.

 

[luiza]

Fundamentally and chart-wise, the end of this rally is on the immediate horizon, meaning that it is likely that selling interest will begin to be seen by the end of this week.

Mucky suddenly admitting his previous garbage posts .
Thanks to Luiza --- or Luscious -- he finally sees he has been a half wit .

A friend has confirmed to him that the US is bankrupt and soon will not be able to even pay interest debts on loans .

A public apology would be good , Mucky .
So say sorry to Luscious Luiza , Mucky Boy .

Good boy .
Now piss off and fetch that ball .

 

[Meister]

Fundamentally and chart-wise, the end of this rally is on the immediate horizon, meaning that it is likely that selling interest will begin to be seen by the end of this week.

The Fed is expected to leave rates unchanged on Wednesday (neither raise nor lower them) and given that is what is expected, it is not likely to give any ammunition to the bulls if that happens. The weekly closes are important this week, given that if no new all-time highs are made in either the DOW or the SPX after the last 2 weeks of red occurring, the bears will get new ammunition with which to push downward. And then also on Friday, the monthly closes occur and if they are in the lower half of the monthly trading ranges (DOW below 47843, SPX below 6888, NASDAQ below 25412 and the RUT below 2608), it will strongly suggest that February will be a red month (as the seasonal tendency is to be). It is also important to note that the DOW has generated 9 green months in a row and has increased in value 18% during that time, meaning that a correction to the rally is way overdue and highly likely to begin to happen in February. <p>

Adding to all of this, the US economy is showing multiple, distinct signs of cooling down and slowing from the robust, rapid growth experienced in mid-2025, according to data from late 2025 and early 2026. While a recession is not currently in effect, key indicators suggest a "low-hire, low-fire" environment is putting pressure on both consumers and businesses. Such a tangible fundamental scenario, does suggest that selling interest will rise beginning this week.

With your profetic predication of the direction of the market...this market is a STRONG BUY.

Lucky one.........(snicker)

 

[Luckyone]

With your profetic predication of the direction of the market...this market is a STRONG BUY.

Lucky one.........(snicker)

Let me put it to you this way. I am looking to short stocks this week, meaning that I am putting my money where my mouth is. I believe that at the very least a correction for the next few months will occur. Whether it is a TOP to the uptrend or not cannot be determined at this time (more information about the economy and Trump's actions over the next few months is still needed to make that a reality or not). Nonetheless, a correction is now likely to be seen. I would put the odds on that at 90%.

By the way, did you notice that Gold rallied $345 over this past week and has rallied $2181 dollars (42% increase in value) since Trump took office? You do know that Gold is purchased as a "safe haven" when people are unsure about the future, don't you?

and that during that same time, the dollar has dropped in value 12.5% and that during Biden's presidency, it went up 21% in value. Did you know that as well?

In addition, and also during this Trump's presidency, the Yen has gone up 12.3% (compared to the dollar dropping 12.5% - a difference between the 2 currencies of 24.8%) and that the Chinese Hang Seng market index has rallied 28% while the DOW only rallied 18%?

Why is it that with Trump imposing tariffs on these countries (in order to make us more successful and "even the playing field") that they are outperforming us totally?

Can you explain that to me?

 

[Luckyone]

Most expect a strong market this year as the fundamental are very good. Tax cuts reliable low cost energy, regulation cuts, increasing demand for AI and data centers, increases in manufacturing investment, America is poised for the best ecomny in history

Well, let me put it to you this way "the big-in-the-know money, which is shown by the charts, does not suggest that they think that way"..

By the way and also addressing your post, look at the post I just put up #6, and explain that to me!

That information is data (no opinion involved)!!!!

 

[Hafar1014]

Your data has little to do with American economy. Our economy is better than ever. In fact the Europe is coming here to manufacture. This is data
European businesses are rapidly expanding into or relocating to the U.S. to escape high energy costs, navigate strict EU regulations, and access deeper capital markets and incentives like the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA). Sectors including tech, manufacturing, and green energy (e.g., Northvolt, ArcelorMittal) are driving this trend, with 64% of European startups now expanding to the U.S. at an early stage.
Key Drivers for Relocation to the US

• High Energy Costs: Record-high energy prices in Europe are forcing manufacturers to look for more competitive production environments.
• Inflation Reduction Act (IRA): The US is offering $369 billion in green technology incentives and tax credits, drawing in European firms in sustainable energy and manufacturing.
• Capital & Market Access: US exchanges are attracting major European companies (e.g., Klarna, Arm) due to higher valuations and deeper pools of capital, with 2025 IPO activity in the UK and Europe hitting a 30-year low.
• Regulatory Environment: Stricter EU AI and tech regulations (e.g., AI Act) are causing startups to move to the US for more flexible, growth-oriented environments.

