What the national polls say about a 2020 Trump vs. Biden race.

[U2Edge]

Biden 2020 go ahead pin your hopes on that fool

He was elected and re-elected Vice President. Served 8 years as Vice President. Democrats obviously like him and so does most of the United States.

We'll see who is laughing in November 2020. Trump is going home on January 20, 2021.

 

[Crixus]

Here is all the national polling data I could find on potential Trump vs. Biden race in 2020 starting from the latest poll going back in time.

February 16, 2019 - Emerson Poll - Biden 55% Trump 45% - Biden +10

January 22, 2019 - PPP Poll - Biden 53% Trump 41% - Biden +12

June 13, 2018 - PPP Poll - Biden 53% Trump 39% - Biden +14

March 27, 2018 - PPP Poll - Biden 56% Trump 39% - Biden +17

February 14, 2018 - PPP Poll - Biden 51% Trump 42% - Biden +9

January 23, 2018 - CNN Poll - Biden 57% Trump 40% - Biden +17

December 14, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 40% - Biden +14

October 31, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 56% Trump 38% - Biden +18

October 16, 2017 - Emerson Poll - Biden 51% Trump 42% - Biden +9

September 28, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 53% Trump 40% - Biden +13

August 23, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 51% Trump 39% - Biden +12

July 18, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 39% - Biden +15

June 12, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 41% - Biden +13

May 16, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 40% - Biden +14

April 20, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 40% - Biden +14

March 30, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 40% - Biden +14


When you average the margin of victory in the 16 polls, Biden beats Trump on average by 13.5 points, just 6 points less from a total overwhelming landslide when it comes to electoral Presidential politics.

Trumps percentages in these head to head races, around 40%, match his average approval rating over the past two years in the GALLUP poll.

The polls are split between Hillary Clinton winning and … Hillary Clinton winning in a landslide


Clinton now leads Donald Trump in national polling averages by about 7 points, with every recent live interview poll showing her up by between 4 and 12 points.

She continues to hold on to solid leads in a series of states that would put her over the 270 electoral votes she needs to win, and she seems to have taken the lead in even most of the swing states she doesn’t need (like Florida, North Carolina, and Nevada).



New poll shows we're 'starting to hear the faint rumblings of a Hillary Clinton landslide'

A poll from Quinnipiac University released on Thursday gave Hillary Clinton a massive advantage over her Republican counterpart, Donald Trump, just 75 days before November's election.

The poll put Clinton, the Democratic presidential nominee, at 51% and Trump, the Republican nominee, at 41% in a head-to-head matchup.



Why 2016 election polls missed their mark

Why 2016 election polls missed their mark

How could the polls have been so wrong about the state of the election?

There is a great deal of speculation but no clear answers as to the cause of the disconnect, but there is one point of agreement: Across the board, polls underestimated Trump’s level of support. With few exceptions, the final round of public polling showed Clinton with a lead of 1 to 7 percentage points in the national popular vote. State-level polling was more variable, but there were few instances where polls overstated Trump’s support.

The national polls said Clinton would win the popular vote. Guess what, she did. Trump has not shown he can win the popular vote. Your not winning the electoral college without winning the popular vote in all likelihood. Unless there is a successful third party run to split the anti-Trump vote, Trump is going home on January 20, 2021.

Lol. Yuuuuup.

 

[Preacher]

Here is all the national polling data I could find on potential Trump vs. Biden race in 2020 starting from the latest poll going back in time.

