Electoral Votes situation in Dec,2015. TRUMP 244 vs Hillary 217 (Swing States 77)

Mr. Speaker, honorable members of the Supreme Court, members of the Senate and House of Representatives, honored guests, ladies and gentlemen, may I present the President and Vice-President of the United States:

View attachment 58008
in My opinion TRUMP/CRUZ isn't good for expanding the votes. Because Their supporters are almost totally duplicated.
To get more votes, In my opinion TRUMP/CARSON or TRUMP/HUCKABEE is better. (Huckabee can maximize white voters
% & raise turn out both.)
 
CXQrWlKWMAAqEb3.jpg:large

TRUMP vs Hillary - Electoral votes situation in Dec,2015
TRUMP 244 votes
Hillary 217 Votes
Swing States 77 votes

References and detail below,


1. Swing States

1) Iowa (6 Electoral votes)

PPP(December 10th~13th 2015) TRUMP 43% | Hillary 45%
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_IA_121715.pdf

2) Michigan (16 Electoral votes)

FOX 2(September 27th 2015) TRUMP 42% | Hillary 42%
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2016/Mitchell_Poll_Press_Release_9-27-15_Rubio_Prez_Final.pdf

3) Minnesota (10 Electoral votes)

Suervey USA(October 29th-November 2nd 2015) TRUMP 45% | Hillary 42%
SurveyUSA Election Poll #22549

4) Nevada (6 Electoral votes)
No recent Poll since middle of July

5) Ohio (18 Electoral votes)

Quinnipiac(September 25th-October 5th 2015) TRUMP 42% | Hillary 43%
QU Poll Release Detail

6) Pennsylvania (20 Electoral votes)

PPP(October 8th ~October 11th ) TRUMP 45% | Hillary 43%
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_PA_101515.pdf


1-2. Swing States which are lean to TRUMP : 53 Electoral votes

1) Florida(29 Electoral votes): Latest Poll

Florida Atlantic University(November 2015) TRUMP 49% | Hillary 41%

Polls : Florida Atlantic University - College of Business

2) Colorado(9 Electoral votes): Latest Poll

Quinnipiac(November 11th-15th 2015) TRUMP 48% | Hillary 37%
http://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/co/co11182015_c23tbvm.pdf

3) North Carolina (15 Electoral votes): Latest Poll

PPP(December 5th~7th 2015) TRUMP47% | Hillary 43%
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NC_120815.pdf


1-3. Swing States which are lean to Hillary : 27 Electoral votes
1) New Hampshire: 4 Electoral votes

PPP(November 30th~ December 2nd 2015) TRUMP 41% | Hillary 47%
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NH_120715.pdf

2) Virginia: 13 Electoral votes

Roanoke College(November 9th-13th 2015) TRUMP 36% | Hillary 50%
http://www.roanoke.edu/Documents/rcpoll/Nov2015.Consumer Sentiment and Politics Topline.pdf

3) Wisconsin: 10 Electoral votes

Marquette University (November 12th-15th 2015) TRUMP 38% | Hillary 48%
New Marquette Law School Poll finds Carson, Trump and Rubio atop tight Wisconsin GOP primary race | Marquette Law School Poll

2. Basic Red States for TRUMP: 191 Electoral Votes

Alabama(9),Alaska(3),Arizona(11),Arkansas(6),Georgia(16),Wyoming(3)
Idaho(4)Indiana(11),Kansas(6),Kentucky(8),Louisiana(8),West Virginia(5)
Mississippi(6) Missouri(10),Montana(3),Nebraska(4),South Carolina(9) Texas(38)NorthDakota(3),Oklahoma(7),SouthDakota(3),Tennessee(11),Utah(6)


3. Basic Blue States for Hillary: 159 Electoral Votes
California(55),Delaware(3),DC(3),Hawaii(4),Illinois(20),Maine(2)
Maine 1st District(1),Maryland(10),Massachusettes(11)
New York(29),Rhode Island(4),Vermont(3),New Jersey(14)


