The Pentagon warns of suspension of weapons supplies to The Ukraine, which links to the danger of spreading too thin if Russia declares full war as China takes Taiwan.
Is China Preparing to Invade Taiwan?
- Thread starter Carl in Michigan
- Start date
Stryder50
Platinum Member
Is this a question or statement/assertion on your part?You believe this would be happening with ANY president in the White House.
Either way, I'll do my best to educate you and any readers here on the basics for consideration.
Meanwhile I'll recommend reading~re-reading~and re-re-reading again your Sun Tzu's "The Art of War". (Since you appear to be deficit on grasp of Grand Strategy and Basic Strategy.)
I'll break this out into about 10 topic/factor areas to consider, as if one were involved in a national leadership or adversary position. Consider each as scored on a scale of one to five; one being can't work and five being likely to succeed, three the 'coin toss' of either/or.
Net result is if we score at under 30, don't do anything aggressive. At 30 + we can "consider" aggressive plans of actions (depending upon ... ???), and at 40+ ~50(+) things are more likely to succeed to our favor, so go for it, when timing is right!
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
In more direct answer to your question(?);
NO!
Not "any" POTUS, only a weak one.
See next post for better grasp.
Last edited:
Stryder50
Platinum Member
In Grand Strategic Analysis there are at least Ten Considerations to Factor into "If" PR~China will try to start World War Three (by invading and capturing Taiwan);
...
POLITICAL CONSIDERATIONS:
1] USA POTUS is "weak" and will throw Taiwan "under the bus"; to assure "Peace in our Time".
2] Taiwan Leadership is too weak to stand up strong for long against PRChina aggression.
3] The "World"; ~ "West" won't risk confrontation with PRChina to support Taiwan~Nationalist China.
STRATEGIC and OPERATIONAL CONSIDERATIONS;
4] PRC Air and Missile resources are such to gain Local Air Superiority over Taiwan for at least 3-7 days. Better yet for 2-3 weeks.
5]PRC has the Resources, Naval and Air, to isolate Taiwan for at least 7-21+ days.
6]PRC has enough Amphib capacity to land sufficient troops and gear to secure a beachead that can be re-enforced and supported for 2-4 weeks time in order to sustain an invasion of Taiwan.
OPERATIONAL and TACTICAL CONSIDERATIONS;
7] Have enough troops and equipment to assure a successful landing~bridgehead~expansion in-land to secure/win Objectives.
8] Have Resources to sustain Invasion efforts for at least 2-3 weeks to secure plans and sustain intense operations.
9] Have Consolidation Plans that will secure and solidify gains of the Invasion and result in territorial gain/progress.
CONSIDERED REWARDS;
10] Results outweigh "West" efforts and consequences to actions in response, leaving the "West" 'grabbed by the nuts' and conceding to the situation/results of aggressive action(s) that are detrimental to the interests of the "West".
...
POLITICAL CONSIDERATIONS:
1] USA POTUS is "weak" and will throw Taiwan "under the bus"; to assure "Peace in our Time".
2] Taiwan Leadership is too weak to stand up strong for long against PRChina aggression.
3] The "World"; ~ "West" won't risk confrontation with PRChina to support Taiwan~Nationalist China.
STRATEGIC and OPERATIONAL CONSIDERATIONS;
4] PRC Air and Missile resources are such to gain Local Air Superiority over Taiwan for at least 3-7 days. Better yet for 2-3 weeks.
5]PRC has the Resources, Naval and Air, to isolate Taiwan for at least 7-21+ days.
6]PRC has enough Amphib capacity to land sufficient troops and gear to secure a beachead that can be re-enforced and supported for 2-4 weeks time in order to sustain an invasion of Taiwan.
OPERATIONAL and TACTICAL CONSIDERATIONS;
7] Have enough troops and equipment to assure a successful landing~bridgehead~expansion in-land to secure/win Objectives.
8] Have Resources to sustain Invasion efforts for at least 2-3 weeks to secure plans and sustain intense operations.
9] Have Consolidation Plans that will secure and solidify gains of the Invasion and result in territorial gain/progress.
CONSIDERED REWARDS;
10] Results outweigh "West" efforts and consequences to actions in response, leaving the "West" 'grabbed by the nuts' and conceding to the situation/results of aggressive action(s) that are detrimental to the interests of the "West".
Stryder50
Platinum Member
NOTE that in the above, ^, a score of 30+ means a possibility of "War" and a score of 40+ means a very high probability of "War".
In essence, the closer to a score of 40+ to `50(+)' means the better chance that war on the side of the aggressor is likely to be a Gain rather than a Loss.
In essence, the closer to a score of 40+ to `50(+)' means the better chance that war on the side of the aggressor is likely to be a Gain rather than a Loss.
Dayton3
Gold Member
- May 3, 2009
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Yes. I see your posts as stupid and ignorant.
Dayton3
Gold Member
- May 3, 2009
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toobfreak
Tungsten/Glass Member
What better time to invade than just as the Biden Administration heads into the midterms after passing another 40 billion off to Ukraine while Americans starve?
Dayton3
Gold Member
- May 3, 2009
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You know where I live pussy boy.
Ringo
Gold Member
Remember korean "police operation" 1950-53?
Quasar44
Diamond Member
Mac-7
Diamond Member
- Oct 9, 2019
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The sooner we wake up and understand that china is an enemy threat not a “trading partner” the better off we will be
In the short run disengaging from the chinese economy will cause pain for American consumers
But china is already doing that to us with its insane lockdown policy
Ringo
Gold Member
Wrong. We need to understand that capitalism is a threat to life on Earth in the era of atomic weapons. Capitalist competition inevitably leads to military conflicts, that is - Socialism or death. This is the slogan of modernity, not nationalist nonsense.
Mac-7
Diamond Member
- Oct 9, 2019
- 79,521
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Dont you see that we have economic competition with china already?
China represents the worst aspects of your beloved socialism
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