Remembering back to the 2004 elections the Dems were running against a rather disliked republican incumbent. Bush had done some really poor things in his first term and people were really against him. first he allowed an attack on a civilian target on US soil. he then lied about WMDs and went to war with an uninvolved country costing billions of dollars. He was ignoring the boogieman of 9/11 which he created. The tech bubble had burst, and he was helping his friends get cheap labor overseas. It seemed like the Dems could not lose as long as they did not run someone completely fucked up.
And so they had a lackluster primary with a bunch of fuckwits. john kerry came out on top. John was a truly boring candidate with no ideas and a shitty connection to the voters. His main selling point was anything but bush, which was a pretty big selling point for the left. John showed the US the problem with a campaign that is run on the problems of the incumbent. yes, there was bitter fighting over who would get there, but when the election came around John had a supposed plan he never got into details about, he could only inspire the core of the party which was going to vote no matter who ran, and Bush squeeked by.
now we have another boring MA leader who is running on an anything but the incumbent platform. he has no defined plan, he is boring as hell, he is disconnected from the people, and even in his own party he is an oddball. Just like in 2004 america is being beaten to death on a couple of issues, but it is not electrifying the party candidate slamming the incumbent. Mitt had a boost when his party rallied around him, but he is not firing america up. just like john he doesn't even fire up his own party. By the time the election comes around people are not going to want to hear about the decided obamacare, just like they didn't want to hear about the quagmire of iraq anymore. The economy and jobs will pick up as they do every year between halloween and christmas, people will feel good, and hate for the fuck ups of the incumbent will subside because people are in a better mood.
So who thinks Romney is the republican's John kerry?
I think this is a good comparison, but I will go a bit further.
Kerry lost because he tried to present himself as something he wasn't.
Bush won a second term because we were at war. Kerry's approach was to say, "Hey, I've got three Purple Hearts. I was in Vietnam. You can trust me."
And that works fine, if you ignore the parts where he spent years as an anti-war protestor or the years in Congress where he tried to hamstring the DoD and CIA at every oppurtunity. And he didn't help himself when he said stuff like "I voted for it before I was against it."
Romney is trying to present himself as something he isn't, as well. He's trying to present himself as a job creator, when really, all he was is a guy who invested. If you look closely at all the jobs he downsized and outsourced and all the plants and stores and offices he closed to make a quick buck for his investors, it's kind of like finding those old pictures of Kerry with Jane Fonda.
Just totally defeats the narrative you are trying to lay down.