3-2. Kinda Blue States which are lean to Hillary : 31 Electoral Votes

1) New Mexico(5 Electoral votes)

2) Connecticut(7 Electoral votes)
PPP(October 7th ~October 11th ) TRUMP40% | Hillary 47%
QU Poll Release Detail

3) Oregon(7 Electoral votes)

4) Washington(12 Electoral votes)
CXQrWlKWMAAqEb3.jpg:large

TRUMP vs Hillary - Electoral votes situation in Dec,2015
TRUMP 244 votes
Hillary 217 Votes
Swing States 77 votes

References and detail below,


1. Swing States

1) Iowa (6 Electoral votes)

PPP(December 10th~13th 2015) TRUMP 43% | Hillary 45%
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_IA_121715.pdf

2) Michigan (16 Electoral votes)

FOX 2(September 27th 2015) TRUMP 42% | Hillary 42%
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2016/Mitchell_Poll_Press_Release_9-27-15_Rubio_Prez_Final.pdf

3) Minnesota (10 Electoral votes)

Suervey USA(October 29th-November 2nd 2015) TRUMP 45% | Hillary 42%
SurveyUSA Election Poll #22549

4) Nevada (6 Electoral votes)
No recent Poll since middle of July

5) Ohio (18 Electoral votes)

Quinnipiac(September 25th-October 5th 2015) TRUMP 42% | Hillary 43%
QU Poll Release Detail

6) Pennsylvania (20 Electoral votes)

PPP(October 8th ~October 11th ) TRUMP 45% | Hillary 43%
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_PA_101515.pdf


1-2. Swing States which are lean to TRUMP : 53 Electoral votes

1) Florida(29 Electoral votes): Latest Poll

Florida Atlantic University(November 2015) TRUMP 49% | Hillary 41%

Polls : Florida Atlantic University - College of Business

2) Colorado(9 Electoral votes): Latest Poll

Quinnipiac(November 11th-15th 2015) TRUMP 48% | Hillary 37%
http://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/co/co11182015_c23tbvm.pdf

3) North Carolina (15 Electoral votes): Latest Poll

PPP(December 5th~7th 2015) TRUMP47% | Hillary 43%
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NC_120815.pdf


1-3. Swing States which are lean to Hillary : 27 Electoral votes
1) New Hampshire: 4 Electoral votes

PPP(November 30th~ December 2nd 2015) TRUMP 41% | Hillary 47%
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NH_120715.pdf

2) Virginia: 13 Electoral votes

Roanoke College(November 9th-13th 2015) TRUMP 36% | Hillary 50%
http://www.roanoke.edu/Documents/rcpoll/Nov2015.Consumer Sentiment and Politics Topline.pdf

3) Wisconsin: 10 Electoral votes

Marquette University (November 12th-15th 2015) TRUMP 38% | Hillary 48%
New Marquette Law School Poll finds Carson, Trump and Rubio atop tight Wisconsin GOP primary race | Marquette Law School Poll

2. Basic Red States for TRUMP: 191 Electoral Votes

Alabama(9),Alaska(3),Arizona(11),Arkansas(6),Georgia(16),Wyoming(3)
Idaho(4)Indiana(11),Kansas(6),Kentucky(8),Louisiana(8),West Virginia(5)
Mississippi(6) Missouri(10),Montana(3),Nebraska(4),South Carolina(9) Texas(38)NorthDakota(3),Oklahoma(7),SouthDakota(3),Tennessee(11),Utah(6)


3. Basic Blue States for Hillary: 159 Electoral Votes
California(55),Delaware(3),DC(3),Hawaii(4),Illinois(20),Maine(2)
Maine 1st District(1),Maryland(10),Massachusettes(11)
New York(29),Rhode Island(4),Vermont(3),New Jersey(14)


3-2. Kinda Blue States which are lean to Hillary : 31 Electoral Votes

1) New Mexico(5 Electoral votes)

