I really think that events are adding up to a "Perfect Storm" for the Democrats to succeed in November. Here is why:
-Trump will be the GOP Nominee. There is no way the establishment will be able to stop him, and if they do, Donald runs as Third Party. The Dems will crush the GOP and win the Senate in either case. Trump is polling 16% among Hispanic voters and less than 20% of the Black vote. He will need 90-100% of a shrinking white vote to win the White House. The GOP knows this and they and frantic.
-The obstruction that the GOP is blatantly illustrating to all voters concerning the Supreme Court appointment will finally convince voters that the Republican Party is a party of "NO!" 2 out of 3 people feel that the Senate needs to hold hearings and confirm Obama's nominee.
These are two HUGE considerations that will play a big part in what happens in November. The Dems should win the White House and the Senate back easily. And with Phrumo as the face of the GOP, the GOP will lose a HUGE number of seats in the House.
Hence, THE PERFECT STORM...
I agree
I also think Trump has alienated most mainstream Republicans. While they may give him reluctant endorsements, they will not pound the pavement and get out the vote in their states. While most Republicans (other than some women) will not vote Hillary, they will not come to the polls in large numbers. Romney had a big drop off in voters from McCain. I expect Trump to lose even more
It will be interesting to see the FoxNews impact. As a rule, they throw softballs to the Republican candidate while they trash the Democrat 24/7. Trump has burned his bridges with Fox management.....he should get lukewarm support at best