What the national polls say about a 2020 Trump vs. Biden race.

[U2Edge]

Here is all the national polling data I could find on potential Trump vs. Biden race in 2020 starting from the latest poll going back in time.

February 16, 2019 - Emerson Poll - Biden 55% Trump 45% - Biden +10

January 22, 2019 - PPP Poll - Biden 53% Trump 41% - Biden +12

June 13, 2018 - PPP Poll - Biden 53% Trump 39% - Biden +14

March 27, 2018 - PPP Poll - Biden 56% Trump 39% - Biden +17

February 14, 2018 - PPP Poll - Biden 51% Trump 42% - Biden +9

January 23, 2018 - CNN Poll - Biden 57% Trump 40% - Biden +17

December 14, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 40% - Biden +14

October 31, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 56% Trump 38% - Biden +18

October 16, 2017 - Emerson Poll - Biden 51% Trump 42% - Biden +9

September 28, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 53% Trump 40% - Biden +13

August 23, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 51% Trump 39% - Biden +12

July 18, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 39% - Biden +15

June 12, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 41% - Biden +13

May 16, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 40% - Biden +14

April 20, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 40% - Biden +14

March 30, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 40% - Biden +14


When you average the margin of victory in the 16 polls, Biden beats Trump on average by 13.5 points, just 6 points less from a total overwhelming landslide when it comes to electoral Presidential politics.

Trumps percentages in these head to head races, around 40%, match his average approval rating over the past two years in the GALLUP poll.

Umm yeah, and how did those polls work with the last Presidential election ?

The National polls worked just fine. They predicted Hillary Clinton would win the popular vote by 3 percentage points and she ended up winning the popular vote by 2 percentage points.

90% of the time, the winner of the popular vote wins the electoral college and the election. It was a rare fluke that Hillary did not win the electoral college. In order for Trump to be re-elected, he will need to win the popular vote. No President has ever been re-elected without winning the popular vote.

So the national polls which predict the popular vote result have been right and were right for Hillary Clinton.

But Trump is 13.5 points behind Biden instead of just 3 points behind Hillary. There will not be any fluke electoral college victories in 2020.

Care to put your money where your mouth is? Bet against Trump and make money if you're so confident.
Cohen Testimony Has Zero Effect on 2020 Presidential Odds

Careful, the polls and MSM have been wrong before

I trust scientific polling over betting in Vegas. The national polls were RIGHT in 2016, Hillary won the popular vote.

 

[ThunderKiss1965]

Here is all the national polling data I could find on potential Trump vs. Biden race in 2020 starting from the latest poll going back in time.

February 16, 2019 - Emerson Poll - Biden 55% Trump 45% - Biden +10

January 22, 2019 - PPP Poll - Biden 53% Trump 41% - Biden +12

June 13, 2018 - PPP Poll - Biden 53% Trump 39% - Biden +14

March 27, 2018 - PPP Poll - Biden 56% Trump 39% - Biden +17

February 14, 2018 - PPP Poll - Biden 51% Trump 42% - Biden +9

January 23, 2018 - CNN Poll - Biden 57% Trump 40% - Biden +17

December 14, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 40% - Biden +14

October 31, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 56% Trump 38% - Biden +18

October 16, 2017 - Emerson Poll - Biden 51% Trump 42% - Biden +9

September 28, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 53% Trump 40% - Biden +13

August 23, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 51% Trump 39% - Biden +12

July 18, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 39% - Biden +15

June 12, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 41% - Biden +13

May 16, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 40% - Biden +14

April 20, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 40% - Biden +14

March 30, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 40% - Biden +14


When you average the margin of victory in the 16 polls, Biden beats Trump on average by 13.5 points, just 6 points less from a total overwhelming landslide when it comes to electoral Presidential politics.

Trumps percentages in these head to head races, around 40%, match his average approval rating over the past two years in the GALLUP poll.

Umm yeah, and how did those polls work with the last Presidential election ?

The National polls worked just fine. They predicted Hillary Clinton would win the popular vote by 3 percentage points and she ended up winning the popular vote by 2 percentage points.

90% of the time, the winner of the popular vote wins the electoral college and the election. It was a rare fluke that Hillary did not win the electoral college. In order for Trump to be re-elected, he will need to win the popular vote. No President has ever been re-elected without winning the popular vote.

