Democrats are on the precipice of delivering a huge blow to Donald Trump

[Toddsterpatriot]

For what? 10 ounces?

She bought a 40 oz can for $21 @ BJs

Used to be $12-14

Nice gas lighting

It's global warming!!!

 

[Lesh]

It's global warming!!!

Some of the increase is … yes… related to extreme weather conditions

More to tariffs and the uncertainty Trump causes

 

[citygator]

A lot can happen in a year.
My guess is that the midterms will be determined by the same factor that usually makes the difference: the econfaomy.
If the economy improves in the next 12 months, I think the GOP will fare well.
If not, the Easily Manipulated Great Middle will flock to the Democrats and their usual fake promises.

True. But history shows no matter what the situation is, the incumbent loses.

 

[citygator]

We shall see. First we have to see if there will be elections. Then we have to see if Trump's uniformed cadre will be "monitoring" the elections. Then we have to see what happens.

I wouldn’t be surprised to see storm troopers pulling brown American out of the line trying to intimidate.

 

[Dont Taz Me Bro]

People inside the GOP strategy office are telling people they are highly likely to lose the midterms bigly. Democrats lead in NJ-GOV (only close one), VA-GOV, & NYC Mayor. Trump's way underwater in all 3 places (like he is nationally) & is a drag. Historically, a sweep of NYC-NJ-VA means Dems win the House the next year.

• Presidents with approval ≥55%: average House change –8 seats (mild or even gains).
• Presidents with approval <50%: average –40 seats.
• Biden’s –9 loss in 2022 was unusually small for his 48% rating, roughly one-fourth the typical penalty.
• The 2002 Bush midterm (with 87% approval) was the only case of a president gaining seats since FDR’s 1934 midterm.

This is why they're on their gerrymandering crusade, to stave this off.

 

[White 6]

People inside the GOP strategy office are telling people they are highly likely to lose the midterms bigly. Democrats lead in NJ-GOV (only close one), VA-GOV, & NYC Mayor. Trump's way underwater in all 3 places (like he is nationally) & is a drag. Historically, a sweep of NYC-NJ-VA means Dems win the House the next year.

• Presidents with approval ≥55%: average House change –8 seats (mild or even gains).
• Presidents with approval <50%: average –40 seats.
• Biden’s –9 loss in 2022 was unusually small for his 48% rating, roughly one-fourth the typical penalty.
• The 2002 Bush midterm (with 87% approval) was the only case of a president gaining seats since FDR’s 1934 midterm.

View attachment 1180669

I read the number was 28 seats, possibly.

 

[Rawley]

People inside the GOP strategy office are telling people they are highly likely to lose the midterms bigly. Democrats lead in NJ-GOV (only close one), VA-GOV, & NYC Mayor. Trump's way underwater in all 3 places (like he is nationally) & is a drag. Historically, a sweep of NYC-NJ-VA means Dems win the House the next year.

• Presidents with approval ≥55%: average House change –8 seats (mild or even gains).
• Presidents with approval <50%: average –40 seats.
• Biden’s –9 loss in 2022 was unusually small for his 48% rating, roughly one-fourth the typical penalty.
• The 2002 Bush midterm (with 87% approval) was the only case of a president gaining seats since FDR’s 1934 midterm.

View attachment 1180669

Bookmarked. I'll take that bet

 

[Rawley]

The stats are indisputable. I’m not making a prediction.

Of course you are. You're predicting a 40 seat blowout by Dems.

 

[citygator]

I read the number was 28 seats, possibly.

I read that article too. It was a seat by seat assessment. The 40 is the average for underwater Presidents though. 28 would be good. They’d still lose control.

 

[Dont Taz Me Bro]

I read the number was 28 seats, possibly.

They lost 41 seats in the House in 2018 under a similar environment. With the increased gerrymandering since that loss is unlikely but given their slim majority a Democratic House in 2027 is not that unlikely.

 

[22lcidw]

For what? 10 ounces?

She bought a 40 oz can for $21 @ BJs

Used to be $12-14

Nice gas lighting

There are products affected seasonally as you know. Coffee and beef are in that range. That is something Trump inherited. And we all hope the prices trend downward somewhat in the future.

 

[White 6]

I read that article too. It was a seat by seat assessment. The 40 is the average for underwater Presidents though. 28 would be good. They’d still lose control.

Yep. I guess we won't know until tonight, for sure, but I suspect Hakeem Jeffries to take over as Speaker of the House, in January. I hope he won't be as bad a fkup as Johnson.

 

[Lesh]

There are products affected seasonally as you know. Coffee and beef are in that range. That is something Trump inherited. And we all hope the prices trend downward somewhat in the future.

This ain’t a seasonal spike. It’s wayyyy beyond that

Nice fail though

Ya tried

 

[Lesh]

Yep. I guess we won't know until tonight, for sure, but I suspect Hakeem Jeffries to take over as Speaker of the House, in January. I hope he won't be as bad a fkup as Johnson.

What? Are there that many House seats up for vote in this off year election?

News to me

 

[kyzr]

I wouldn't call VA a "democrat stronghold".
We currently have a GOP Governor, the State Senate is 21 DEM 19 GOP a difference of 2, the House of Delegates is 51 DEM 49 GOP a difference of 2. WW

True, but that was only after a banner year for Republicans in 2024 because of the disastrous Biden presidency.
Typically the Federal workers keep VA blue.

 

[Zincwarrior]

There are products affected seasonally as you know. Coffee and beef are in that range. That is something Trump inherited. And we all hope the prices trend downward somewhat in the future.

Sell that story. It worked for Biden in 2024.

 

[OhPleaseJustQuit]

People inside the GOP strategy office are telling people they are highly likely to lose the midterms bigly. Democrats lead in NJ-GOV (only close one), VA-GOV, & NYC Mayor. Trump's way underwater in all 3 places (like he is nationally) & is a drag. Historically, a sweep of NYC-NJ-VA means Dems win the House the next year.

• Presidents with approval ≥55%: average House change –8 seats (mild or even gains).
• Presidents with approval <50%: average –40 seats.
• Biden’s –9 loss in 2022 was unusually small for his 48% rating, roughly one-fourth the typical penalty.
• The 2002 Bush midterm (with 87% approval) was the only case of a president gaining seats since FDR’s 1934 midterm.

View attachment 1180669

.

Desperation.






.

 

[Nostra]

Some of the increase is … yes… related to extreme weather conditions

Prove it.

 

[Lesh]

Prove it.

To you? You’d ignore it any way. Took me three minutes to google it. Try it

 

[Nostra]

Still waiting for a quote saying something about a 40 year midterm loss citygator

: crickets:

: crickets: