Electoral Votes situation in Dec,2015. TRUMP 244 vs Hillary 217 (Swing States 77)

StatesPoll · Dec 27, 2015

TRUMP vs Hillary - Electoral votes situation in Dec,2015
TRUMP 244 votes
Hillary 217 Votes
Swing States 77 votes

References and detail below,

1. Swing States

1) Iowa (6 Electoral votes)

PPP(December 10th~13th 2015) TRUMP 43% | Hillary 45%
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_IA_121715.pdf

2) Michigan (16 Electoral votes)

FOX 2(September 27th 2015) TRUMP 42% | Hillary 42%
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2016/Mitchell_Poll_Press_Release_9-27-15_Rubio_Prez_Final.pdf

3) Minnesota (10 Electoral votes)

Suervey USA(October 29th-November 2nd 2015) TRUMP 45% | Hillary 42%
SurveyUSA Election Poll #22549

4) Nevada (6 Electoral votes)
No recent Poll since middle of July

5) Ohio (18 Electoral votes)

Quinnipiac(September 25th-October 5th 2015) TRUMP 42% | Hillary 43%
QU Poll Release Detail

6) Pennsylvania (20 Electoral votes)

PPP(October 8th ~October 11th ) TRUMP 45% | Hillary 43%
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_PA_101515.pdf

1-2. Swing States which are lean to TRUMP : 53 Electoral votes

1) Florida(29 Electoral votes): Latest Poll
Florida Atlantic University(November 2015) TRUMP 49% | Hillary 41%

Polls : Florida Atlantic University - College of Business

2) Colorado(9 Electoral votes): Latest Poll

Quinnipiac(November 11th-15th 2015) TRUMP 48% | Hillary 37%
http://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/co/co11182015_c23tbvm.pdf

3) North Carolina (15 Electoral votes): Latest Poll

PPP(December 5th~7th 2015) TRUMP47% | Hillary 43%
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NC_120815.pdf

1-3. Swing States which are lean to Hillary : 27 Electoral votes
1) New Hampshire: 4 Electoral votes

PPP(November 30th~ December 2nd 2015) TRUMP 41% | Hillary 47%
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NH_120715.pdf

2) Virginia: 13 Electoral votes

Roanoke College(November 9th-13th 2015) TRUMP 36% | Hillary 50%
http://www.roanoke.edu/Documents/rcpoll/Nov2015.Consumer Sentiment and Politics Topline.pdf

3) Wisconsin: 10 Electoral votes

Marquette University (November 12th-15th 2015) TRUMP 38% | Hillary 48%
New Marquette Law School Poll finds Carson, Trump and Rubio atop tight Wisconsin GOP primary race | Marquette Law School Poll

2. Basic Red States for TRUMP: 191 Electoral Votes

Alabama(9),Alaska(3),Arizona(11),Arkansas(6),Georgia(16),Wyoming(3)
Idaho(4)Indiana(11),Kansas(6),Kentucky(8),Louisiana(8),West Virginia(5)
Mississippi(6) Missouri(10),Montana(3),Nebraska(4),South Carolina(9) Texas(38)NorthDakota(3),Oklahoma(7),SouthDakota(3),Tennessee(11),Utah(6)

3. Basic Blue States for Hillary: 159 Electoral Votes
California(55),Delaware(3),DC(3),Hawaii(4),Illinois(20),Maine(2)
Maine 1st District(1),Maryland(10),Massachusettes(11)
New York(29),Rhode Island(4),Vermont(3),New Jersey(14)

3-2. Kinda Blue States which are lean to Hillary : 31 Electoral Votes

1) New Mexico(5 Electoral votes)

2) Connecticut(7 Electoral votes)
PPP(October 7th ~October 11th ) TRUMP40% | Hillary 47%
QU Poll Release Detail

3) Oregon(7 Electoral votes)

4) Washington(12 Electoral votes)

Steven_R · Dec 27, 2015

I'm a big fan of the electoral college, but California is one huge argument against it. One state should not be 1/5 of the number of electoral votes needed to win the White House.

StatesPoll · Dec 27, 2015

Steven_R said:
I'm a big fan of the electoral college, but California is one huge argument against it. One state should not be 1/5 of the number of electoral votes needed to win the White House.

in my Opinion it would be good to divide State like, North Carlifornia(North than the San Francisco area) and South California.
And Illinois also better to divide Chicago and else Illinois.

Rexx Taylor · Dec 27, 2015

maybe this time around, Ohio, Penn, Fla wont be as stupid as they were the last two elections to give Obama the win?

tyroneweaver · Dec 27, 2015

Has president of the rwnj's. I just don't see it.

JakeStarkey · Dec 27, 2015

Realistically now: Minnesota, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Nevada will go Democratic as will Florida and possibly North Carolina if Trump is the ticket leader.

