GOP has 60% chance of taking back Senate in 2014

[Contumacious]

Slept right through that Senate session, 'ey, lib?

I am not a "lib"?

.

Denial!

It's not just a river anymore.

Senate votes are taken in The U.S. Senate chambers in Washington, D.C., USA.

Now if you want the date and time you're on your own. I decline do do all of your work for you.

When/where was the vote conducted?

Do you know why I slept?

Because Obama Hellcare was introduced IN SECRET at 1:OO AM in a snowy Christmas eve. Over 2200 pages which no legislator read

“It’s obvious why the majority has cooked up this amendment in secret, has introduced it in the middle of a snowstorm, has scheduled the Senate to come in session at midnight, has scheduled a vote for 1 a.m., is insisting that it be passed before Christmas — because they don’t want the American people to know what’s in it,”

said Senator Lamar Alexander, Republican of Tennessee.

 

[HenryBHough]

Thank you, Lamar.

 

[Dont Taz Me Bro]

Yes, the GOP isn't perfect. But if anything, they're getting more conservative. No Republican voted for Obamacare. 40 years ago, I think there would've been some liberal Republicans who would've supported it considering how many voted for the Great Society.

Good point. Not even Snowe and Collins would touch that piece of shit.

 

[Dont Taz Me Bro]

Begich is now polling in the low 40s

RealClearPolitics - Election 2014 - Alaska Senate - Sullivan vs. Begich

RealClearPolitics - Election 2014 - Alaska Senate - Treadwell vs. Begich

and Landrieu now trails an opponent by four in the latest polling of her race.

RealClearPolitics - Election 2014 - Louisiana Senate - Cassidy vs. Landrieu

 

[LeftofLeft]

The Republicans should have easily taken the Senate in the last two cycles and shot themselves in the foot

To take 6 seats this time, I give them about a 50% chance. But what are they going to run on?

1. Their achievements?
2. The economy?
3. Taking away peoples Health Insurance?

The Senate Democrats are the ones that need to defend their record.....one that goes back 8 years. What have they done and will it resonate with the US Electorate that trends for change after a while. SEE 2006.

 

[Nyvin]

I don't see 2014 as being a major game changing election anyway. Even if the GOP gets 52 senators all it really means is Obama is lame-duck....who really cares? Clinton did it for 6 years.

 

[Hoosier4Liberty]

I don't see 2014 as being a major game changing election anyway. Even if the GOP gets 52 senators all it really means is Obama is lame-duck....who really cares? Clinton did it for 6 years.

The difference is that Clinton was more of an opportunist. Obama's a true leftist with socialist tendencies.

 

[Nyvin]

Allison Grimes just polled 4% ahead of McConnell!

 

[hazlnut]

Name one time in which at the 6th year of an incumbent president, the opposing party has lost a chamber. Hint: it's never happened.

Also: Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2014 House

We've never had a black President and a Tea Party extreme manipulated by Koch bros.

It's time to break precedent.

RealClearPolitics - Election Other - 2014 Generic Congressional Vote

The polls say otherwise. Only Rasmussen, notoriously unreliable, has the Dems up in the generic ballot(Rassy used to bias R until Scott left; now it's biased D).

LOL -- every single one is within the margin of error… LOL…. in other words: After calling 1000's of people….WE KNOW NOTHING.

 

[Hoosier4Liberty]

Allison Grimes just polled 4% ahead of McConnell!

And Bill Cassidy just polled 4% above Landrieu. Tillis is up 7 and Land is also up over Peters in all the Michigan polling.

I admit, Kentucky is scaring me, along with Georgia. I'm thinking of revising my spreads to give a bigger chance of winning for Nunn and Grimes.

BUT, a lot of the people who are undecided are conservatives who don't think McConnell is far enough to the right. They won't vote for Grimes on election day. Also, Kentucky polling showed a close race between Rand Paul and Jack COnway, as well as Mitch and Bruce Lunsford in 2008. They both won handily in the end.

 

[hazlnut]

I am not a "lib"?

.

Denial!