February 16, 2019 - Emerson Poll - Biden 55% Trump 45% - Biden +10

January 22, 2019 - PPP Poll - Biden 53% Trump 41% - Biden +12

June 13, 2018 - PPP Poll - Biden 53% Trump 39% - Biden +14

March 27, 2018 - PPP Poll - Biden 56% Trump 39% - Biden +17

February 14, 2018 - PPP Poll - Biden 51% Trump 42% - Biden +9

January 23, 2018 - CNN Poll - Biden 57% Trump 40% - Biden +17

December 14, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 40% - Biden +14

October 31, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 56% Trump 38% - Biden +18

October 16, 2017 - Emerson Poll - Biden 51% Trump 42% - Biden +9

September 28, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 53% Trump 40% - Biden +13

August 23, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 51% Trump 39% - Biden +12

July 18, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 39% - Biden +15

June 12, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 41% - Biden +13

May 16, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 40% - Biden +14

April 20, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 40% - Biden +14

March 30, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 40% - Biden +14


When you average the margin of victory in the 16 polls, Biden beats Trump on average by 13.5 points, just 6 points less from a total overwhelming landslide when it comes to electoral Presidential politics.

Trumps percentages in these head to head races, around 40%, match his average approval rating over the past two years in the GALLUP poll.

It would have been easier to just say this.

Same biased left wing polls that claimed Clinton would beat Trump are claiming Biden will beat Trump. YAWN!

Were talking national polls here, popular vote. Clinton beat Trump in the national polls. The national polls correctly predicted Hillary Clinton would win the Popular vote. The winner of the popular vote in the United States, is the winner of the electoral college more than 90% of the time.

Hillary Clinton received 48.02% of the popular vote to Trumps 45.93% of the popular vote. So the national polls were right in terms of what they were looking at. They were also very close to predicting the margin of victory. They predicted on average she would win by 3 percentage points and she won by just over 2 percentage points.

Hillary Clinton NEVER averaged a 13.5 percentage lead over the Trump in the average of the polls.

Given history, it is HIGHLY UNLIKELY Trump will be able to win the Presidency a second time without winning the popular vote. So slipping by through a fluke in win in the Electoral College won't work in 2020. That situation has only happened in 5 out of 58 Presidential elections in U.S. history. It won't happen in 2020. No President has ever won TWO Presidential elections without winning the popular vote at least once.

And the polls said she was KILLING Trump in ALL the swing states. The ONLY swing state she managed to win was New Hampshire and Virginia.

 

[EvilCat Breath]

Biden has been rejected more than once. This won't be any different. Democrats have an uphill climb carrying the burdens of reparations, legalized infanticide and the green new deal.

 

[U2Edge]

Biden has been rejected more than once. This won't be any different. Democrats have an uphill climb carrying the burdens of reparations, legalized infanticide and the green new deal.

Not as uphill a battle as Donald Trump who only averages 40% in approval after over two years in office. That's the lowest average approval rating for any President in HISTORY. You don't get re-elected President when you have the lowest average approval rating of any President in history.

 

[EvilCat Breath]

Biden has been rejected more than once. This won't be any different. Democrats have an uphill climb carrying the burdens of reparations, legalized infanticide and the green new deal.

Not as uphill a battle as Donald Trump who only averages 40% in approval after over two years in office. That's the lowest average approval rating for any President in HISTORY. You don't get re-elected President when you have the lowest average approval rating of any President in history.

We will have to wait and see. The Democrats are becoming so evil, so power mad, that they are defying the limits of normalcy.

 

[Likkmee]

I'll vote for Joe and so will Leno

 

[kyzr]

Were these the same pollsters
that had Hillary in the lead against Trump?

Remember, the national polls said Hillary would win and she did win the popular vote which is what the national polls were trying to determine. 90% of the time, the popular vote winner wins the electoral college. Hillary won the popular vote, but lost by very narrow margins in 3 states which cost her the electoral college. It was a fluke and it won't happen in 2020.

It is most likely that the winner of the popular vote in 2020 will win the electoral college. Trump has not shown he can win the popular vote in the United States.

Remember, the national polls said Hillary would win and she did win the popular vote which is what the national polls were trying to determine. 90% of the time, the popular vote winner wins the electoral college. Hillary won the popular vote, but lost by very narrow margins in 3 states which cost her the electoral college. It was a fluke and it won't happen in 2020.

