Stryder50
Platinum Member
With regard to my posts # 42,43,44 on this thread, I'll revise that scoring system to a one through ten scale and offer that @80 would be the threshold where it might be considered viable, and 90+ would make it very probable.
However ...
Major consideration is if the PLAN has enough amphibious capability to land enough troops on Taiwan to make an invasion viable. Here's a general listing of the naval part of PLAN;
en.wikipedia.org
While the above might suggest about 80 large vessels, but partial issue is how many are actual "blue water" capable. The following might give a better gauge on PLAN Amphib lift capability;
"The recent construction of the large Yuzhao-class amphibious transport docks (LPDs) (pictured) indicates an important shift toward blue water capabilities for the PLAN. However, the Landing Ship, Tanks (LSTs) of the 072 series still constitute the core of PLAN amphibious capabilities. With approximately 26 confirmed in service, the PLAN possesses the capabilities to conduct amphibious operations in the littoral waters of the South East Asian region, as well as a limited capability in outer sea landings. Most vessels are only capable of transporting troops while some are capable of transporting limited numbers of armored vehicles."
...
en.wikipedia.org
However ...
Major consideration is if the PLAN has enough amphibious capability to land enough troops on Taiwan to make an invasion viable. Here's a general listing of the naval part of PLAN;

List of ships of the People's Liberation Army Navy - Wikipedia

While the above might suggest about 80 large vessels, but partial issue is how many are actual "blue water" capable. The following might give a better gauge on PLAN Amphib lift capability;
"The recent construction of the large Yuzhao-class amphibious transport docks (LPDs) (pictured) indicates an important shift toward blue water capabilities for the PLAN. However, the Landing Ship, Tanks (LSTs) of the 072 series still constitute the core of PLAN amphibious capabilities. With approximately 26 confirmed in service, the PLAN possesses the capabilities to conduct amphibious operations in the littoral waters of the South East Asian region, as well as a limited capability in outer sea landings. Most vessels are only capable of transporting troops while some are capable of transporting limited numbers of armored vehicles."
...

People's Liberation Army Navy Surface Force - Wikipedia
