BIG BREAKING NEWS... IOWA: Kamala Harris leapfrogs Donald Trump to take lead near Election Day 47-44

Who knows. My YouTube feed is pretty funny right now, with the algorhythm all over the place.

There's a bunch of BREAKING NEWS: ALL THE MOMENTUM HAS SHIFTED TO HARRIS! and a bunch of BREAKING NEWS: ALL THE MOMENTUM HAS SHIFTED TO TRUMP! all mixed in together.

It's almost over. Thank goodness. It'll be interesting as hell digging through the demographics of the vote postmortem.
 
Not really.
Clearly Iowa is turning blue….



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IMG_7884.webp
 
There are some interesting details in the poll. There's a whole 2% who respond with "rather not say." Traditionally, we would infer most of those individuals to be Donald's voters. But in a place like Iowa in 2024, I suspect that's more likely someone would prefer to avoid admitting they're voting for Harris. So, I'd guesstimate 1.3% of them for Harris and .7% for Donald.

There's 3% of people who are still undecided. Most data throughout the country show late deciders breaking for Harris. But even if they break 2:1 for Donald, it wouldn't be enough. It's really down to the margin of error from a pollster with a reputation for being dead on balls accurate. There's really no way around it. Iowa, surprisingly, is very much in play for Harris, and it clearly was a mistake by both campaigns to disregard it as a swing state.

The really interesting part of this is that it opens up a new victory path for Harris. She could lose PA along with NV, and still win if she closes the deal in NC plus IA. Granted, it's hard to imagine a scenario where taking those three states doesn't also land her PA (anything that moves swing voters in those two states is also bound to move swing voters in PA), but it gives Harris extra space for error.
 
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Guys, losing Iowa would signal a BIG election night thumping for Trump, as it's not even a swing state, it's a rightwing state.




As I stated in the other thread, as of tonight, I'm calling it for Kamala, w/a blowout likely.


Yeah, this polls seems like bullshit.

47%- 44%? You mean there are 9% of voters still undecided at this point?

That seems a little hard to believe.

I'm hoping for the best, but this is all going to come down to Pennsylvania.
 
Trend lines are not good for him. I admit it may be too little too late for Kamala. But I will say I live in a very conservative area and I have never seen so many signs for a Democratic president as I do for Harris.

It actually reminds me of 2016 when I noticed people waiving Trump signs everywhere and knew Hillary was in trouble. I see the same fervor for Harris now.
You keep bleating about TREND LINES, and yet you have failed to provide any trend line data.
 
Guys, losing Iowa would signal a BIG election night thumping for Trump, as it's not even a swing state, it's a rightwing state.




As I stated in the other thread, as of tonight, I'm calling it for Kamala, w/a blowout likely.

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Looks like that ain't working out for you.

Georgia is headed Red.

Should we put you on suicide watch ?
 
Guys, losing Iowa would signal a BIG election night thumping for Trump, as it's not even a swing state, it's a rightwing state.




As I stated in the other thread, as of tonight, I'm calling it for Kamala, w/a blowout likely.

8Z46YDx.gif

Hey MarcATL Trump just won Iowa 55-43.

:auiqs.jpg: :auiqs.jpg: :auiqs.jpg: :auiqs.jpg: :auiqs.jpg: :auiqs.jpg: :auiqs.jpg: :auiqs.jpg: :auiqs.jpg: :auiqs.jpg: :auiqs.jpg: :dig:
 
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