2) Connecticut(7 Electoral votes)
PPP(October 7th ~October 11th ) TRUMP40% | Hillary 47%
QU Poll Release Detail

3) Oregon(7 Electoral votes)

4) Washington(12 Electoral votes)

CXQrWlKWMAAqEb3.jpg:large

TRUMP vs Hillary - Electoral votes situation in Dec,2015
TRUMP 244 votes
Hillary 217 Votes
Swing States 77 votes

References and detail below,


1. Swing States

1) Iowa (6 Electoral votes)

PPP(December 10th~13th 2015) TRUMP 43% | Hillary 45%
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_IA_121715.pdf

2) Michigan (16 Electoral votes)

FOX 2(September 27th 2015) TRUMP 42% | Hillary 42%
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2016/Mitchell_Poll_Press_Release_9-27-15_Rubio_Prez_Final.pdf

3) Minnesota (10 Electoral votes)

Suervey USA(October 29th-November 2nd 2015) TRUMP 45% | Hillary 42%
SurveyUSA Election Poll #22549

4) Nevada (6 Electoral votes)
No recent Poll since middle of July

5) Ohio (18 Electoral votes)

Quinnipiac(September 25th-October 5th 2015) TRUMP 42% | Hillary 43%
QU Poll Release Detail

6) Pennsylvania (20 Electoral votes)

PPP(October 8th ~October 11th ) TRUMP 45% | Hillary 43%
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_PA_101515.pdf


1-2. Swing States which are lean to TRUMP : 53 Electoral votes

1) Florida(29 Electoral votes): Latest Poll

Florida Atlantic University(November 2015) TRUMP 49% | Hillary 41%

Polls : Florida Atlantic University - College of Business

2) Colorado(9 Electoral votes): Latest Poll

Quinnipiac(November 11th-15th 2015) TRUMP 48% | Hillary 37%
http://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/co/co11182015_c23tbvm.pdf

3) North Carolina (15 Electoral votes): Latest Poll

PPP(December 5th~7th 2015) TRUMP47% | Hillary 43%
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NC_120815.pdf


1-3. Swing States which are lean to Hillary : 27 Electoral votes
1) New Hampshire: 4 Electoral votes

PPP(November 30th~ December 2nd 2015) TRUMP 41% | Hillary 47%
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NH_120715.pdf

2) Virginia: 13 Electoral votes

Roanoke College(November 9th-13th 2015) TRUMP 36% | Hillary 50%
http://www.roanoke.edu/Documents/rcpoll/Nov2015.Consumer Sentiment and Politics Topline.pdf

3) Wisconsin: 10 Electoral votes

Marquette University (November 12th-15th 2015) TRUMP 38% | Hillary 48%
New Marquette Law School Poll finds Carson, Trump and Rubio atop tight Wisconsin GOP primary race | Marquette Law School Poll

2. Basic Red States for TRUMP: 191 Electoral Votes

Alabama(9),Alaska(3),Arizona(11),Arkansas(6),Georgia(16),Wyoming(3)
Idaho(4)Indiana(11),Kansas(6),Kentucky(8),Louisiana(8),West Virginia(5)
Mississippi(6) Missouri(10),Montana(3),Nebraska(4),South Carolina(9) Texas(38)NorthDakota(3),Oklahoma(7),SouthDakota(3),Tennessee(11),Utah(6)


3. Basic Blue States for Hillary: 159 Electoral Votes
California(55),Delaware(3),DC(3),Hawaii(4),Illinois(20),Maine(2)
Maine 1st District(1),Maryland(10),Massachusettes(11)
New York(29),Rhode Island(4),Vermont(3),New Jersey(14)


3-2. Kinda Blue States which are lean to Hillary : 31 Electoral Votes

1) New Mexico(5 Electoral votes)

2) Connecticut(7 Electoral votes)
PPP(October 7th ~October 11th ) TRUMP40% | Hillary 47%
QU Poll Release Detail

3) Oregon(7 Electoral votes)