So the national polls which predict the popular vote result have been right and were right for Hillary Clinton.

But Trump is 13.5 points behind Biden instead of just 3 points behind Hillary. There will not be any fluke electoral college victories in 2020.

Care to put your money where your mouth is? Bet against Trump and make money if you're so confident.
Cohen Testimony Has Zero Effect on 2020 Presidential Odds

Careful, the polls and MSM have been wrong before

I trust scientific polling over betting in Vegas. The national polls were RIGHT in 2016, Hillary won the popular vote.

Thankfully California and New York aren't the only ones who get to choose the President.

 

[Flash]

Ask Crooked Hillary about those stupid Moon Bat polls.

All the polls said she would be President now. Some said she would win by a landslide.

If you only poll Moon Bats you will only get Moon Bat responses.

 

[Deno]

Interesting. A good rebuttal would be a poll showing Trump beating Biden in 2020. I've not seen any yet.

I hate to break this to you, but polls don't really count...….

See you on election day, Trump will win in a landslide.....

 

[Deno]

Polls!

Rasmussan is an outlier. On average among the major polling companies, Trump is at 44% approval, 53% disapproval. Trumps average in the Gallup poll over the past two years is 40%, the lowest average approval rating for any President in history, although Trump has yet to finish his term.

See for yourself below the reality of Trumps current low approval ratings:

RealClearPolitics - Election Other - President Trump Job Approval

You can't beat us with your FAKE polls......

 

[Lakhota]

Democrats deserve to lose if they run Biden. He's a creepy loose canon. However, he is far superior to Trump.

 

[whitehall]

Go Joe.

 

[Deno]

I don't know if this matters, but the polls were actually not far off.

They were issued based on human votes, not electoral votes.

They predicted a narrow Hillary win in popular votes, and that's what happened.
.

What a bull shit excuse for getting it all wrong …

Didn’t the dumb ass pollsters know the electoral college chooses the President?

If you take out the illegal vote hillary got her ass kicked in a landslide.

You Tards and some of your FAKE polls said hillary had a 95%

chance of winning 2 days before the election….

What really happened is you Tards got your ass kicked by TRUMP……

 

[edward37]

Here is all the national polling data I could find on potential Trump vs. Biden race in 2020 starting from the latest poll going back in time.

February 16, 2019 - Emerson Poll - Biden 55% Trump 45% - Biden +10

January 22, 2019 - PPP Poll - Biden 53% Trump 41% - Biden +12

June 13, 2018 - PPP Poll - Biden 53% Trump 39% - Biden +14

March 27, 2018 - PPP Poll - Biden 56% Trump 39% - Biden +17

February 14, 2018 - PPP Poll - Biden 51% Trump 42% - Biden +9

January 23, 2018 - CNN Poll - Biden 57% Trump 40% - Biden +17

December 14, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 40% - Biden +14

October 31, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 56% Trump 38% - Biden +18

October 16, 2017 - Emerson Poll - Biden 51% Trump 42% - Biden +9

September 28, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 53% Trump 40% - Biden +13

August 23, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 51% Trump 39% - Biden +12

July 18, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 39% - Biden +15

June 12, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 41% - Biden +13

May 16, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 40% - Biden +14

April 20, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 40% - Biden +14

March 30, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 40% - Biden +14


When you average the margin of victory in the 16 polls, Biden beats Trump on average by 13.5 points, just 6 points less from a total overwhelming landslide when it comes to electoral Presidential politics.

Trumps percentages in these head to head races, around 40%, match his average approval rating over the past two years in the GALLUP poll.

Umm yeah, and how did those polls work with the last Presidential election ?

The National polls worked just fine. They predicted Hillary Clinton would win the popular vote by 3 percentage points and she ended up winning the popular vote by 2 percentage points.

90% of the time, the winner of the popular vote wins the electoral college and the election. It was a rare fluke that Hillary did not win the electoral college. In order for Trump to be re-elected, he will need to win the popular vote. No President has ever been re-elected without winning the popular vote.

So the national polls which predict the popular vote result have been right and were right for Hillary Clinton.