It is most likely that the winner of the popular vote in 2020 will win the electoral college. Trump has not shown he can win the popular vote in the United States.

McCain lost to Obama by 9 million votes
Romney lost to Obama by 5 million votes

Hillary spent twice as much as Trump
Had a 72% chance of winning
and won the popular vote by only 3 million votes

The polls not only had Hillary winning,
they had her winning in a landslide...
3 million is not a landslide

Nope, the polls had her winning by 3%, she ended up winning by 2%. That is pretty close. Point is also the national polls said she would win and she did win in the popular vote which is what nation polls are looking at.

90% of the time, the Winner of the popular vote wins the electoral college. Trump has not shown he can win the popular vote. There for Trump is not likely to win in 2020 since the odds are that the popular vote winner will be the electoral college winner.

Watch this video, Hillary had a 95% probability of winning. Total bullshit. Your spin that the polls only track the popular vote is misleading. CNN had Hillary winning her blue wall states, FL, NC, and many more that Trump actually won, so the MSM and polls were total bullshit in 2016. The 3% popular vote prediction vs 2% actual means that the polls need to factor in the CA and NY effects, that's all.

The national polls predicted Hillary would win the popular vote. They were right.

"Popular vote" Bullshit. Watch the video again. The polls had H winning most states, and the EC, and the election, with a 95% probability. Your spin that the polls only predicted the popular vote, which is totally irrelevant anyway, is more than laughable its stupid. Here is the video again. Take notes if you need to

 

[U2Edge]

Remember, the national polls said Hillary would win and she did win the popular vote which is what the national polls were trying to determine. 90% of the time, the popular vote winner wins the electoral college. Hillary won the popular vote, but lost by very narrow margins in 3 states which cost her the electoral college. It was a fluke and it won't happen in 2020.

It is most likely that the winner of the popular vote in 2020 will win the electoral college. Trump has not shown he can win the popular vote in the United States.

Remember, the national polls said Hillary would win and she did win the popular vote which is what the national polls were trying to determine. 90% of the time, the popular vote winner wins the electoral college. Hillary won the popular vote, but lost by very narrow margins in 3 states which cost her the electoral college. It was a fluke and it won't happen in 2020.

It is most likely that the winner of the popular vote in 2020 will win the electoral college. Trump has not shown he can win the popular vote in the United States.

McCain lost to Obama by 9 million votes
Romney lost to Obama by 5 million votes

Hillary spent twice as much as Trump
Had a 72% chance of winning
and won the popular vote by only 3 million votes

The polls not only had Hillary winning,
they had her winning in a landslide...
3 million is not a landslide

Nope, the polls had her winning by 3%, she ended up winning by 2%. That is pretty close. Point is also the national polls said she would win and she did win in the popular vote which is what nation polls are looking at.

90% of the time, the Winner of the popular vote wins the electoral college. Trump has not shown he can win the popular vote. There for Trump is not likely to win in 2020 since the odds are that the popular vote winner will be the electoral college winner.

Watch this video, Hillary had a 95% probability of winning. Total bullshit. Your spin that the polls only track the popular vote is misleading. CNN had Hillary winning her blue wall states, FL, NC, and many more that Trump actually won, so the MSM and polls were total bullshit in 2016. The 3% popular vote prediction vs 2% actual means that the polls need to factor in the CA and NY effects, that's all.

The national polls predicted Hillary would win the popular vote. They were right.

"Popular vote" Bullshit. Watch the video again. The polls had H winning most states, and the EC, and the election, with a 95% probability. Your spin that the polls only predicted the popular vote, which is totally irrelevant anyway, is more than laughable its stupid. Here is the video again. Take notes if you need to

FACT: Over 90% of the time, the winner of the popular vote is the winner of the electoral college.

FACT: Hillary won the popular vote in 2016, which is what the polls predicted.

It is a fluke that Hillary did not win the electoral college. As for Trump, no President has ever been re-elected without winning the popular vote.

