Don't Count Out a Ceasefire and Resolution of the Ukraine War

jwoodie

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The last minute attacks and counterattacks we are seeing may be a signal that the Ukraine War is coming to an end. Russia doesn't want to absorb all of Ukraine into its sovereign territory, and Ukraine doesn't want to lose its sovereign identity. The inevitable resolution will be an official redrawing of national boundaries with an agreement that Ukraine will not allow any foreign troops on its soil.

This will be a win-win situation wherein Russia can justify its invasion and Ukraine can claim to have stopped it. It would not surprise me if a ceasefire with these conditions were to occur within the next 30 days, since neither side has much more to gain from continuing the conflict.
 
No link OP, you should rectify that.

That said, who's currently stopping the ceasefire?
 
The war will be ending soon.
No. The war has escalated to the level "deniable non-nuclear proxy attacks against nuclear forces", therefore it hardly can be stopped until Houthies (or other proxies) attack against US B-52 bombers at Diego Garcia (or any other) base.
 
The last minute attacks and counterattacks we are seeing may be a signal that the Ukraine War is coming to an end. Russia doesn't want to absorb all of Ukraine into its sovereign territory, and Ukraine doesn't want to lose its sovereign identity. The inevitable resolution will be an official redrawing of national boundaries with an agreement that Ukraine will not allow any foreign troops on its soil.

This will be a win-win situation wherein Russia can justify its invasion and Ukraine can claim to have stopped it. It would not surprise me if a ceasefire with these conditions were to occur within the next 30 days, since neither side has much more to gain from continuing the conflict.
First of all, it is not about territory at all. Second, even if it were - Russia can get much more of it in few years.
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The last minute attacks and counterattacks we are seeing may be a signal that the Ukraine War is coming to an end. Russia doesn't want to absorb all of Ukraine into its sovereign territory, and Ukraine doesn't want to lose its sovereign identity. The inevitable resolution will be an official redrawing of national boundaries with an agreement that Ukraine will not allow any foreign troops on its soil.

This will be a win-win situation wherein Russia can justify its invasion and Ukraine can claim to have stopped it. It would not surprise me if a ceasefire with these conditions were to occur within the next 30 days, since neither side has much more to gain from continuing the conflict.

Need a link.

I think Putin will die of cancer before he accepts a cease fire.
 
Your replies aren't making any sense.
Or you can't find any sense in Russians reasons and demands. And this is exactly why this war was started from the very beginning.

You, guys, are racists (no offence, just a fact), and, being racists, you can't admit that the Russians are human beings and, as human beings they have human rights, feelings and wishes. You don't speak about human right you speak about territories (may be, it has something to do with you expansionist past). That's why the Russians demands (quite logical from the Russian point of view) you ignore, or, may be, can't even see (even if they are written in plain English). You know, like a blind spot. You see Russia-Ukrainian conflict from your own spectacles, and see it like American invasions in Vietnam, Iraq and Afghanistan. Nothing can be more far from the truth. Its more like US-Mexican war, or America's Civil war. Or, if you wish, we can make analogy with Canada. Canada is a part of America (as a continent) and Ukraine is a part of Russia (as lingo-cultural space), but not a part of United States of America and Ukraine is not a part of Russian Federation. Not yet (in both cases). This status quo can be more or less acceptable (in not satisfactory) for the America and Americans (in the narrow meaning of the word) while: 1) No significant foreign power try to use Canada against the USA (especially if we are talking about joining to a hostile military alliance); 2) The basic human rights of English-speaking, White, Protestant part of Canadian society are respected.
If there are discrimination, abuse and ongoing genocide of English-speakers by the pro-Chinese Junta there inevitably local english speakers will fight for their rights and ordinary American men and women support them (whatever is position of Washington). And if Toronto wants to join Shanghai block - Washington can't allow it.



So, let's come back to your initial statements.
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The last minute attacks and counterattacks we are seeing may be a signal that the Ukraine War is coming to an end.
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Really not. It is just warming up.

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Russia doesn't want to absorb all of Ukraine into its sovereign territory, and Ukraine doesn't want to lose its sovereign identity.
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Russia can't tolerate existence of the current anti-Russian Kievan regime, and the whole structure of the European security. It is not just about Ukraine and it is not about territory itself. What Russia demands is demilitarization of Ukraine and Eastern Europe to acceptable levels.

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The inevitable resolution will be an official redrawing of national boundaries with an agreement that Ukraine will not allow any foreign troops on its soil.
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There will be redrawing and there will be neutral status of Ukraine, but the most important part is denazification (in the Russian understanding of the term) of Ukraine and Baltic states. Meaning that ethnic Russians should have equal human rights.
And there should be redrawing of the whole system of European security.
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This will be a win-win situation wherein Russia can justify its invasion and Ukraine can claim to have stopped it.
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Russia doesn't give a fig about "international justification", because from the Russian point of view it is already justified as absolutely legal collective self-defense. And the new Vatnik Kievan government shouldn't say that they have "stopped Russians". They should say that they invited Russians (or even that they are Russians) who saved them from the evil Banderlogs and evil NATO expansion.

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It would not surprise me if a ceasefire with these conditions were to occur within the next 30 days, since neither side has much more to gain from continuing the conflict.
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No. Russians are fighting for their very survival and Banderlogs (as political group) fight not only for American and European moneys, but for their survival either.
 
The Russians have no rights to threaten or invade any nation in eastern Europe, much less the rest of the world.

A new Russian empire will never be permitted by the West.
 
A new Russian empire will never be permitted by the West.

As they have never given the slightest indication that they want this , your comment is , as usual , a stupid one .

Russia is self sufficient already and the main thing it needs is a huge population increase with development of Siberia a main priority .
 
Need a link.

I think Putin will die of cancer before he accepts a cease fire.
It won't change a thing. It is not about Putin's personality. It is about safety of Russia and Russians. Whoever will be elected - he'll continue the war until the system of equal rights and equal safety is achieved.
 
The war will be ending soon.
Which year?

They are poised to take out the second city of Kharkiv right now and Sumy has all but gone .
My minimum position would be to quickly take the Chernihiv region effectively linking with Belarus .
In fact Uncle P. might send in troops any day from Belarus into Chernihiv .

Then Pooters should tell MI6 that their puppet needs dismissing or they will continue in the south and take Odessa .
 
As they have never given the slightest indication that they want this , your comment is , as usual , a stupid one .

Russia is self sufficient already and the main thing it needs is a huge population increase with development of Siberia a main priority .
I don't say that we need European territories. No way. But what we really need is elimination of the European threat. Some people thought that the system of the equal rights and equal safety may be build by exclusively economic and diplomatic actions.... But reality proves that the Europeans don't understand diplomatic language and they ignore economic stimuli (or even hurting themselves). So, I believe that, yes, there is no other option left but the war (at least against Cocaine Coalition).
 
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