But Trump is 13.5 points behind Biden instead of just 3 points behind Hillary. There will not be any fluke electoral college victories in 2020.

Does that mean the AH Kushner might have his top security clearance taken away?? the one given by the moron trump?

 

[Deno]

For a Trump fan to make fun of Biden's -- or anyone's -- behaviors, is irony on a scale that is almost too enormous to imagine.

The intellectual myopia that is required for that. Just astonishing. Mind-blowing.

Political ideology absolutely blinds, doesn't it?
.

Political ideology absolutely blinds, doesn't it?

This is why you Tards can't see past your nose....

 

[Deno]

Were these the same pollsters
that had Hillary in the lead against Trump?

Remember, the national polls said Hillary would win and she did win the popular vote which is what the national polls were trying to determine. 90% of the time, the popular vote winner wins the electoral college. Hillary won the popular vote, but lost by very narrow margins in 3 states which cost her the electoral college. It was a fluke and it won't happen in 2020.

It is most likely that the winner of the popular vote in 2020 will win the electoral college. Trump has not shown he can win the popular vote in the United States.

Remember, the national polls said Hillary would win and she did win the popular vote which is what the national polls were trying to determine. 90% of the time, the popular vote winner wins the electoral college. Hillary won the popular vote, but lost by very narrow margins in 3 states which cost her the electoral college. It was a fluke and it won't happen in 2020.

It is most likely that the winner of the popular vote in 2020 will win the electoral college. Trump has not shown he can win the popular vote in the United States.

McCain lost to Obama by 9 million votes
Romney lost to Obama by 5 million votes

Hillary spent twice as much as Trump
Had a 72% chance of winning
and won the popular vote by only 3 million votes

The polls not only had Hillary winning,
they had her winning in a landslide...
3 million is not a landslide

Nope, the polls had her winning by 3%, she ended up winning by 2%. That is pretty close. Point is also the national polls said she would win and she did win in the popular vote which is what nation polls are looking at.

90% of the time, the Winner of the popular vote wins the electoral college. Trump has not shown he can win the popular vote. There for Trump is not likely to win in 2020 since the odds are that the popular vote winner will be the electoral college winner.

Watch this video, Hillary had a 95% probability of winning. Total bullshit. Your spin that the polls only track the popular vote is misleading. CNN had Hillary winning her blue wall states, FL, NC, and many more that Trump actually won, so the MSM and polls were total bullshit in 2016. The 3% popular vote prediction vs 2% actual means that the polls need to factor in the CA and NY effects, that's all.

The national polls predicted Hillary would win the popular vote. They were right.

President TRUMP won the election didn't he...……...

 

[Deno]

Here is all the national polling data I could find on potential Trump vs. Biden race in 2020 starting from the latest poll going back in time.

February 16, 2019 - Emerson Poll - Biden 55% Trump 45% - Biden +10

January 22, 2019 - PPP Poll - Biden 53% Trump 41% - Biden +12

June 13, 2018 - PPP Poll - Biden 53% Trump 39% - Biden +14

March 27, 2018 - PPP Poll - Biden 56% Trump 39% - Biden +17

February 14, 2018 - PPP Poll - Biden 51% Trump 42% - Biden +9

January 23, 2018 - CNN Poll - Biden 57% Trump 40% - Biden +17

December 14, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 40% - Biden +14

October 31, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 56% Trump 38% - Biden +18

October 16, 2017 - Emerson Poll - Biden 51% Trump 42% - Biden +9

September 28, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 53% Trump 40% - Biden +13

August 23, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 51% Trump 39% - Biden +12

July 18, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 39% - Biden +15

June 12, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 41% - Biden +13

May 16, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 40% - Biden +14

April 20, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 40% - Biden +14

March 30, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 40% - Biden +14


When you average the margin of victory in the 16 polls, Biden beats Trump on average by 13.5 points, just 6 points less from a total overwhelming landslide when it comes to electoral Presidential politics.

Trumps percentages in these head to head races, around 40%, match his average approval rating over the past two years in the GALLUP poll.

The polls are split between Hillary Clinton winning and … Hillary Clinton winning in a landslide


Clinton now leads Donald Trump in national polling averages by about 7 points, with every recent live interview poll showing her up by between 4 and 12 points.