 

[kyzr]

McCain lost to Obama by 9 million votes
Romney lost to Obama by 5 million votes

Hillary spent twice as much as Trump
Had a 72% chance of winning
and won the popular vote by only 3 million votes

The polls not only had Hillary winning,
they had her winning in a landslide...
3 million is not a landslide

Nope, the polls had her winning by 3%, she ended up winning by 2%. That is pretty close. Point is also the national polls said she would win and she did win in the popular vote which is what nation polls are looking at.

90% of the time, the Winner of the popular vote wins the electoral college. Trump has not shown he can win the popular vote. There for Trump is not likely to win in 2020 since the odds are that the popular vote winner will be the electoral college winner.

Watch this video, Hillary had a 95% probability of winning. Total bullshit. Your spin that the polls only track the popular vote is misleading. CNN had Hillary winning her blue wall states, FL, NC, and many more that Trump actually won, so the MSM and polls were total bullshit in 2016. The 3% popular vote prediction vs 2% actual means that the polls need to factor in the CA and NY effects, that's all.

The national polls predicted Hillary would win the popular vote. They were right.

"Popular vote" Bullshit. Watch the video again. The polls had H winning most states, and the EC, and the election, with a 95% probability. Your spin that the polls only predicted the popular vote, which is totally irrelevant anyway, is more than laughable its stupid. Here is the video again. Take notes if you need to

FACT: Over 90% of the time, the winner of the popular vote is the winner of the electoral college.

FACT: Hillary won the popular vote in 2016, which is what the polls predicted.

It is a fluke that Hillary did not win the electoral college. As for Trump, no President has ever been re-elected without winning the popular vote.

OK, if those excuses makes you feel better about H & the polls & 2016, fine. We'll see about 2020 in 2020.

 

[BluesLegend]

Biden 2020 go ahead pin your hopes on that fool

He was elected and re-elected Vice President. Served 8 years as Vice President. Democrats obviously like him and so does most of the United States.

We'll see who is laughing in November 2020. Trump is going home on January 20, 2021.

No reason to wait I can laugh in your face now Biden

 

[U2Edge]

New poll out for the state of Texas by Quinnipiac:

In a 2020 match up between Trump and Biden, this is how the race would go in Texas according to the Quinnipiac Poll.

Trump 47%

Biden 46%

That essentially makes Texas a toss up state, a battleground state. Nothing would signal the death nail on Trumps brand of Republicanism than losing Texas in 2020 to Biden.

 

[Ambivalent1]

Here is all the national polling data I could find on potential Trump vs. Biden race in 2020 starting from the latest poll going back in time.

February 16, 2019 - Emerson Poll - Biden 55% Trump 45% - Biden +10

January 22, 2019 - PPP Poll - Biden 53% Trump 41% - Biden +12

June 13, 2018 - PPP Poll - Biden 53% Trump 39% - Biden +14

March 27, 2018 - PPP Poll - Biden 56% Trump 39% - Biden +17

February 14, 2018 - PPP Poll - Biden 51% Trump 42% - Biden +9

January 23, 2018 - CNN Poll - Biden 57% Trump 40% - Biden +17

December 14, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 40% - Biden +14

October 31, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 56% Trump 38% - Biden +18

October 16, 2017 - Emerson Poll - Biden 51% Trump 42% - Biden +9

September 28, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 53% Trump 40% - Biden +13

August 23, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 51% Trump 39% - Biden +12

July 18, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 39% - Biden +15

June 12, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 41% - Biden +13

May 16, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 40% - Biden +14

April 20, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 40% - Biden +14

March 30, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 40% - Biden +14


When you average the margin of victory in the 16 polls, Biden beats Trump on average by 13.5 points, just 6 points less from a total overwhelming landslide when it comes to electoral Presidential politics.

Trumps percentages in these head to head races, around 40%, match his average approval rating over the past two years in the GALLUP poll.

Pedo Joe is done.

