- May 20, 2009
- 144,570
- 66,998
- 2,330
The variance in TSI is several orders of magnitude above the variance in CO2, so if I had to bet, I'd say the Big Yellow Thing in the Sky > CO2
Follow along with the video below to see how to install our site as a web app on your home screen.
Note: This feature currently requires accessing the site using the built-in Safari browser.
Here is the core of the explanation for the changing TSI analyses in the AR5, WG I quoted above.
This RF is almost half of that in AR4, in part because the AR4 estimate was based on the previous solar cycle minimum while the AR5 estimate includes the drop of TSI in 2008 compared to the previous two SC minima (see 8.4.1). Concerning the uncertainty range in AR4 the upper limit corresponded to the reconstruction of Lean (2000), based on the reduced brightness of non-cycling Sun-like stars assumed typical of a Maunder minimum (MM) state. The use of such stellar analogues was based on the work of Bailunas and Jastrow (1990), but more recent surveys have not reproduced their results and suggest that the selection of the original set was flawed (Hal and Lockwood, 2004; Wright, 2004); the lower limit from 1750 to present in AR4 was due to the assumed increase in the amplitude of the 11-year cycle only. Thus the RF and uncertainty range have been obtained in a different way in AR5 compared to AR4. Maxima to maxima RF give a higher estimate than minima to minima RF, but the latter is more relevant for changes in solar activity. Given the medium agreement and medium evidence, this RF value has a medium confidence level (although confidence is higher for the last three decades).
Care to refute any of that?
But first, show us the evidence that supports your charges that the IPCC intended to understate (ie lie about) TSI and that the later studies on TSI reconstruction were "designed to distort".
ftp://pmodwrc.ch/pub/Claus/TSI_longterm/reconstr_TSI_grl_rev_submitted.pdf
The resulting increase in solarcycle
averaged TSI from the Maunder Minimum
to the present amounts to (0.9±0.4)Wm-2. In combination with
climate models, our reconstruction offers the possibility to test the
claimed links between climate and TSI forcing.
Global Change Master Directory (GCMD)
Because of the dependence of the Sun's irradiance on solar activity,
reductions ... from contemporary levels are expected during the
seventeenth century Maunder Minimum. New reconstructions of spectral
irradiance are developed since 1600 with absolute scales traceable to
spacebased observations. The long-term variations track the envelope
of group sunspot numbers and have amplitudes consistent with the range
of Ca II brightness in Sun-like stars. Estimated increases since 1675
are 0.7%, 0.2% and 0.07% in broad ultraviolet, visible/near infrared
and infrared spectral bands, with a total irradiance increase of 0.2%.
But these assholes are fucking with your tiny brain.
I'd be more than happy to mop the floor up with your arguments, I'm just done with FCT.
You couldn't mop the floor with a fleet of these. You are the victim of a hoax and nothing can change that fact but yourself.
I'd be more than happy to mop the floor up with your arguments, I'm just done with FCT.
You couldn't mop the floor with a fleet of these. You are the victim of a hoax and nothing can change that fact but yourself.
SSDD......this is the preferred home defense item for these same k00ks >>>
.......all Disney, all the time.