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Presidential election simulator.
Click the link and watch the electoral map fill in. Even with Romney winning many swing states, Obama still wins the electoral vote.
The simulator is not a predictor of the election. It provides a range of electoral outcomes that are plausible if the election were today, if the state polls were accurate and if each state were a fully independent event. The election is still months away; state polling is still infrequent and may be ‘stale’. While each state is, in theory, a separate election, the reality is that there are usually correlations. For example, if Obama were to win Georgia, he wouldn’t lose Virginia. However, something like that is possible in a given simulation. As a result, this model underplays the likelihood of toss-up states breaking heavily for one candidate.
Presidential election simulator.
Click the link and watch the electoral map fill in. Even with Romney winning many swing states, Obama still wins the electoral vote.
Presidential election simulator.
Click the link and watch the electoral map fill in. Even with Romney winning many swing states, Obama still wins the electoral vote.
Desperation is fun to watch!
Presidential election simulator.
Click the link and watch the electoral map fill in. Even with Romney winning many swing states, Obama still wins the electoral vote.
Desperation is fun to watch!
the OP is not desperate.
He's just stupid.
Presidential election simulator.
Click the link and watch the electoral map fill in. Even with Romney winning many swing states, Obama still wins the electoral vote.
That could very well happenPart of me almost hopes Romney wins the Popular Vote, But loses the EC. Just so we can watch all these fucking Lefties who have cried about the EC since 2000, all of the sudden see it's wisdom.
Methodology We take current state-by-state polls and turn the results into probabilities. Each simulation picks a winner in each individual state, based on the probabilities for that state. For example, if Romney has a 55% chance of winning Nevada, he will, in the long run, win Nevada in 55% of the simulations conducted. Some uncontested states (e.g., Utah) will always yield the same result. The simulator does not consider the possibility of split electoral votes in Maine or Nebraska.
The simulator is not a predictor of the election. It provides a range of electoral outcomes that are plausible if the election were today, if the state polls were accurate and if each state were a fully independent event. The election is still months away; state polling is still infrequent and may be ‘stale’. While each state is, in theory, a separate election, the reality is that there are usually correlations. For example, if Obama were to win Georgia, he wouldn’t lose Virginia. However, something like that is possible in a given simulation. As a result, this model underplays the likelihood of toss-up states breaking heavily for one candidate.
Methodology We take current state-by-state polls and turn the results into probabilities. Each simulation picks a winner in each individual state, based on the probabilities for that state. For example, if Romney has a 55% chance of winning Nevada, he will, in the long run, win Nevada in 55% of the simulations conducted. Some uncontested states (e.g., Utah) will always yield the same result. The simulator does not consider the possibility of split electoral votes in Maine or Nebraska.
The simulator is not a predictor of the election. It provides a range of electoral outcomes that are plausible if the election were today, if the state polls were accurate and if each state were a fully independent event. The election is still months away; state polling is still infrequent and may be stale. While each state is, in theory, a separate election, the reality is that there are usually correlations. For example, if Obama were to win Georgia, he wouldnt lose Virginia. However, something like that is possible in a given simulation. As a result, this model underplays the likelihood of toss-up states breaking heavily for one candidate.
You will get different results based on polls and methods mentioned above. In every case Obama is shown to win. I suppose if you had nothing better to do than run it dozens of times, it might show Romney winning occasionally. I ran it 28 times and Obama won every time from about 289 to 332 electoral votes.
Presidential election simulator.
Click the link and watch the electoral map fill in. Even with Romney winning many swing states, Obama still wins the electoral vote.
Dude I can tell you right now no way in hell is North Carolina going obama, and your little map shows North Carolina going obama.
Methodology We take current state-by-state polls and turn the results into probabilities. Each simulation picks a winner in each individual state, based on the probabilities for that state. For example, if Romney has a 55% chance of winning Nevada, he will, in the long run, win Nevada in 55% of the simulations conducted. Some uncontested states (e.g., Utah) will always yield the same result. The simulator does not consider the possibility of split electoral votes in Maine or Nebraska.
The simulator is not a predictor of the election. It provides a range of electoral outcomes that are plausible if the election were today, if the state polls were accurate and if each state were a fully independent event. The election is still months away; state polling is still infrequent and may be stale. While each state is, in theory, a separate election, the reality is that there are usually correlations. For example, if Obama were to win Georgia, he wouldnt lose Virginia. However, something like that is possible in a given simulation. As a result, this model underplays the likelihood of toss-up states breaking heavily for one candidate.
You will get different results based on polls and methods mentioned above. In every case Obama is shown to win. I suppose if you had nothing better to do than run it dozens of times, it might show Romney winning occasionally. I ran it 28 times and Obama won every time from about 289 to 332 electoral votes.
No not in every case does it show obama winning
Presidential election simulator.
Click the link and watch the electoral map fill in. Even with Romney winning many swing states, Obama still wins the electoral vote.
