Coffee prices to go up as harvests failed

[JustAnotherNut]

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Yeah, the so called egg shortage due to bird flu was BS

 

[iamwhatiseem]

Brace for the Most Expensive Coffee Yet, as Trump’s Tariffs Mix With the Climate Crisis​

Morning cup of coffee getting too expensive? Try Yaupon​

https://www.npr.org/2025/08/03/nx-s1-5487264/morning-cup-of-coffee-getting-too-expensive-try-yaupon

Coffee prices have been falling for 4 months straight, after record 150% rise during the Biden admin.
Gee - how much do people here want to bet this mush head didn't make a single post about Coffee prices the past 4 years and said a word about Biden.

 

[schmidlap]

Coffee prices have been falling for 4 months straight, after record 150% rise during the Biden admin.
Gee - how much do people here want to bet this mush head didn't make a single post about Coffee prices the past 4 years and said a word about Biden.

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Back to the present and empirical reality:

Coffee prices rise as U.S. imposes tariffs on top exporter Brazil​

 

[schmidlap]

Coffee prices have been falling for 4 months straight, after record 150% rise during the Biden admin.
Gee - how much do people here want to bet this mush head didn't make a single post about Coffee prices the past 4 years and said a word about Biden.

View attachment 1144701

The current reality:

The rise in U.S. coffee prices is a result of a combination of factors, including tariffs, climate change, economic pressures, and geopolitical uncertainty. Arabica coffee prices have hit an all-time high, with prices up more than 40% over the last three months and 79% year-over-year.​

U.S. Chamber of Commerce, July 23, 2025​

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[JohnDB]

Let's not forget the dollar vs the Real. As the Real gains strength (from GDP increases) the dollar will not have as much purchasing power.
Brazil and Columbia both are having issues with Coffee growers. Not enough young men are going into the farming of coffee due to the fact that there is insufficient $$ for long days of hard work at high elevations each year.
Even if green coffee garners $8/lb and sold for $18-20 (specialty grade) roasted....the farmers will be lucky to get 0.50-$2.00/lb for their product. All this equals labor shortages....even institutional grade coffee (machine harvested and bulk roasted) is going to see increases. (Fertilizer and fungicide prices constantly rising....also a version of rust virus is destroying whole farms)


All this making coffee even more expensive. A trifecta of conditions.

 

[JohnDB]

From AI:

• • Rising temperatures, changes in rainfall patterns (including droughts and floods), and increased frequency of extreme weather events are severely impacting coffee yields in major producing countries like Brazil and Vietnam.
  • Brazil, the world's largest Arabica coffee producer, has been hit by severe droughts and frosts in recent years, impacting both quality and quantity.
  • Vietnam, the second largest producer (predominantly Robusta), has also experienced droughts and heatwaves, affecting harvests.
• Pests and Diseases: Warmer climates are expanding the range and impact of pests like the coffee berry borer and diseases such as coffee leaf rust.
• Labor Shortages and Rising Production Costs:
  • Labor shortages in key coffee-producing regions, particularly in Latin America, are impacting efficient harvesting and processing.
  • Rising costs of labor, fertilizers, pesticides, equipment, and transportation are further squeezing farmers' margins.

 

[schmidlap]

Global warming is a significant factor, but not to be ignored in accounting for the soaring coffee prices in the U.S.:

• Brazil: A 50% tariff on green coffee takes effect August 6, with no exemption granted. The increase is tied to recent political tensions and was confirmed by Commerce Secretary Lutnick, who also stated no extension will be offered.
• Indonesia: Although a new trade framework was announced, the 19% tariff reduction referenced under Executive Order 14257 is not yet legally binding. Coffee was named as a potential candidate for future relief, but as of today, the 32% tariff remains in effect.
• Nicaragua: Now officially set at 18%, aligning with the revised rate reflected in recent customs filings.
• India: Tariffs have settled at 25%, slightly down from earlier projections but still a significant jump from baseline.

July 2025 Coffee Tariffs: New Rates, Impact & What To Know

Explore the new U.S. coffee tariffs effective August 1, 2025. Learn how higher rates on Indonesia, Vietnam, and others affect sourcing, costs, and strategy.

royalcoffee.com

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[Crepitus]

The current reality:

The rise in U.S. coffee prices is a result of a combination of factors, including tariffs, climate change, economic pressures, and geopolitical uncertainty. Arabica coffee prices have hit an all-time high, with prices up more than 40% over the last three months and 79% year-over-year.​

U.S. Chamber of Commerce, July 23, 2025​

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I suspect the main reason Coffee is so expensive is that dOnald tRump thinks the economy is 14 years old.

































So he decided to **** it.

 

[schmidlap]

The petty lowlife is driving up coffee prices for Americans because a kindred sleazebag is being held to account by the Brazilian justice system.

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Products imported to the U.S. from Brazil — including almost a third of the supply relied on every day by America’s coffee drinkers — are subject to a 50% tariff beginning Friday, not because of Brazil’s trade policies, but because of ] Trump’s relationship with the country’s former strongman president Jair Bolsonaro, and because of the actions of one of the justices of Brazil’s supreme court... ​

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The U.S. actually has a trade surplus with Brazil of hundreds of billions of dollars over more than a decade, not a deficit.​

MSN

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[JohnDB]

Coffee is one of the most manipulated commodities and Columbia has a true fascist regime cartel over the coffee trade there.
BUT
Where Brazil is the Elephant in the room....coffee is grown in Africa as well. (It's where it originated).

However....green coffee languished in warehouses (as is often the case) and has been stored in warehouses along the gulf coast and Atlantic ports. Especially the "specialty" grade coffee.

Wholesale Coffee merchants (60kg bags) are accustomed to the fluctuations of coffee and are ALWAYS prepared. Tariffs will make a small drive in price down. (Buying opportunity) But they will settle up soon.

Vietnam produces European coffee. But like South Korea they have an inverted pyramid for age demographics (no children) they are having a severe labor shortage. No farmers to grow, harvest, or process the coffee.

Thank God for African coffee.

 

[BothWings]

Every time I go to Peru with my wife, my inlaws send me home with a few pounds of some stellar Peruvian coffee. It is SO aromatic and pungent, all I have to do to find my bags at the carousel at the airport is follow the luscious smell of that coffee!

 

[MayorQuimby]

Amazing all these crop failures. Why...it is almost like someone is carrying out a plan.

Interesting, sir; very interesting.

 

[JohnDB]

Every time I go to Peru with my wife, my inlaws send me home with a few pounds of some stellar Peruvian coffee. It is SO aromatic and pungent, all I have to do to find my bags at the carousel at the airport is follow the luscious smell of that coffee!

My church has been making mission trips to Peru....wanting me to go with. I know what I'll bring home as a souvenir just like what I did when in Brazil. Just a bit different.