She continues to hold on to solid leads in a series of states that would put her over the 270 electoral votes she needs to win, and she seems to have taken the lead in even most of the swing states she doesn’t need (like Florida, North Carolina, and Nevada).



New poll shows we're 'starting to hear the faint rumblings of a Hillary Clinton landslide'

A poll from Quinnipiac University released on Thursday gave Hillary Clinton a massive advantage over her Republican counterpart, Donald Trump, just 75 days before November's election.

The poll put Clinton, the Democratic presidential nominee, at 51% and Trump, the Republican nominee, at 41% in a head-to-head matchup.



Why 2016 election polls missed their mark

Why 2016 election polls missed their mark

How could the polls have been so wrong about the state of the election?

There is a great deal of speculation but no clear answers as to the cause of the disconnect, but there is one point of agreement: Across the board, polls underestimated Trump’s level of support. With few exceptions, the final round of public polling showed Clinton with a lead of 1 to 7 percentage points in the national popular vote. State-level polling was more variable, but there were few instances where polls overstated Trump’s support.

The national polls said Clinton would win the popular vote. Guess what, she did. Trump has not shown he can win the popular vote. Your not winning the electoral college without winning the popular vote in all likelihood. Unless there is a successful third party run to split the anti-Trump vote, Trump is going home on January 20, 2021.

Dream on, Trump is going to SMASH you Tards……….

 

[Deno]

Biden 2020 go ahead pin your hopes on that fool

He was elected and re-elected Vice President. Served 8 years as Vice President. Democrats obviously like him and so does most of the United States.

We'll see who is laughing in November 2020. Trump is going home on January 20, 2021.

Rave on you idiot.

 

[Deno]

Here is all the national polling data I could find on potential Trump vs. Biden race in 2020 starting from the latest poll going back in time.

February 16, 2019 - Emerson Poll - Biden 55% Trump 45% - Biden +10

January 22, 2019 - PPP Poll - Biden 53% Trump 41% - Biden +12

June 13, 2018 - PPP Poll - Biden 53% Trump 39% - Biden +14

March 27, 2018 - PPP Poll - Biden 56% Trump 39% - Biden +17

February 14, 2018 - PPP Poll - Biden 51% Trump 42% - Biden +9

January 23, 2018 - CNN Poll - Biden 57% Trump 40% - Biden +17

December 14, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 40% - Biden +14

October 31, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 56% Trump 38% - Biden +18

October 16, 2017 - Emerson Poll - Biden 51% Trump 42% - Biden +9

September 28, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 53% Trump 40% - Biden +13

August 23, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 51% Trump 39% - Biden +12

July 18, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 39% - Biden +15

June 12, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 41% - Biden +13

May 16, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 40% - Biden +14

April 20, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 40% - Biden +14

March 30, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 40% - Biden +14


When you average the margin of victory in the 16 polls, Biden beats Trump on average by 13.5 points, just 6 points less from a total overwhelming landslide when it comes to electoral Presidential politics.

Trumps percentages in these head to head races, around 40%, match his average approval rating over the past two years in the GALLUP poll.

Umm yeah, and how did those polls work with the last Presidential election ?

The National polls worked just fine. They predicted Hillary Clinton would win the popular vote by 3 percentage points and she ended up winning the popular vote by 2 percentage points.

90% of the time, the winner of the popular vote wins the electoral college and the election. It was a rare fluke that Hillary did not win the electoral college. In order for Trump to be re-elected, he will need to win the popular vote. No President has ever been re-elected without winning the popular vote.

So the national polls which predict the popular vote result have been right and were right for Hillary Clinton.

But Trump is 13.5 points behind Biden instead of just 3 points behind Hillary. There will not be any fluke electoral college victories in 2020.

Care to put your money where your mouth is? Bet against Trump and make money if you're so confident.
Cohen Testimony Has Zero Effect on 2020 Presidential Odds

Careful, the polls and MSM have been wrong before

I trust scientific polling over betting in Vegas. The national polls were RIGHT in 2016, Hillary won the popular vote.

Scientific polling ?

No wonder you tards are so easily taken in by your FAKE NEWS MEDIA…

 

[TroglocratsRdumb]

Biden needs a personality implant.