4) Washington(12 Electoral votes)

CXQrWlKWMAAqEb3.jpg:large

TRUMP vs Hillary - Electoral votes situation in Dec,2015
TRUMP 244 votes
Hillary 217 Votes
Swing States 77 votes

References and detail below,


1. Swing States

1) Iowa (6 Electoral votes)

PPP(December 10th~13th 2015) TRUMP 43% | Hillary 45%
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_IA_121715.pdf

2) Michigan (16 Electoral votes)

FOX 2(September 27th 2015) TRUMP 42% | Hillary 42%
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2016/Mitchell_Poll_Press_Release_9-27-15_Rubio_Prez_Final.pdf

3) Minnesota (10 Electoral votes)

Suervey USA(October 29th-November 2nd 2015) TRUMP 45% | Hillary 42%
SurveyUSA Election Poll #22549

4) Nevada (6 Electoral votes)
No recent Poll since middle of July

5) Ohio (18 Electoral votes)

Quinnipiac(September 25th-October 5th 2015) TRUMP 42% | Hillary 43%
QU Poll Release Detail

6) Pennsylvania (20 Electoral votes)

PPP(October 8th ~October 11th ) TRUMP 45% | Hillary 43%
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_PA_101515.pdf


1-2. Swing States which are lean to TRUMP : 53 Electoral votes

1) Florida(29 Electoral votes): Latest Poll

Florida Atlantic University(November 2015) TRUMP 49% | Hillary 41%

Polls : Florida Atlantic University - College of Business

2) Colorado(9 Electoral votes): Latest Poll

Quinnipiac(November 11th-15th 2015) TRUMP 48% | Hillary 37%
http://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/co/co11182015_c23tbvm.pdf

3) North Carolina (15 Electoral votes): Latest Poll

PPP(December 5th~7th 2015) TRUMP47% | Hillary 43%
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NC_120815.pdf


1-3. Swing States which are lean to Hillary : 27 Electoral votes
1) New Hampshire: 4 Electoral votes

PPP(November 30th~ December 2nd 2015) TRUMP 41% | Hillary 47%
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NH_120715.pdf

2) Virginia: 13 Electoral votes

Roanoke College(November 9th-13th 2015) TRUMP 36% | Hillary 50%
http://www.roanoke.edu/Documents/rcpoll/Nov2015.Consumer Sentiment and Politics Topline.pdf

3) Wisconsin: 10 Electoral votes

Marquette University (November 12th-15th 2015) TRUMP 38% | Hillary 48%
New Marquette Law School Poll finds Carson, Trump and Rubio atop tight Wisconsin GOP primary race | Marquette Law School Poll

2. Basic Red States for TRUMP: 191 Electoral Votes

Alabama(9),Alaska(3),Arizona(11),Arkansas(6),Georgia(16),Wyoming(3)
Idaho(4)Indiana(11),Kansas(6),Kentucky(8),Louisiana(8),West Virginia(5)
Mississippi(6) Missouri(10),Montana(3),Nebraska(4),South Carolina(9) Texas(38)NorthDakota(3),Oklahoma(7),SouthDakota(3),Tennessee(11),Utah(6)


3. Basic Blue States for Hillary: 159 Electoral Votes
California(55),Delaware(3),DC(3),Hawaii(4),Illinois(20),Maine(2)
Maine 1st District(1),Maryland(10),Massachusettes(11)
New York(29),Rhode Island(4),Vermont(3),New Jersey(14)


3-2. Kinda Blue States which are lean to Hillary : 31 Electoral Votes

1) New Mexico(5 Electoral votes)

2) Connecticut(7 Electoral votes)
PPP(October 7th ~October 11th ) TRUMP40% | Hillary 47%
QU Poll Release Detail

3) Oregon(7 Electoral votes)

4) Washington(12 Electoral votes)

I'd keep Pennsylvania in the Dem column. The Demrats will find enough votes in Philly to keep PA from going to any Republican.