It's not just a river anymore.

Senate votes are taken in The U.S. Senate chambers in Washington, D.C., USA.

Now if you want the date and time you're on your own. I decline do do all of your work for you.

When/where was the vote conducted?

Do you know why I slept?

Because Obama Hellcare was introduced IN SECRET at 1:OO AM in a snowy Christmas eve. Over 2200 pages which no legislator read

“It’s obvious why the majority has cooked up this amendment in secret, has introduced it in the middle of a snowstorm, has scheduled the Senate to come in session at midnight, has scheduled a vote for 1 a.m., is insisting that it be passed before Christmas — because they don’t want the American people to know what’s in it,”

said Senator Lamar Alexander, Republican of Tennessee.

If it was such a secret how did we all know everything about it before, during, and after the vote…???

 

[Contumacious]

Denial!

It's not just a river anymore.

Senate votes are taken in The U.S. Senate chambers in Washington, D.C., USA.

Now if you want the date and time you're on your own. I decline do do all of your work for you.

When/where was the vote conducted?

Do you know why I slept?

Because Obama Hellcare was introduced IN SECRET at 1:OO AM in a snowy Christmas eve. Over 2200 pages which no legislator read

“It’s obvious why the majority has cooked up this amendment in secret, has introduced it in the middle of a snowstorm, has scheduled the Senate to come in session at midnight, has scheduled a vote for 1 a.m., is insisting that it be passed before Christmas — because they don’t want the American people to know what’s in it,”

said Senator Lamar Alexander, Republican of Tennessee.

If it was such a secret how did we all know everything about it before, during, and after the vote…???

Either you are lying scumbag or your name is Harry Reid (D-USSR).

.

 

[Dont Taz Me Bro]

Allison Grimes just polled 4% ahead of McConnell!

And Bill Cassidy just polled 4% above Landrieu. Tillis is up 7 and Land is also up over Peters in all the Michigan polling.

I admit, Kentucky is scaring me, along with Georgia. I'm thinking of revising my spreads to give a bigger chance of winning for Nunn and Grimes.

BUT, a lot of the people who are undecided are conservatives who don't think McConnell is far enough to the right. They won't vote for Grimes on election day. Also, Kentucky polling showed a close race between Rand Paul and Jack COnway, as well as Mitch and Bruce Lunsford in 2008. They both won handily in the end.

Kentucky doesn't scare me at all. Kicking McConnell out of the Senate is good for America.

As for Georgia, Nunn is not going to win that race. If this were 2012, then yes, I could see it happening, but not this year.

 

[Nyvin]

Allison Grimes just polled 4% ahead of McConnell!

And Bill Cassidy just polled 4% above Landrieu. Tillis is up 7 and Land is also up over Peters in all the Michigan polling.

I admit, Kentucky is scaring me, along with Georgia. I'm thinking of revising my spreads to give a bigger chance of winning for Nunn and Grimes.

BUT, a lot of the people who are undecided are conservatives who don't think McConnell is far enough to the right. They won't vote for Grimes on election day. Also, Kentucky polling showed a close race between Rand Paul and Jack COnway, as well as Mitch and Bruce Lunsford in 2008. They both won handily in the end.

Kentucky doesn't scare me at all. Kicking McConnell out of the Senate is good for America.

As for Georgia, Nunn is not going to win that race. If this were 2012, then yes, I could see it happening, but not this year.

It largely depends on the candidate that comes out of the GOP primaries. If Paul Broun wins that's a plus for Nunn. If it's Gingrey then it might be a little harder, but he did defend Mourdock's statements so that might hurt him with women voters.

Right now it's looking like Gingrey will get it. It looks like Nunn has raised $3.3 million, so she'll pack a punch regardless.

 

[Hoosier4Liberty]

Allison Grimes just polled 4% ahead of McConnell!

And Bill Cassidy just polled 4% above Landrieu. Tillis is up 7 and Land is also up over Peters in all the Michigan polling.

