Democrats losing ground in mid-terms.
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schmidlap
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Democrats have a not-so-secret weapon that will decimate the GOP-run Congress: Trump!They are falling.
Republicans are rising. And the spread favors Republicans.
On December 1, 46.5 percent of those polled wanted to see Democrats control the U.S. House and U.S. Senate, compared to 41 percent who said the same of the GOP.
Today, Democrat support sits at 45.3 percent compared to 42.6 percent for Republicans.
For context, in the 2018 midterms, and with Donald Trump sitting in the White House, Democrats led by an average of 7.3 percent in congressional generic poll. It should be noted that even with that lead, Democrats failed to retake the U.S. Senate.
It’s also worth noting that Republicans are performing better in specific polls, and this apples-to-apples comparison is the most accurate way I know of to measure momentum.
Emerson’s latest poll shows Democrats up by two. In November, Emerson had Democrats up by four.
Morning Consult shows Democrats up by only one point. Two previous Morning Consult polls had Democrats up four.
Quantus Insights has Democrats up by two, compared to four earlier this month.
A six-point Democrat lead in the Economist/YouGov polls has been cut to just four points.
Quinnipiac had Democrats up by nine in October. Today, that lead sits at just four.
Only the outlier Reuters has good news for Democrats, a jump from a single-point lead to a four-point lead.
This is real, slow-but-steady movement for the GOP, and it’s not difficult to figure out what’s causing it. For the past few weeks, the Trump administration has been rightfullyboasting about economic progress. Additionally, those barometers for everyday Americans, like gas and egg prices, have noticeably improved.
Nolte: Polls Show Democrats Losing Ground for 2026 Midterms
As President Trump puts more focus on the economy and everyday people begin to feel the easing of Bidenflation, things do not look as rosy for Democrats in the upcoming midterm elections. | Politicswww.breitbart.com
January 26, 2026
Trump started his second term a year ago. Back then, Republicans were riding high on their wins in 2024 and the apparent conservative vibe shift. And polls of the 2026 generic congressional ballot backed up those good feelings. According to our polling average, the generic ballot was R +3.3 on the day of Trump’s inauguration.
But a lot can change in a year. Trump has gone from a positive net approval rating to being one of the least popular modern presidents — perhaps even something of a lame duck. The smattering of elections held in 2025 went about as well as they could have for Democrats, and so far in 2026, focusing on improving his popularity has not exactly been top of mind for Trump.
Today, our average has the generic ballot at D +5.3. That’s an 8.7-point shift toward Democrats over the past year.
Who’s ahead on the generic congressional ballot?
Our constantly-updating tracker of polls for the most important indicator in the race for Congress.
www.natesilver.net
TRUMP
42.8 Approve 54.8 Disapprove
43.1Favorable 53.6 Unfavorable
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Failzero
Diamond Member
Success in the Economy and ICE success in Red States & Cities and a few high profile killings of high profile American Citizens in lawless Blue regions by illegal criminals recently protected & released by Liberal Judges & protected by liberal politicians will secure wins for GOP in Midterms
schmidlap
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schmidlap
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UPDATE: January 29, 2026They are falling.
Republicans are rising. And the spread favors Republicans.
On December 1, 46.5 percent of those polled wanted to see Democrats control the U.S. House and U.S. Senate, compared to 41 percent who said the same of the GOP.
Today, Democrat support sits at 45.3 percent compared to 42.6 percent for Republicans.
For context, in the 2018 midterms, and with Donald Trump sitting in the White House, Democrats led by an average of 7.3 percent in congressional generic poll. It should be noted that even with that lead, Democrats failed to retake the U.S. Senate.
It’s also worth noting that Republicans are performing better in specific polls, and this apples-to-apples comparison is the most accurate way I know of to measure momentum.
Emerson’s latest poll shows Democrats up by two. In November, Emerson had Democrats up by four.
Morning Consult shows Democrats up by only one point. Two previous Morning Consult polls had Democrats up four.
Quantus Insights has Democrats up by two, compared to four earlier this month.
A six-point Democrat lead in the Economist/YouGov polls has been cut to just four points.
Quinnipiac had Democrats up by nine in October. Today, that lead sits at just four.
Only the outlier Reuters has good news for Democrats, a jump from a single-point lead to a four-point lead.
This is real, slow-but-steady movement for the GOP, and it’s not difficult to figure out what’s causing it. For the past few weeks, the Trump administration has been rightfullyboasting about economic progress. Additionally, those barometers for everyday Americans, like gas and egg prices, have noticeably improved.