Industries Moving to the U.S.

• Manufacturing: ArcelorMittal (steel) and various automotive suppliers are expanding to U.S. locations.
• Tech & Startups: Companies like Personio (HR) and AI firms are moving to major hubs like NYC and Silicon Valley.
• Battery Technology: Northvolt (Sweden) is among the companies increasing investment in the U.S..

Challenges and Considerations
While many are moving, some smaller firms are pausing U.S. expansion plans due to uncertainty surrounding potential trade tariffs and policy shifts. However, the general trend for startups and large corporations is to treat the U.S. as a critical market for scaling operations.

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Facebook · The Wall Street Journal
190+ reactions

 

[Toddsterpatriot]

Let me put it to you this way. I am looking to short stocks this week, meaning that I am putting my money where my mouth is. I believe that at the very least a correction for the next few months will occur. Whether it is a TOP to the uptrend or not cannot be determined at this time (more information about the economy and Trump's actions over the next few months is still needed to make that a reality or not). Nonetheless, a correction is now likely to be seen. I would put the odds on that at 90%.

By the way, did you notice that Gold rallied $345 over this past week and has rallied $2181 dollars (42% increase in value) since Trump took office? You do know that Gold is purchased as a "safe haven" when people are unsure about the future, don't you?

and that during that same time, the dollar has dropped in value 12.5% and that during Biden's presidency, it went up 21% in value. Did you know that as well?

In addition, and also during this Trump's presidency, the Yen has gone up 12.3% (compared to the dollar dropping 12.5% - a difference between the 2 currencies of 24.8%) and that the Chinese Hang Seng market index has rallied 28% while the DOW only rallied 18%?

Why is it that with Trump imposing tariffs on these countries (in order to make us more successful and "even the playing field") that they are outperforming us totally?

Can you explain that to me?

Let me put it to you this way. I am looking to short stocks this week, meaning that I am putting my money where my mouth is.

Be sure to post your shorts. Quantities and prices when you execute the trades, so we can cheer you on.

In addition, and also during this Trump's presidency, the Yen has gone up 12.3% (compared to the dollar dropping 12.5% - a difference between the 2 currencies of 24.8%)

I'd love to see the formula you used for this claim.

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/JPY%3DX/

Looks like a year ago, the dollar bought about 156 yen and yesterday a dollar bought about 156 yen.

Maybe you lied?

 

[Luckyone]

Your data has little to do with American economy. Our economy is better than ever. In fact the Europe is coming here to manufacture. This is data
European businesses are rapidly expanding into or relocating to the U.S. to escape high energy costs, navigate strict EU regulations, and access deeper capital markets and incentives like the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA). Sectors including tech, manufacturing, and green energy (e.g., Northvolt, ArcelorMittal) are driving this trend, with 64% of European startups now expanding to the U.S. at an early stage.
Key Drivers for Relocation to the US

• High Energy Costs: Record-high energy prices in Europe are forcing manufacturers to look for more competitive production environments.
• Inflation Reduction Act (IRA): The US is offering $369 billion in green technology incentives and tax credits, drawing in European firms in sustainable energy and manufacturing.
• Capital & Market Access: US exchanges are attracting major European companies (e.g., Klarna, Arm) due to higher valuations and deeper pools of capital, with 2025 IPO activity in the UK and Europe hitting a 30-year low.
• Regulatory Environment: Stricter EU AI and tech regulations (e.g., AI Act) are causing startups to move to the US for more flexible, growth-oriented environments.

Industries Moving to the U.S.

• Manufacturing: ArcelorMittal (steel) and various automotive suppliers are expanding to U.S. locations.
• Tech & Startups: Companies like Personio (HR) and AI firms are moving to major hubs like NYC and Silicon Valley.
• Battery Technology: Northvolt (Sweden) is among the companies increasing investment in the U.S..

Challenges and Considerations
While many are moving, some smaller firms are pausing U.S. expansion plans due to uncertainty surrounding potential trade tariffs and policy shifts. However, the general trend for startups and large corporations is to treat the U.S. as a critical market for scaling operations.