 

[edward37]

For a Trump fan to make fun of Biden's -- or anyone's -- behaviors, is irony on a scale that is almost too enormous to imagine.

The intellectual myopia that is required for that. Just astonishing. Mind-blowing.

Political ideology absolutely blinds, doesn't it?
.

Political ideology absolutely blinds, doesn't it?

This is why you Tards can't see past your nose....

And you morons can? You can see past this nasty POS you put into our WH ?This lying cheat ?? FU all,, you deserve him

 

[Deno]

For a Trump fan to make fun of Biden's -- or anyone's -- behaviors, is irony on a scale that is almost too enormous to imagine.

The intellectual myopia that is required for that. Just astonishing. Mind-blowing.

Political ideology absolutely blinds, doesn't it?
.

Political ideology absolutely blinds, doesn't it?

This is why you Tards can't see past your nose....

And you morons can? You can see past this nasty POS you put into our WH ?This lying cheat ?? FU all,, you deserve him

Trump is SPANKING TARD ASS.....

That is why we love him...…..

 

[GreenAndBlue]

Quinnipac poll has the nerve to say the poll is showing trump only leading by 1 point and by 2 points to the other. Trump over sanders and Biden. This in Texas

There never was this difference in the polling. All a hoax to make conservatives get deflated and energizes the left. Just a con game played by the media and deep state

 

[U2Edge]

Quinnipac poll has the nerve to say the poll is showing trump only leading by 1 point and by 2 points to the other. Trump over sanders and Biden. This in Texas

There never was this difference in the polling. All a hoax to make conservatives get deflated and energizes the left. Just a con game played by the media and deep state

Does not involve any Nerve. Its a fact based result for scientific process. Texas is slipping towards the Blue gradually and has for some time. The Republicans embrace of Trump and rejection of Hispanics is hurting them there. The poll shows Trump is in trouble there. Does not mean he can't win it, but to be forced to spend lots of money and have to fight for Texas, is not a good sign.

 

[U2Edge]

Remember, the national polls said Hillary would win and she did win the popular vote which is what the national polls were trying to determine. 90% of the time, the popular vote winner wins the electoral college. Hillary won the popular vote, but lost by very narrow margins in 3 states which cost her the electoral college. It was a fluke and it won't happen in 2020.

It is most likely that the winner of the popular vote in 2020 will win the electoral college. Trump has not shown he can win the popular vote in the United States.

Remember, the national polls said Hillary would win and she did win the popular vote which is what the national polls were trying to determine. 90% of the time, the popular vote winner wins the electoral college. Hillary won the popular vote, but lost by very narrow margins in 3 states which cost her the electoral college. It was a fluke and it won't happen in 2020.

It is most likely that the winner of the popular vote in 2020 will win the electoral college. Trump has not shown he can win the popular vote in the United States.

McCain lost to Obama by 9 million votes
Romney lost to Obama by 5 million votes

Hillary spent twice as much as Trump
Had a 72% chance of winning
and won the popular vote by only 3 million votes

The polls not only had Hillary winning,
they had her winning in a landslide...
3 million is not a landslide

Nope, the polls had her winning by 3%, she ended up winning by 2%. That is pretty close. Point is also the national polls said she would win and she did win in the popular vote which is what nation polls are looking at.

90% of the time, the Winner of the popular vote wins the electoral college. Trump has not shown he can win the popular vote. There for Trump is not likely to win in 2020 since the odds are that the popular vote winner will be the electoral college winner.

Watch this video, Hillary had a 95% probability of winning. Total bullshit. Your spin that the polls only track the popular vote is misleading. CNN had Hillary winning her blue wall states, FL, NC, and many more that Trump actually won, so the MSM and polls were total bullshit in 2016. The 3% popular vote prediction vs 2% actual means that the polls need to factor in the CA and NY effects, that's all.

The national polls predicted Hillary would win the popular vote. They were right.

President TRUMP won the election didn't he...……...

Yes he did, in one of the 5 fluke elections out the 58 there have been in this nations history. Its rare that a candidate loses the popular vote but is then able to win the election through the electoral college. It won't work again in 2020. Trump will have to win the popularity vote in 2020 in order to be re-elected. There is no sign that Trump can win the popular vote in the next Presidential election.