That is why Philly has become such a Cesspool, no diversity just vote Dem for Mayor since 1952 and then wonder why the city is in the dumps.
 
CXQrWlKWMAAqEb3.jpg:large


Realistically now: Minnesota, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Nevada will go Democratic as will Florida and possibly North Carolina if Trump is the ticket leader.

If Kasich and Rubio are our guys then we can take Ohio, Florida, North Carolina, Michigan.

Let's stay real.


I think the chances of a republican winning Michigan, Pennsylvania or even Nevada is extremely low. Florida, Virgina and ohio are pretty much leaning democratic and could easily go their way.

Don't don't make me laugh about this minosota talk. lol

This op has it opposite of reality.

If you want to disagree with my thread, show me any prove with based on Latest States Poll. ok? I don't take any delusion. I only take the 'evidence'
You have a pretty map, nothing else. Go to realclearpolitics.com, start reading and writing factually, and we can tallk.
 
Only a combination of Rubio and Kasich can turn out the vote the GOP needs.
 
i just dont get it, isnt Ohio about 80% white? and they knew Obama didnt care for the white people, yet they voted for him? its appauling !!! I was mortifried!

All of america is over 80% white. "I just don't get it" is the smartest thing you've said in this thread.


63% white. America hasn't been near 80% in like 25 years.
 
Only a combination of Rubio and Kasich can turn out the vote the GOP needs.


That combination could win because it would take florida and ohio. Republicans are finished without them.

The op also forgets that it is unlikely co, nev, iowa will even go republican...Don't get me started on Mich, pa, lol, lol, lol.
 
I'm a big fan of the electoral college, but California is one huge argument against it. One state should not be 1/5 of the number of electoral votes needed to win the White House.

California has more than 10% of the entire nation's population. If anything, the EC leaves them under represented, comparatively speaking.
 
I'm a big fan of the electoral college, but California is one huge argument against it. One state should not be 1/5 of the number of electoral votes needed to win the White House.

That's why I'm not a big fan of it. However, nothing says California has to be a winner take all. It could divide it's electoral votes in whatever manner it wishes. The Constitution only says that each State shall have them based on the number it has in Congress (not the exact wording but the exact meaning) but says nothing about how they are to be awarded within the State.
 
i just dont get it, isnt Ohio about 80% white? and they knew Obama didnt care for the white people, yet they voted for him? its appauling !!! I was mortifried!

All of america is over 80% white. "I just don't get it" is the smartest thing you've said in this thread.


63% white. America hasn't been near 80% in like 25 years.


According to the census it's 77.4% are White.
USA QuickFacts from the US Census Bureau
 
Even Mormon Romney(which can't maximize white race supports & raise white race turnout) got 45% in Minnesota and 46.6% in Pennsylvania. TRUMP, Which person can increase white voters turnout & supports, He easily can gain 3-4% more and take PA&MN. (As I wrote in this thread Polls number also prove it.)

It's so ridiculous some Liberals think MN&PA are safe as blue states.
 
Last edited:
Even Mormon Romney(which can't maximize white race support & raise white race turn out) got 45% in Minnesota and 46.6% in Pennsylvania. TRUMP, Which person can increase white voters turnout & supports, He easily can gain 3-4% more and take PA&MN. (As I wrote in this thread Polls number also prove it.)

It's so ridiculous some Liberals think MN&PA are blue states.

Of the two, Trump would have a better shot in MN than PA. He has no chance in either state. Period.
 
I'm a big fan of the electoral college, but California is one huge argument against it. One state should not be 1/5 of the number of electoral votes needed to win the White House.

That's why I'm not a big fan of it. However, nothing says California has to be a winner take all. It could divide it's electoral votes in whatever manner it wishes. The Constitution only says that each State shall have them based on the number it has in Congress (not the exact wording but the exact meaning) but says nothing about how they are to be awarded within the State.