 

[U2Edge]

The above is peoples interpretations of pictures and video. No one has accused Biden of assault or rape. The same cannot be said for President Trump. President Trump is on record of bragging about Sexually assaulting women. "I just start kissing them, I grab them by the p&*&*". Then President Trump made illegal payments to two different Women that he committed adulty with to keep them from talking about it. Sending money to people to keep them from talking during an election campaign is illegal. Trump's lawyer, Michael Cohen is going to jail for is part in this crime. Michael Cohen and David Pecker of the National Enquirer have both confirmed that Trump order the payments. Once Trump is no longer President, he will be doing jail time as well for his illegal payment to Stormy Daniels.

 

[U2Edge]

Still no polling data that shows Trump has any chance of winning in 2020 against Biden.

 

[ThunderKiss1965]

Here is all the national polling data I could find on potential Trump vs. Biden race in 2020 starting from the latest poll going back in time.

February 16, 2019 - Emerson Poll - Biden 55% Trump 45% - Biden +10

January 22, 2019 - PPP Poll - Biden 53% Trump 41% - Biden +12

June 13, 2018 - PPP Poll - Biden 53% Trump 39% - Biden +14

March 27, 2018 - PPP Poll - Biden 56% Trump 39% - Biden +17

February 14, 2018 - PPP Poll - Biden 51% Trump 42% - Biden +9

January 23, 2018 - CNN Poll - Biden 57% Trump 40% - Biden +17

December 14, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 40% - Biden +14

October 31, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 56% Trump 38% - Biden +18

October 16, 2017 - Emerson Poll - Biden 51% Trump 42% - Biden +9

September 28, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 53% Trump 40% - Biden +13

August 23, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 51% Trump 39% - Biden +12

July 18, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 39% - Biden +15

June 12, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 41% - Biden +13

May 16, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 40% - Biden +14

April 20, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 40% - Biden +14

March 30, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 40% - Biden +14


When you average the margin of victory in the 16 polls, Biden beats Trump on average by 13.5 points, just 6 points less from a total overwhelming landslide when it comes to electoral Presidential politics.

Trumps percentages in these head to head races, around 40%, match his average approval rating over the past two years in the GALLUP poll.

Umm yeah, and how did those polls work with the last Presidential election ?

 

[ThunderKiss1965]

The above is peoples interpretations of pictures and video. No one has accused Biden of assault or rape. The same cannot be said for President Trump. President Trump is on record of bragging about Sexually assaulting women. "I just start kissing them, I grab them by the p&*&*". Then President Trump made illegal payments to two different Women that he committed adulty with to keep them from talking about it. Sending money to people to keep them from talking during an election campaign is illegal. Trump's lawyer, Michael Cohen is going to jail for is part in this crime. Michael Cohen and David Pecker of the National Enquirer have both confirmed that Trump order the payments. Once Trump is no longer President, he will be doing jail time as well for his illegal payment to Stormy Daniels.

David Pecker of the National Enquirer
Holy shit Batboy is real.

 

[kyzr]

New poll out for the state of Texas by Quinnipiac:

In a 2020 match up between Trump and Biden, this is how the race would go in Texas according to the Quinnipiac Poll.

Trump 47%

Biden 46%

That essentially makes Texas a toss up state, a battleground state. Nothing would signal the death nail on Trumps brand of Republicanism than losing Texas in 2020 to Biden.

Its "death knell" not nail
"the tolling of a bell to mark someone's death.
used to refer to the imminent destruction or failure of something."

 

[U2Edge]

Here is all the national polling data I could find on potential Trump vs. Biden race in 2020 starting from the latest poll going back in time.