If Kasich and Rubio are our guys then we can take Ohio, Florida, North Carolina, Michigan.

Let's stay real.

Cecilie1200 · Dec 27, 2015

Steven_R said:
I'm a big fan of the electoral college, but California is one huge argument against it. One state should not be 1/5 of the number of electoral votes needed to win the White House.

Not sure how you get around them having a huge impact on the election, since they are a big state with a big population. The EC actually mitigates that impact over what you'd get if we went purely "popular vote".

Rexx Taylor · Dec 27, 2015

i just dont get it, isnt Ohio about 80% white? and they knew Obama didnt care for the white people, yet they voted for him? its appauling !!! I was mortifried!

JakeStarkey · Dec 27, 2015

Rexx Taylor said:
i just dont get it, isnt Ohio about 80% white? and they knew Obama didnt care for the white people, yet they voted for him? its appauling !!! I was mortifried!

Could that be because your brain is rotting, that Ohio generally is beyond the racial divide?

ScienceRocks · Dec 27, 2015

JakeStarkey said:
Realistically now: Minnesota, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Nevada will go Democratic as will Florida and possibly North Carolina if Trump is the ticket leader.

If Kasich and Rubio are our guys then we can take Ohio, Florida, North Carolina, Michigan.

Let's stay real.

I think the chances of a republican winning Michigan, Pennsylvania or even Nevada is extremely low. Florida, Virgina and ohio are pretty much leaning democratic and could easily go their way.

Don't don't make me laugh about this minosota talk. lol

This op has it opposite of reality.

Bruce_T_Laney · Dec 27, 2015

JakeStarkey said:
Realistically now: Minnesota, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Nevada will go Democratic as will Florida and possibly North Carolina if Trump is the ticket leader.

If Kasich and Rubio are our guys then we can take Ohio, Florida, North Carolina, Michigan.

Let's stay real.

Staying real, and I doubt Trump can win Texas this time around with the state being Minority-Majority...

just my opinion...

StatesPoll · Dec 27, 2015

Bruce_T_Laney said:
JakeStarkey said:

Realistically now: Minnesota, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Nevada will go Democratic as will Florida and possibly North Carolina if Trump is the ticket leader.

If Kasich and Rubio are our guys then we can take Ohio, Florida, North Carolina, Michigan.

Let's stay real.

Click to expand...

Staying real, and I doubt Trump can win Texas this time around with the state being Minority-Majority...

just my opinion...

do you know, Even mormon Romney got 73% Support from the Texas White in 2012?

I'd predict TRUMP can gather 75~80% Support from the Texas White.

aaronleland · Dec 27, 2015

Rexx Taylor said:
i just dont get it, isnt Ohio about 80% white? and they knew Obama didnt care for the white people, yet they voted for him? its appauling !!! I was mortifried!

All of america is over 80% white. "I just don't get it" is the smartest thing you've said in this thread.

the_human_being · Dec 27, 2015

Mr. Speaker, honorable members of the Supreme Court, members of the Senate and House of Representatives, honored guests, ladies and gentlemen, may I present the President and Vice-President of the United States:

Two Thumbs · Dec 27, 2015

PA will go to hillary

obama murdered the coal region and it still went for him.

it's impossible to out vote to major cities in one state.

kinda sad how they don't know how much damage dems have done to their state

Rexx Taylor · Dec 27, 2015

aaronleland said:
Rexx Taylor said:

i just dont get it, isnt Ohio about 80% white? and they knew Obama didnt care for the white people, yet they voted for him? its appauling !!! I was mortifried!

Click to expand...

All of america is over 80% white. "I just don't get it" is the smartest thing you've said in this thread.

same with Penn. its about 80% white, yet they also went with obama even though he made it clear of his hatred of their way of life? unless 55% of Pennsylvania have no idea what the intentions of democrats. u think that by 2012 they would of figured it out.

StatesPoll · Dec 27, 2015

aaronleland said:
Rexx Taylor said:

i just dont get it, isnt Ohio about 80% white? and they knew Obama didnt care for the white people, yet they voted for him? its appauling !!! I was mortifried!

Click to expand...

All of america is over 80% white. "I just don't get it" is the smartest thing you've said in this thread.

White Population in American of 2015 is around 62~63%. And, on The 'registered voter' White shares 72% of the Total. So, You are wrong.

Rexx Taylor · Dec 27, 2015

StatesPoll said:
aaronleland said:

Rexx Taylor said:

i just dont get it, isnt Ohio about 80% white? and they knew Obama didnt care for the white people, yet they voted for him? its appauling !!! I was mortifried!

Click to expand...

All of america is over 80% white. "I just don't get it" is the smartest thing you've said in this thread.

Click to expand...

