ElephantMcDonk
Member
- Nov 29, 2010
- 223
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InTrade has the odds of Obama winning at 56%. I may put my money where my mouth is there. That number is way too low. At this point, based on all knowable factors, Obama is close to a guarantee to win in 2012. I'd say it's well over 70%.
And this why, AGAIN, you people are 20% of the population/electorate TOPS.
Obama is arguably the most hated 1st term Prez. in history, racism, white guilt, and general ignorance won't win him another term, and our commercials for 2012 are already writing themselves.
He's already dipped to 39% approval. Took GWB well into his second term before general public ignorance did that to him, he's also more popular than Obama is right now.
But I welcome your complacency, it'll make this already increasingly easy lookin Prez. cycle even easier....
Anyone with Sarah Palin as their picture on this site can't be taken seriously. I'm not a liberal lefty in the 20% you speak of, I'm center-left.
There's no poll that suggests Obama has 39% approval. Of course I say that because I'm certain you can't produce one. If somehow you do, I guarantee it's a FOX poll or something very similar. Obama's approval rating is higher than Reagan's or Clinton's at this same time in their first term and I CAN produce evidence of that. You right-wing morons just make things up to fit your argument and assume people will accept it. The only loons that do are already on your side. You don't need to convince them.
If I was putting numbers to it, I'd guess the GOP has about a 85-90% chance of holding the House in 2012, a 60-70% chance of taking the Senate, and a 25-30% chance of winning the Presidency. Just my guess based on everything known at this time, but I can guarantee you my guess is better than yours.