Trump Rolls to Victory but Struggles With Independents

While a dominating share of the Republican Party’s core voters are still with him, the results signaled he risks losing enough Republicans—as well as a substantial share of independents—to create a problem for him as a general-election candidate.

The first task for any candidate is to unify the party. But 19% of Republicans who cast ballots in New Hampshire said they would be so dissatisfied with Trump as the nominee that they wouldn’t vote for him in November, according to AP VoteCast, a survey of primary voters. Similarly, 15% of Republicans who participated in Iowa’s caucuses last week said they wouldn’t support Trump in the general election.

“In a polarized country, any candidate has to win 90% or more of their party to win an election,” said Whit Ayres, a longtime Republican pollster and strategist. “You can’t be competitive if you’re not close to 90%.” In 2020, Trump lost 9% of his own party’s voters, AP VoteCast found, and still came up short in the election.



Not looking good for Trump. Sure, he won two states so far and he is predicted to win a third but as this article shows, he is losing Republicans and more importantly, independents. Oh well. Republicans had a choice but the hard-core decided to stick with Trump.
New Hampshire is irrelevant, Sparky.

So is Iowa.

Only a handful of states matter.

You're welcome.
 
New Hampshire is irrelevant, Sparky.

So is Iowa.

Only a handful of states matter.

You're welcome.
You know nothing of Politics. Only Anarchy and Nihilism.

Many Presidents that were unknowns became known. In New Hampshire. And Iowa. They both matter. A lot.
 
While a dominating share of the Republican Party’s core voters are still with him, the results signaled he risks losing enough Republicans—as well as a substantial share of independents—to create a problem for him as a general-election candidate.

The first task for any candidate is to unify the party. But 19% of Republicans who cast ballots in New Hampshire said they would be so dissatisfied with Trump as the nominee that they wouldn’t vote for him in November, according to AP VoteCast, a survey of primary voters. Similarly, 15% of Republicans who participated in Iowa’s caucuses last week said they wouldn’t support Trump in the general election.

“In a polarized country, any candidate has to win 90% or more of their party to win an election,” said Whit Ayres, a longtime Republican pollster and strategist. “You can’t be competitive if you’re not close to 90%.” In 2020, Trump lost 9% of his own party’s voters, AP VoteCast found, and still came up short in the election.



Not looking good for Trump. Sure, he won two states so far and he is predicted to win a third but as this article shows, he is losing Republicans and more importantly, independents. Oh well. Republicans had a choice but the hard-core decided to stick with Trump.

He's destroying the Republican party.
 
Not exactly.
How voters feel about the price of gas and groceries and how they feel about personal safety will decide the election.

Immunity will be limited, as it should be. Criminal acts are criminal acts.
You are getting closer at understanding the bigger picture, but you have quite a way to go.
 
Not exactly.
How voters feel about the price of gas and groceries and how they feel about personal safety will decide the election.

Immunity will be limited, as it should be. Criminal acts are criminal acts.
Border security is another huge issue that Biden is losing on.

So is this DEI stuff and transgender teachers discussing sex graphically with 5 year olds while wearing the opposite sex clothing.

What's up for grabs is the FDA. It's been a train wreck. Whoever grabs the fix and owns it as brilliant wins that issue.
Between the Baby Formula fiasco and then the drug approval issues and the NIH research grant awarding process disasters....

Can Biden grab that issue and run with it? Or will Trump claim to know how to fix the problems?
 

Forum List

Back
Top