• US Business Migration Grows: Europe Loses Top Startups in ...
  Aug 27, 2024 — Only half of 2024 has passed, but attentive experts are already noticing a disturbing trend in relocating offices of promising you...
  Modern Diplomacy
• For European Tech Start-Ups, the Best Direction for Growth Continues to Be Across the Atlantic | Stanton Chase
  Some examples of European companies that have expanded to the United States include: * Personio This Munich-based HR unicorn h...
  Stanton Chase
• Selling In America. How European Startups Can Bridge The ...
  Jul 7, 2025 — The thought of promising European startups moving their HQs to North America is enough to give many European policymakers nightmar...
  Forbes

Show all
Dive deeper in AI Mode

Some of Europe's most notable companies are moving to ...​

Facebook · The Wall Street Journal
190+ reactions

Well, even if that is true, the fact is that these companies are facing big problems doing that, which does not help them in the short term. My sell-the-market right now comment is for the short-term (next 1-3 months). Like I said, what happens thereafter is not clear at this time

Here is what I mean:

AI Overview

Companies moving manufacturing to the U.S. face significant challenges, primarily driven by high labor and operational costs, a critical skilled workforce shortage, and complex, volatile supply chains. Further, they must navigate strict, changing environmental regulations, high energy prices, and geopolitical uncertainties, including tariffs.
Key Challenges for U.S. Reshoring/Manufacturing:

• Workforce Gap & Labor Shortages: An aging manufacturing workforce and a lack of skilled workers make it difficult to find and retain qualified personnel.
• High Operating Costs: Substantially higher wages, taxes, and energy costs compared to, for example, Asian manufacturing hubs.
• Supply Chain Disruptions: Volatile logistics, material shortages, and a lack of local, specialized, or precision-tooling suppliers make it hard to source components.
• Regulatory & Compliance Costs: Increased compliance requirements, including environmental and safety standards, increase the cost of doing business.
• Trade Policy & Tariffs: While meant to protect, shifting trade policies and tariffs can add complexity and increase costs for imported materials.
• Infrastructure & Technology Hurdles: Outdated infrastructure, along with the high cost and complexity of implementing automation, AI, and digital technologies (Industry 4.0), poses a significant barrier.
• Geopolitical Risks: Instability in global markets impacts the predictability of supply and production.

These factors frequently make U.S. manufacturing more expensive, at least initially, than in other countries, forcing firms to rely on automation or emphasize the value of "Made in USA" branding.

Anyhow, if you want to buy stocks at this time, do not let me stop you. Go ahead and do so and in a couple of months, we can compare your decisions with mine!

 

[Luckyone]

Meister It is absolutely hilarious that you make a strong statement about what you believe when you think you are right and I am wrong, and then when I show you data and facts that disagree with your beliefs, you do not reply except to rate my posts negatively,

You truly are a total FAKE! a bullshit artist full of smelly hot air!

 

[Meister]

Meister It is absolutely hilarious that you make a strong statement about what you believe when you think you are right and I am wrong, and then when I show you data and facts that disagree with your beliefs, you do not reply except to rate my posts negatively,

You truly are a total FAKE! a bullshit artist full of smelly hot air!

Son, buy good blue chip stocks that pays stable dividends and use the buy and hold strategy.
The ebb and flo of the market is the nature of the beast. You? You seem to chase it, and we all
know you're not that good at it. Quit giving stupid advice, some noobie might take you serious.

 

[Hafar1014]

Meister It is absolutely hilarious that you make a strong statement about what you believe when you think you are right and I am wrong, and then when I show you data and facts that disagree with your beliefs, you do not reply except to rate my posts negatively,

You truly are a total FAKE! a bullshit artist full of smelly hot air!

Your data and facts never relate to your point.

Americans' paychecks grow stronger as Main Street shows new economic strength

New economic data reveals Main Street strength as Americans see higher pay, while retail sales rose 3.3% and home purchases increased amid lower mortgage rates.

www.foxbusiness.com

 

[Luckyone]

Son, buy good blue chip stocks that pays stable dividends and use the buy and hold strategy.
The ebb and flo of the market is the nature of the beast. You? You seem to chase it, and we all
know you're not that good at it. Quit giving stupid advice, some noobie might take you serious.