February 16, 2019 - Emerson Poll - Biden 55% Trump 45% - Biden +10

January 22, 2019 - PPP Poll - Biden 53% Trump 41% - Biden +12

June 13, 2018 - PPP Poll - Biden 53% Trump 39% - Biden +14

March 27, 2018 - PPP Poll - Biden 56% Trump 39% - Biden +17

February 14, 2018 - PPP Poll - Biden 51% Trump 42% - Biden +9

January 23, 2018 - CNN Poll - Biden 57% Trump 40% - Biden +17

December 14, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 40% - Biden +14

October 31, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 56% Trump 38% - Biden +18

October 16, 2017 - Emerson Poll - Biden 51% Trump 42% - Biden +9

September 28, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 53% Trump 40% - Biden +13

August 23, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 51% Trump 39% - Biden +12

July 18, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 39% - Biden +15

June 12, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 41% - Biden +13

May 16, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 40% - Biden +14

April 20, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 40% - Biden +14

March 30, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 40% - Biden +14


When you average the margin of victory in the 16 polls, Biden beats Trump on average by 13.5 points, just 6 points less from a total overwhelming landslide when it comes to electoral Presidential politics.

Trumps percentages in these head to head races, around 40%, match his average approval rating over the past two years in the GALLUP poll.

Umm yeah, and how did those polls work with the last Presidential election ?

The National polls worked just fine. They predicted Hillary Clinton would win the popular vote by 3 percentage points and she ended up winning the popular vote by 2 percentage points.

90% of the time, the winner of the popular vote wins the electoral college and the election. It was a rare fluke that Hillary did not win the electoral college. In order for Trump to be re-elected, he will need to win the popular vote. No President has ever been re-elected without winning the popular vote.

So the national polls which predict the popular vote result have been right and were right for Hillary Clinton.

But Trump is 13.5 points behind Biden instead of just 3 points behind Hillary. There will not be any fluke electoral college victories in 2020.

 

[kyzr]

Here is all the national polling data I could find on potential Trump vs. Biden race in 2020 starting from the latest poll going back in time.

February 16, 2019 - Emerson Poll - Biden 55% Trump 45% - Biden +10

January 22, 2019 - PPP Poll - Biden 53% Trump 41% - Biden +12

June 13, 2018 - PPP Poll - Biden 53% Trump 39% - Biden +14

March 27, 2018 - PPP Poll - Biden 56% Trump 39% - Biden +17

February 14, 2018 - PPP Poll - Biden 51% Trump 42% - Biden +9

January 23, 2018 - CNN Poll - Biden 57% Trump 40% - Biden +17

December 14, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 40% - Biden +14

October 31, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 56% Trump 38% - Biden +18

October 16, 2017 - Emerson Poll - Biden 51% Trump 42% - Biden +9

September 28, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 53% Trump 40% - Biden +13

August 23, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 51% Trump 39% - Biden +12

July 18, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 39% - Biden +15

June 12, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 41% - Biden +13

May 16, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 40% - Biden +14

April 20, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 40% - Biden +14

March 30, 2017 - PPP Poll - Biden 54% Trump 40% - Biden +14


When you average the margin of victory in the 16 polls, Biden beats Trump on average by 13.5 points, just 6 points less from a total overwhelming landslide when it comes to electoral Presidential politics.

Trumps percentages in these head to head races, around 40%, match his average approval rating over the past two years in the GALLUP poll.

Umm yeah, and how did those polls work with the last Presidential election ?

The National polls worked just fine. They predicted Hillary Clinton would win the popular vote by 3 percentage points and she ended up winning the popular vote by 2 percentage points.

90% of the time, the winner of the popular vote wins the electoral college and the election. It was a rare fluke that Hillary did not win the electoral college. In order for Trump to be re-elected, he will need to win the popular vote. No President has ever been re-elected without winning the popular vote.

So the national polls which predict the popular vote result have been right and were right for Hillary Clinton.

But Trump is 13.5 points behind Biden instead of just 3 points behind Hillary. There will not be any fluke electoral college victories in 2020.

Care to put your money where your mouth is? Bet against Trump and make money if you're so confident.
Cohen Testimony Has Zero Effect on 2020 Presidential Odds

Careful, the polls and MSM have been wrong before