I admit, Kentucky is scaring me, along with Georgia. I'm thinking of revising my spreads to give a bigger chance of winning for Nunn and Grimes.

BUT, a lot of the people who are undecided are conservatives who don't think McConnell is far enough to the right. They won't vote for Grimes on election day. Also, Kentucky polling showed a close race between Rand Paul and Jack COnway, as well as Mitch and Bruce Lunsford in 2008. They both won handily in the end.

Kentucky doesn't scare me at all. Kicking McConnell out of the Senate is good for America.

As for Georgia, Nunn is not going to win that race. If this were 2012, then yes, I could see it happening, but not this year.

Kicking out McConnell means it will be very difficult for the GOP to reclaim the Senate. I'd rather have majority leader McConnell than majority leader Reid.

EDIT: Given recent polling, however, I'm tempted to support Bevin in the property.

 

[Nyvin]

Isn't it kind of weird that the GOP is making out getting ~51 GOP senators in 2014 some kind of huge ground breaking victory? I mean, okay, maybe 52-53 (53 is pushing it) but even then...is it really that big of a deal? In the last term of the sitting president?

 

[bendog]

Isn't it kind of weird that the GOP is making out getting ~51 GOP senators in 2014 some kind of huge ground breaking victory? I mean, okay, maybe 52-53 (53 is pushing it) but even then...is it really that big of a deal? In the last term of the sitting president?

I sorta had that thought too, but more in terms of thinking that if the gop takes the senate and keeps the house, it won't really change anything. I mean, what are they gonna do: investigate benghazi? Obama will veto anything they do. And, a LOT more goper seats are up in 16 than dem. If the gop can't find a candidate who can carry the base AND appeal to the middle, it could be a bloodbath.

I think the reason 51 is such a goal, is that we shouda taken the senate in 12, and would have but for running a bunch of crazies. It's like now its this milestone that "yes, we can." We are not a permanent minority that has relevance simply because we gerrymandered the House.

And it sucks. Given the direction Obama has gone, it really sucks.

 

[JakeStarkey]

Now let's see.....what will be shakey's next step once he out-Marxes Karl? I can't see "him" as a Stalin - far too skinny.

While I do think Jake is a fake GOPer, he's not a Marxist. He's just a big-government liberal slightly less socialist than Obama.

And that's the basis for why my brothers, sister, and I did so well in the private sector.

Once again, regulated capitalism is not socialism.

Once again, ACA is not socialism.

The far right may not have its own definitions and be taken credibly.

 

[JakeStarkey]

Isn't it kind of weird that the GOP is making out getting ~51 GOP senators in 2014 some kind of huge ground breaking victory? I mean, okay, maybe 52-53 (53 is pushing it) but even then...is it really that big of a deal? In the last term of the sitting president?

I sorta had that thought too, but more in terms of thinking that if the gop takes the senate and keeps the house, it won't really change anything. I mean, what are they gonna do: investigate benghazi? Obama will veto anything they do. And, a LOT more goper seats are up in 16 than dem. If the gop can't find a candidate who can carry the base AND appeal to the middle, it could be a bloodbath.

I think the reason 51 is such a goal, is that we shouda taken the senate in 12, and would have but for running a bunch of crazies. It's like now its this milestone that "yes, we can." We are not a permanent minority that has relevance simply because we gerrymandered the House.

And it sucks. Given the direction Obama has gone, it really sucks.

The crazies cost us the Senate in 2010 as well.

That is why the RNC has slanted the table against the crazies.

 

[HenryBHough]

Simple fact:

"Moderate" Republicans are simply Democrat lite. Obama can count upon them to whine a little about His agenda before caving in and giving Him all he wants.

If we accept that running conservative candidates rather than RINOs might result in Democrats staying in control then there is really no appreciable difference in the outcome. It's just that with a Democrat majority it might give Him what He wants a day or two sooner than He'd get the same thing with a "Republican" majority in which a goodly percentage are Republican In Name Only.

Electing either an outright Democrat majority or a de-facto Democrat majority (big Democrat minority plus enough useful idiot RINOs) is still national suicide.