I did expect exactly this kind of a reply from you. You make an overall general statement about investing, which applies on a long-term basis but is not applicable to the short-term and then you debase the messenger.

You are so dependable (as a blind-by-choice biased against the facts and against anyone having a different opinion than you) that it is sad. You offer absolutely nothing that is of any value. It is like listening to a room full of sheep ready to be fleeced, stating the obvious, which is they are only worth the benefit that their pelt offers, for being kept alive.

 

[Hafar1014]

I did expect exactly this kind of a reply from you. You make an overall general statement about investing, which applies on a long-term basis but is not applicable to the short-term and then you debase the messenger.

You are so dependable (as a blind-by-choice biased against the facts and against anyone having a different opinion than you) that it is sad. You offer absolutely nothing that is of any value. It is like listening to a room full of sheep ready to be fleeced, stating the obvious, which is they are only worth the benefit that their pelt offers, for being kept alive.

I Made over 100 grand this year in AI and semiconductor stocks alone. The fundamentals of our economy are very good. Low unemployment GDP growth inflation slowing, low cost reliable energy tax cuts. Invest baby invest. Join the party

 

[Luckyone]

Your data and facts never relate to your point.

Americans' paychecks grow stronger as Main Street shows new economic strength

New economic data reveals Main Street strength as Americans see higher pay, while retail sales rose 3.3% and home purchases increased amid lower mortgage rates.

www.foxbusiness.com

American paychecks?

what does that have anything to do with any of my posts on this thread?

I talked about companies that are coming here, or of American companies expanding, which are all facing higher cost to manufacturing products due to the existing problems and tariffs that Trump has created, and I talked about the market likely heading lower for the next few months because the stock prices have rallied so much that they overdone to the upside and likely to face reality, apart from the fact that 70% of trading is done by computers and algorithms that are owned and used by the big money, which does affect the buying and selling seen in the market, and that do use charts for their decisions and the charts are saying "sell".

and you come up with your post which does not apply to any of this as your debate point?

Wow, my opinion of you has dropped even more than the already-negative opinion of you that I had.

Do you ever consider not sounding like a totally ignorant person? I mean, you could try to con people into believing you are not as dumb as you are. After all, conning just means "talking a good game even if it is fake".

Sorry, but ignorance is the one thing I truly hate, given that all it takes not to be ignorant is reading and doing research. Ignorance is believing you already know it all, and therefore do not need to read or listen to anything.

Sigh, more of the same!!

 

[Luckyone]

I Made over 100 grand this year in AI and semiconductor stocks alone. The fundamentals of our economy are very good. Low unemployment GDP growth inflation slowing, low cost reliable energy tax cuts. Invest baby invest. Join the party

Yes, the market has gone up over the past 12 months, MOSTLY due to the interest in AI! Feel free to continue to buy..............on Monday. buy, buy, buy!

Nonetheless, have you EVER considered that nothing ever goes up without some fallback? that nothing is ever as simple as people think it to be? that reality is that there are ups and downs to everything and everyone?

 

[Leo123]

/----/ And you pray to Satan every day that the market crashes, just to hurt Trump.

TDSers are mentally ill. You can tell by the pages of talking point tripe they post here.

 

[Meister]

Yes, the market has gone up over the past 12 months, MOSTLY due to the interest in AI! Feel free to continue to buy..............on Monday. buy, buy, buy!

Nonetheless, have you EVER considered that nothing ever goes up without some fallback? that nothing is ever as simple as people think it to be? that reality is that there are ups and downs to everything and everyone?

Buy blue chips with a fair dividend and hold going long with them.
Don't have to worry about the ups and downs. It really is that simple, simpleton.
Nobody has to be a brain surgeon....or thinks he's a brain surgeon.
You might want to consider that nobody takes you seriously with your
financial suggestions. They would be a fool to take the financial advice of what a total stranger
gives them. Think about that, tiger.

 

[Luckyone]

Buy blue chips with a fair dividend and hold going long with them.
Don't have to worry about the ups and downs. It really is that simple, simpleton.
Nobody has to be a brain surgeon....or thinks he's a brain surgeon.
You might want to consider that nobody takes you seriously with your
financial suggestions. They would be a fool to take the financial advice of what a total stranger
gives them. Think about that, tiger.

I have been doing this for 48 years and successfully, as well as professionally. It is you that cannot see the difference. By the way, the computers and algorithms trade (do not sit and hold), and they are 70%?of the market. It is you that is a simpleton