I am not sure the winner is going to reach 300 votes.
Pretty sure the President will get 300-320. The questions are about NH, NV, IA, CO. He doesn't get to 300 without winning Florida and Ohio of which I think he'll win both.
It's instructive to see where each man has "given up". Fairvote.org has a grid that shows the candidate travels but puts some weird stipulations onto what they call a "visit".
CNN offers the following:
Campaign Explorer - 2012 Election Center - Elections & Politics from CNN.com
If you go by it....
Romney hasn't bee in
WI since 8/12
MI since 8/24
PA since 9/28
Obviously, they've given up on these states; you can also track the spending by the campaigns (not PACs) in these states. PA is registering $0.00 for each. MI also a $0.00 for each. Romney is spending money in Wisconsin but is being out spent by Obama in the major areas. La Crosse and Wausau (sp?) are being inundated with Romney ads.
As for OH: Obama has nearly doubled the ad spending of Romney. Again, these are campaign ads, not PAC ads.
Suburban Cincinnati and southern Ohio will determine to whom the state's votes flow. Obama is spending 2.1 million more there than Romney. If I were the DNC, I'd stage some car crashes on every bridge from Kentucky to Ohio on Election day. You know Romney will be busing people in to vote for him (like Obama will do in WI from IL).
Florida is strange. According to the site, Romney has spent no money in northern Florida (Tallahasse/Panama City) but $2.6 in J'Ville. Both sides had spent heavily in south Florida but central I-4 corridor spending is surprisingly showing an Obama surge.
In both States, OH and FL, again according to the site's campaign spending, Romney is actually spending either the same amount or less than he did in September.
