BIG BREAKING NEWS... IOWA: Kamala Harris leapfrogs Donald Trump to take lead near Election Day 47-44

[JLW]

OP is so busted.....Last week wants their poll back.

2024 Iowa: Trump vs. Harris | RealClearPolling

2024 Iowa: Trump vs. Harris | RealClearPolling

www.realclearpolling.com

pollster	date	sample	moe	Trump (R)	Harris (D)	spread
Emerson	11/1 - 11/2	800 LV	3.4	54	45	Trump+9
Des Moines Register*	10/28 - 10/31	808 LV	3.4	44	47	Harris+3

LOL..the article is dated today. It appears you are using outdated data.

 

[Toro]

 

[1srelluc]

That's one poll. All of the other polls during the same exact time frame show Trump with a commanding lead. Guess you forgot to post those polls.

No, the poll he hung his hat one was several days ago.....The Emerson poll (Trump +9) was today.

In other words he's full of shit and it looks like the Register was just trying to sell papers.

 

[JLW]

That's one poll. All of the other polls during the same exact time frame show Trump with a commanding lead. Guess you forgot to post those polls.

Trend line are not good for Trump. He may still win, but it’s getting bleaker and bleaker for him.

 

[1srelluc]

LOL..the article is dated today. It appears you are using outdated data.

Yet the poll itself was several days old.

 

[JLW]

Yet the poll itself was several days old.

Not according to the Des Moines Register as of 6:01 pm today.

 

[Independent thinker]

Trend line are not good for Trump. He may still win, but it’s getting bleaker and bleaker for him.

50/50 isn't exactly bleak.

 

[Toro]

50/50 isn't exactly bleak.

People don't understand probabilities.

Even if Kamala has a 60% chance of winning, that's the equivalent of an NFL team being a 2-point favorites. Lots of 2-point favorites have lost football games in the NFL.

 

[JLW]

50/50 isn't exactly bleak.

Trend lines are not good for him. I admit it may be too little too late for Kamala. But I will say I live in a very conservative area and I have never seen so many signs for a Democratic president as I do for Harris.

It actually reminds me of 2016 when I noticed people waiving Trump signs everywhere and knew Hillary was in trouble. I see the same fervor for Harris now.

 

[eagle1462010]

Trend lines are not good for him. I admit it may be too little too late for Kamala. But I will say I live in a very conservative area and I have never seen so many signs for a Democratic president as I do for Harris.

It actually reminds me of 2016 when I noticed people waiving Trump signs everywhere and knew Hillary was in Trump. I see the same fervor for Harris.

 

[JLW]

You can deny it, but there is something out there and you be very shocked on Election Day.

 

[1srelluc]

Not according to the Des Moines Register as of 6:01 pm today.

LOL....Looks like you failed to read the fine print and the large print.


#1....SOURCE Iowa Poll of 808 likely voters, Oct. 28-31. Margin of error: plus or minus 3.4 percentage points.

#2.....The poll of 808 likely Iowa voters, which include those who have already voted as well as those who say they definitely plan to vote, was conducted by Selzer & Co. from Oct. 28-31. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.4 percentage points.

You fail OP.

 

[JLW]

LOL....Looks like you failed to read the fine print and the large print.


#1....SOURCE Iowa Poll of 808 likely voters, Oct. 28-31. Margin of error: plus or minus 3.4 percentage points.

#2.....The poll of 808 likely Iowa voters, which include those who have already voted as well as those who say they definitely plan to vote, was conducted by Selzer & Co. from Oct. 28-31. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.4 percentage points.

You fail OP.

How is it a fail? According to the Des Moines Register she is up 3. They stand by their results.

 

[mudwhistle]

Kamala Harris now leads Donald Trump in Iowa — a startling reversal for Democrats and Republicans who have all but written off the state’s presidential contest as a certain Trump victory.

A new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll shows Vice President Harris leading former President Trump 47% to 44% among likely voters just days before a high-stakes election that appears deadlocked in key battleground states.

Iowa Poll: Kamala Harris leapfrogs Donald Trump to take lead near Election Day. Here's how

The new Iowa Poll shows Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump by 3 points. Pollster J. Ann Selzer: “It’s hard for anybody to say they saw this coming.”

www.desmoinesregister.com

Trend lines look dimmer and dimmer for Donald. Not to say he will lose (though that does appear more likely than ever), but Kamala is peaking at the right time.

Trump is leading in early voting in Oregon.

 

[Independent thinker]

Trend lines are not good for him. I admit it may be too little too late for Kamala. But I will say I live in a very conservative area and I have never seen so many signs for a Democratic president as I do for Harris.

It actually reminds me of 2016 when I noticed people waiving Trump signs everywhere and knew Hillary was in trouble. I see the same fervor for Harris now.

I don't know if that means anything. I was up in many parts of Minnesota a couple of months ago and saw nothing but Trump signs everywhere. Don't remember even seeing a sign for Harris.

 

[JLW]

I don't know if that means anything. I was up in many parts of Minnesota a couple of months ago and saw nothing but Trump signs everywhere. Don't remember even seeing a sign for Harris.

Harris signs have popped up in the last week or so and so have the people on the street corners waiving her banner. It is just a surprise to see it in this town. You may be right that it means nothing.

 

[1srelluc]

How is it a fail? According to the Des Moines Register she is up 3. They stand by their results.

OK, how do you square that with the Emerson poll of 11/1-11/2 that has Trump cleaning FKH's clock by 8 points, well outside the margin of error?

Sorry Bub, but wishes aren't fishes.

 

[MarcATL]

It depends where are you reading your news!

Poll: Donald Trump Leading Kamala Harris by 10 Percent In Iowa​

2 Nov 2024

Poll: Donald Trump Leading Kamala Harris by 10 Percent In Iowa

Former President Donald Trump is leading Vice President Kamala Harris in Iowa by more than 10 percent, according to a recent poll.

www.breitbart.com

Would you bet your life based on the accuracy and/or truth of a Britebart article skye?

 

[theHawk]

Guys, losing Iowa would signal a BIG election night thumping for Trump, as it's not even a swing state, it's a rightwing state.

Iowa Poll: Kamala Harris leapfrogs Donald Trump to take lead near Election Day. Here's how

The new Iowa Poll shows Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump by 3 points. Pollster J. Ann Selzer: “It’s hard for anybody to say they saw this coming.”

www.desmoinesregister.com

As I stated in the other thread, as of tonight, I'm calling it for Kamala, w/a blowout likely.

The walls are closing in on Trump.


It’s over.

 

[JLW]

OK, how do you square that with the Emerson poll of 11/1-11/2 that has Trump cleaning FKH's clock by 8 points, well outside the margin of error?

Sorry Bub, but wishes aren't fishes.

What can I say? Polls differ and the Des Moines Register just published their results. In a few days we will see which is the more accurate poll.