White Population in American of 2015 is around 62~63%. And, on The 'registered voter' White shares 72% of the Total. So, You are wrong.

i really wanna see a poll where we have a Cruz/Rubio ticket VS Hillary in the swing states.

eagle7_31 · Dec 27, 2015

StatesPoll said:
TRUMP vs Hillary - Electoral votes situation in Dec,2015
TRUMP 244 votes
Hillary 217 Votes
Swing States 77 votes

References and detail below,

1. Swing States

1) Iowa (6 Electoral votes)

PPP(December 10th~13th 2015) TRUMP 43% | Hillary 45%
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_IA_121715.pdf

2) Michigan (16 Electoral votes)

FOX 2(September 27th 2015) TRUMP 42% | Hillary 42%
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2016/Mitchell_Poll_Press_Release_9-27-15_Rubio_Prez_Final.pdf

3) Minnesota (10 Electoral votes)

Suervey USA(October 29th-November 2nd 2015) TRUMP 45% | Hillary 42%
SurveyUSA Election Poll #22549

4) Nevada (6 Electoral votes)
No recent Poll since middle of July

5) Ohio (18 Electoral votes)

Quinnipiac(September 25th-October 5th 2015) TRUMP 42% | Hillary 43%
QU Poll Release Detail

6) Pennsylvania (20 Electoral votes)

PPP(October 8th ~October 11th ) TRUMP 45% | Hillary 43%
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_PA_101515.pdf

1-2. Swing States which are lean to TRUMP : 53 Electoral votes

1) Florida(29 Electoral votes): Latest Poll
Florida Atlantic University(November 2015) TRUMP 49% | Hillary 41%

Polls : Florida Atlantic University - College of Business

2) Colorado(9 Electoral votes): Latest Poll

Quinnipiac(November 11th-15th 2015) TRUMP 48% | Hillary 37%
http://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/co/co11182015_c23tbvm.pdf

3) North Carolina (15 Electoral votes): Latest Poll

PPP(December 5th~7th 2015) TRUMP47% | Hillary 43%
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NC_120815.pdf

1-3. Swing States which are lean to Hillary : 27 Electoral votes
1) New Hampshire: 4 Electoral votes

PPP(November 30th~ December 2nd 2015) TRUMP 41% | Hillary 47%
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_NH_120715.pdf

2) Virginia: 13 Electoral votes

Roanoke College(November 9th-13th 2015) TRUMP 36% | Hillary 50%
http://www.roanoke.edu/Documents/rcpoll/Nov2015.Consumer Sentiment and Politics Topline.pdf

3) Wisconsin: 10 Electoral votes

Marquette University (November 12th-15th 2015) TRUMP 38% | Hillary 48%
New Marquette Law School Poll finds Carson, Trump and Rubio atop tight Wisconsin GOP primary race | Marquette Law School Poll

2. Basic Red States for TRUMP: 191 Electoral Votes

Alabama(9),Alaska(3),Arizona(11),Arkansas(6),Georgia(16),Wyoming(3)
Idaho(4)Indiana(11),Kansas(6),Kentucky(8),Louisiana(8),West Virginia(5)
Mississippi(6) Missouri(10),Montana(3),Nebraska(4),South Carolina(9) Texas(38)NorthDakota(3),Oklahoma(7),SouthDakota(3),Tennessee(11),Utah(6)

3. Basic Blue States for Hillary: 159 Electoral Votes
California(55),Delaware(3),DC(3),Hawaii(4),Illinois(20),Maine(2)
Maine 1st District(1),Maryland(10),Massachusettes(11)
New York(29),Rhode Island(4),Vermont(3),New Jersey(14)

3-2. Kinda Blue States which are lean to Hillary : 31 Electoral Votes

1) New Mexico(5 Electoral votes)

2) Connecticut(7 Electoral votes)
PPP(October 7th ~October 11th ) TRUMP40% | Hillary 47%
QU Poll Release Detail

3) Oregon(7 Electoral votes)

4) Washington(12 Electoral votes)

I'd keep Pennsylvania in the Dem column. The Demrats will find enough votes in Philly to keep PA from going to any Republican.

StatesPoll · Dec 28, 2015

Matthew said:
JakeStarkey said:

Realistically now: Minnesota, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Nevada will go Democratic as will Florida and possibly North Carolina if Trump is the ticket leader.

If Kasich and Rubio are our guys then we can take Ohio, Florida, North Carolina, Michigan.

Let's stay real.

Click to expand...

I think the chances of a republican winning Michigan, Pennsylvania or even Nevada is extremely low. Florida, Virgina and ohio are pretty much leaning democratic and could easily go their way.

Don't don't make me laugh about this minosota talk. lol

This op has it opposite of reality.

If you want to disagree with my thread, show me any prove with based on Latest States Poll. ok? I don't take any delusion. I only take the 'evidence'

Electoral Votes situation in Dec,2015. TRUMP 244 vs Hillary 217 (Swing States 77)

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