Nolte: Polls Show Democrats Losing Ground for 2026 Midterms
As President Trump puts more focus on the economy and everyday people begin to feel the easing of Bidenflation, things do not look as rosy for Democrats in the upcoming midterm elections. | Politics
Fox News Poll: An early look at the 2026 midterms
Both parties are maintaining most of their coalitions. Democrats garner support from Black voters (+48 points), voters under age 30 (+28), and college graduates (+17), while Republicans receive backing from White evangelical Christians (+41), rural voters (+21), and White voters without a degree (+10).
schmidlap
Platinum Member
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The Republican Party suffered a hostile take-over.
November's looking good!
Democrats scored a stunning upset Saturday in a special election runoff for Texas state Senate, according to Decision Desk HQ, giving the party a major boost ahead of the November midterms.
Fort Worth Democrat Taylor Rehmet, a machinist and Air Force veteran, defeated Southlake Republican Leigh Wambsganss to fill the vacant state Senate District 9.
The district favored Trump — who endorsed Wambsganss earlier Saturday — by 17 points in 2024. The race went to a runoff after none of the candidates were able to clinch a majority in the November election.
... Texas Gov. Greg Abbott (R), intervened in the race in an effort to boost Wambsganss.
Failzero
Diamond Member
The Socially Liberal Republicans are withering on the vine ( In Fort Worth ) ?
schmidlap
Platinum Member
- Oct 30, 2020
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Trump persists in befouling the elective hopes of his toadies. His base knows that he's lying to them about the economy because they're living it, while he's got a bottomless bucket of glitzy gold paint, and seems hellbent on tagging everything with a British slang word for "Fart!"They are falling.
Republicans are rising. And the spread favors Republicans.
On December 1, 46.5 percent of those polled wanted to see Democrats control the U.S. House and U.S. Senate, compared to 41 percent who said the same of the GOP.
Today, Democrat support sits at 45.3 percent compared to 42.6 percent for Republicans.
For context, in the 2018 midterms, and with Donald Trump sitting in the White House, Democrats led by an average of 7.3 percent in congressional generic poll. It should be noted that even with that lead, Democrats failed to retake the U.S. Senate.
It’s also worth noting that Republicans are performing better in specific polls, and this apples-to-apples comparison is the most accurate way I know of to measure momentum.
Emerson’s latest poll shows Democrats up by two. In November, Emerson had Democrats up by four.
Morning Consult shows Democrats up by only one point. Two previous Morning Consult polls had Democrats up four.
Quantus Insights has Democrats up by two, compared to four earlier this month.
A six-point Democrat lead in the Economist/YouGov polls has been cut to just four points.
Quinnipiac had Democrats up by nine in October. Today, that lead sits at just four.
Only the outlier Reuters has good news for Democrats, a jump from a single-point lead to a four-point lead.
This is real, slow-but-steady movement for the GOP, and it’s not difficult to figure out what’s causing it. For the past few weeks, the Trump administration has been rightfullyboasting about economic progress. Additionally, those barometers for everyday Americans, like gas and egg prices, have noticeably improved.
Nolte: Polls Show Democrats Losing Ground for 2026 Midterms
As President Trump puts more focus on the economy and everyday people begin to feel the easing of Bidenflation, things do not look as rosy for Democrats in the upcoming midterm elections. | Politics
Trump’s electoral strength has always depended on resilience among white voters, especially non‑college whites and right‑leaning independents.
A slight but consistent dip into negative territory across two major polling series suggests that his coalition, while stable at its core, may be losing some of its grip on the middle of the electorate.
Donald Trump’s approval rating underwater with white voters
The group normally rates the president more positively than electorate at large, making shift significant as midterms near.
www.newsweek.com
schmidlap
Platinum Member
- Oct 30, 2020
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GOP candidates are right to panic. It's as if his goon attack on outnumbered police defending the Capitol were yesterday!They are falling.
Republicans are rising. And the spread favors Republicans.
On December 1, 46.5 percent of those polled wanted to see Democrats control the U.S. House and U.S. Senate, compared to 41 percent who said the same of the GOP.
Today, Democrat support sits at 45.3 percent compared to 42.6 percent for Republicans.
For context, in the 2018 midterms, and with Donald Trump sitting in the White House, Democrats led by an average of 7.3 percent in congressional generic poll. It should be noted that even with that lead, Democrats failed to retake the U.S. Senate.
It’s also worth noting that Republicans are performing better in specific polls, and this apples-to-apples comparison is the most accurate way I know of to measure momentum.
Emerson’s latest poll shows Democrats up by two. In November, Emerson had Democrats up by four.