I've always preferred proportional allocation of a state's EC delegates, myself. However, California is quite a liberal state, overall, and there's very little chance that such an idea would ever be approved there, since winner-take-all so universally favors the liberal candidates.
 
Even Mormon Romney(which can't maximize white race support & raise white race turn out) got 45% in Minnesota and 46.6% in Pennsylvania. TRUMP, Which person can increase white voters turnout & supports, He easily can gain 3-4% more and take PA&MN. (As I wrote in this thread Polls number also prove it.)

It's so ridiculous some Liberals think MN&PA are blue states.

Of the two, Trump would have a better shot in MN than PA. He has no chance in either state. Period.

but what do u think about latest poll says TRUMP 45% Hillary 43% in PA?
 
Even Mormon Romney(which can't maximize white race support & raise white race turn out) got 45% in Minnesota and 46.6% in Pennsylvania. TRUMP, Which person can increase white voters turnout & supports, He easily can gain 3-4% more and take PA&MN. (As I wrote in this thread Polls number also prove it.)

It's so ridiculous some Liberals think MN&PA are blue states.

Of the two, Trump would have a better shot in MN than PA. He has no chance in either state. Period.

but what do u think about latest poll says TRUMP 45% Hillary 43% in PA?


Well, let me first say that not too long ago, MN elected Jesse Ventura and Al Franken in statewide races so they can definitely go off the map and ideology usually doesn't play a role. There is a term called Minnesota Nice however to which Trump is the antithesis.

As for the poll, remember there is no campaigning going on in Pennsylvania right now and will not be for several weeks. When it does, Hillary will likely be the only horse left in the Democratic race and Trump will be (if he is still in it) a target of the political opponent (if any are left). You'll see his negatives raise and his supporters questioning everything from his Republican credentials to his ethics to his policies. It's a target-rich environment for all contenders when you have hardball politicians on other team but when you have zero record, zero sound policies,and what are, at best, shaky ethics, the opposition is happy to supply the narrative. That will happen with Trump.

Today's polling of 45-43 is a popularity contest and little else.

Just wait until Bill gets out there...

In a binary race, a gaffe by one is a direct + to the only opponent. So one should never say never but outside of a self-inflicted wound or international scale game changer; Trump is not going to win the following states:

ME
NH
VT
CT
RI
NY
NJ
PA
DE
DC
MD
VA
MI
IL
WI
MN
NM
CA
OR
WA
HI

That's 264. I gave him NV because of his presence in NV and he may be able to parlay that into winning the two or three counties in NV that matter.

You can pretty much write off Florida as well depending on how energized the voters are. Its hard to see Hispanics (many of whom have cousins, friends, and neighbors that Trump has called "rapists") vote for him or establishment Republicans. But the power of the "D" and the "R" next to the name maybe too much to ignore (that works both ways).

But back to the map:

CO, FL, AZ, MO, AR, NV, IA, OH, NC and MT are also in play.

That gets Clinton to 377. I predicted 400 EVs if Trump gets the nomination. I could see TN/IN and GA flipping too if the Clinton Machine makes no mistakes and Trump has his inevitable meltdown. Either one gets Clinton to 400.
 
Like a poll matters at this point *rolls eyes*.
IF Trump gets the nomination he will be destroyed when he comes under intense scrutiny and limp into November for yet another embarrassing GOP loss. Clinton would bury him in the debates.
 
Even Mormon Romney(which can't maximize white race support & raise white race turn out) got 45% in Minnesota and 46.6% in Pennsylvania. TRUMP, Which person can increase white voters turnout & supports, He easily can gain 3-4% more and take PA&MN. (As I wrote in this thread Polls number also prove it.)

It's so ridiculous some Liberals think MN&PA are blue states.

Of the two, Trump would have a better shot in MN than PA. He has no chance in either state. Period.

but what do u think about latest poll says TRUMP 45% Hillary 43% in PA?
Hillary was ahead of Trump in the national polls 65-35 just six months ago. By the time the election rolls around, Hillary might be lucky to get DC.
 

Forum List

Back
Top