Morning Consult shows Democrats up by only one point. Two previous Morning Consult polls had Democrats up four.
Quantus Insights has Democrats up by two, compared to four earlier this month.
A six-point Democrat lead in the Economist/YouGov polls has been cut to just four points.
Quinnipiac had Democrats up by nine in October. Today, that lead sits at just four.
Only the outlier Reuters has good news for Democrats, a jump from a single-point lead to a four-point lead.
This is real, slow-but-steady movement for the GOP, and it’s not difficult to figure out what’s causing it. For the past few weeks, the Trump administration has been rightfullyboasting about economic progress. Additionally, those barometers for everyday Americans, like gas and egg prices, have noticeably improved.
Nolte: Polls Show Democrats Losing Ground for 2026 Midterms
As President Trump puts more focus on the economy and everyday people begin to feel the easing of Bidenflation, things do not look as rosy for Democrats in the upcoming midterm elections. | Politics
51% say they strongly disapprove of the job that Trump is doing. That's tied for the worst score in the decade that Marist has been asking about strong approval and disapproval. The last time it was this high or this bad for Trump was in the days after the January 6, 2021, attack on the Capitol.
Keep fantasizing. It's fun to watch.
schmidlap
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For decades:
Demicans are losing ground and it appears that the Republicrats may win. Next season: It appears that the Republicrats are losing ground and the Demicans may win.
In the meantime ... it's more of the same year after year after year after year after year after year. In the end ... the Swamp Party gained ground and grew the size and scope of government while "We The People" got nothing in return.
Demicans are losing ground and it appears that the Republicrats may win. Next season: It appears that the Republicrats are losing ground and the Demicans may win.
In the meantime ... it's more of the same year after year after year after year after year after year. In the end ... the Swamp Party gained ground and grew the size and scope of government while "We The People" got nothing in return.
schmidlap
Platinum Member
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Trump is an increasingly onerous pantload for Republicans running in November.
President Donald Trump Job Approval Ratings and Polls | RealClearPolling
Track President Trump's job approval with RealClearPolling. Gain valuable insights and stay informed on the latest ratings and political developments for a comprehensive view of the political landscape.
Frankeneinstein
Gold Member
TRANSLATION: "VOTERS ARE SPLIT BETWEEN THOSE WHO WANT THE TAXPAYERS TO PAY FOR THEIR TUITION AND THE THE TAXPAYERS WHO DO NOT FEEL THEY SHOULD FOOT THE BILL"
Hafar1014
Diamond Member
- Sep 1, 2010
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Every month the economy gets better democrats drop in the pollsThey are falling.
Republicans are rising. And the spread favors Republicans.
On December 1, 46.5 percent of those polled wanted to see Democrats control the U.S. House and U.S. Senate, compared to 41 percent who said the same of the GOP.
Today, Democrat support sits at 45.3 percent compared to 42.6 percent for Republicans.
For context, in the 2018 midterms, and with Donald Trump sitting in the White House, Democrats led by an average of 7.3 percent in congressional generic poll. It should be noted that even with that lead, Democrats failed to retake the U.S. Senate.
It’s also worth noting that Republicans are performing better in specific polls, and this apples-to-apples comparison is the most accurate way I know of to measure momentum.
Emerson’s latest poll shows Democrats up by two. In November, Emerson had Democrats up by four.
Morning Consult shows Democrats up by only one point. Two previous Morning Consult polls had Democrats up four.
Quantus Insights has Democrats up by two, compared to four earlier this month.
A six-point Democrat lead in the Economist/YouGov polls has been cut to just four points.
Quinnipiac had Democrats up by nine in October. Today, that lead sits at just four.
Only the outlier Reuters has good news for Democrats, a jump from a single-point lead to a four-point lead.
This is real, slow-but-steady movement for the GOP, and it’s not difficult to figure out what’s causing it. For the past few weeks, the Trump administration has been rightfullyboasting about economic progress. Additionally, those barometers for everyday Americans, like gas and egg prices, have noticeably improved.
Nolte: Polls Show Democrats Losing Ground for 2026 Midterms
As President Trump puts more focus on the economy and everyday people begin to feel the easing of Bidenflation, things do not look as rosy for Democrats in the upcoming midterm elections. | Politics
schmidlap
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Your simplistic bifurcation is noted.
Frankeneinstein
Gold Member
TRANSLATION: "it was intended to mislead"
schmidlap
Platinum Member
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Do you expect that Republican politicians who kowtowed to Trump will be rewarded by the American electorate in November?
schmidlap
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- Oct 30, 2020
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